RogueWaves Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Euro won't "let go the bone" on a GOMEX Low next Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 On 12/7/2019 at 10:44 AM, cyclone77 said: Long ways off but it never gets old seeing big storms like that show up in the long range. Luckily we have another 11 days to get that to trend a bit northwest. Expand Wavy-ass long wave pattern is gonna be generating all kinds of fantasy storms on the models. Best advise is not to raise an eyebrow on any solution until the gfs, euro, and ggem all have the same thing inside 96 hrs....then you can do 2 eyebrows if it remains inside 48hrs. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 On 12/7/2019 at 2:43 PM, RogueWaves said: Euro won't "let go the bone" on a GOMEX Low next Friday Expand The 12z Euro caved to the GFS, which literally takes the low right along the coast from Georgia to Maine, and also depicts a weak northern stream wave following it up through the Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 On 12/7/2019 at 6:59 PM, IWXwx said: The 12z Euro caved to the GFS, which literally takes the low right along the coast from Georgia to Maine, and also depicts a weak northern stream wave following it up through the Midwest. Expand Yay! Thx for the good news..tho not surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Hahaha. I can't tell if runs like this are why I hate this hobby or adore it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toro99 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Just a few short years ago, people got crushed on this board for posting model outputs +7 days or more. Like 1 % of these fantasy storms ever come close to materializing. I think we are a tortured group :] 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 8, 2019 Author Share Posted December 8, 2019 On 12/8/2019 at 5:03 AM, Malacka11 said: Hahaha. I can't tell if runs like this are why I hate this hobby or adore it. Expand A. Snow band is tucked in pretty tight to the surface low on that depiction B. Can't believe I just commented on the 14 day GFS. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 GFS and Nam now showing a band of 3-5" of snow for the SE portion of this forum ( eastern KY. and SE Ohio ) post frontal with the rainy Monday system.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 On 12/8/2019 at 5:03 AM, Malacka11 said: Hahaha. I can't tell if runs like this are why I hate this hobby or adore it. Expand Nice picture. Did you paint that yourself? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 On 12/8/2019 at 5:27 AM, Hoosier said: A. Snow band is tucked in pretty tight to the surface low on that depiction B. Can't believe I just commented on the 14 day GFS. Expand The long range GFS was always good for laughs and nothing more, but even the ensembles in the long range of been absolutely terrible this season so far. Wild changes run to run. Really seems like we are going backwards instead of forwards in model land when it comes to accuracy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 8, 2019 Author Share Posted December 8, 2019 On 12/7/2019 at 6:59 PM, IWXwx said: The 12z Euro caved to the GFS, which literally takes the low right along the coast from Georgia to Maine, and also depicts a weak northern stream wave following it up through the Midwest. Expand Big Gulf to Lakes low is back on the 12z GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 On 12/8/2019 at 5:11 PM, Hoosier said: Big Gulf to Lakes low is back on the 12z GFS. Expand Look's like a whole lot of rain. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 On 12/8/2019 at 5:11 PM, Hoosier said: Big Gulf to Lakes low is back on the 12z GFS. Expand On 12/8/2019 at 6:16 PM, Snowstorms said: Look's like a whole lot of rain. Expand It is, followed by windy SHSN which even per the GFS's own output amounts to very little south of NMI snow belts. I wish the models would just quit already with the teases. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 GFS and Euro also hinting at some fun around the 16th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 8, 2019 Author Share Posted December 8, 2019 On 12/8/2019 at 6:16 PM, Snowstorms said: Look's like a whole lot of rain. Expand Does look like a limited snow producer unfortunately, even if it does take that kind of track. Models have been flip flopping on track though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 On 12/8/2019 at 7:47 PM, Hoosier said: Does look like a limited snow producer unfortunately, even if it does take that kind of track. Models have been flip flopping on track though. Expand I agree, no consistency. Euro has a coaster. I feel like models tend to underplay CAD in these type of events, especially this far out. We got a pretty decent pool of cold air near Hudson Bay and a departing PV. Let's see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 9, 2019 Author Share Posted December 9, 2019 A rather exciting 00z Euro run tonight. Too bad it's so far out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 On 12/9/2019 at 7:11 AM, Hoosier said: A rather exciting 00z Euro run tonight. Too bad it's so far out. Expand 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 ENS finally showing changes...Growing support for a neutral to - AO/NAO/PNA starting next weekend. MJO looks likely to head back into the COD, staying out of warmer phases. Add in the PV chunk that will take hold in the Hudson region.Should lead to more cold shots and chances for snow...finally...for next week. Hopefully can get something going for a white Christmas.. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 On 12/9/2019 at 1:11 PM, Chicago Storm said: ENS finally showing changes... Growing support for a neutral to - AO/NAO/PNA starting next weekend. MJO looks likely to head back into the COD, staying out of warmer phases. Add in the PV chunk that will take hold in the Hudson region. Should lead to more cold shots and chances for snow...finally...for next week. Hopefully can get something going for a white Christmas. . Expand Most upbeat post from you I can remember. Must be the holidays! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 On 12/9/2019 at 1:11 PM, Chicago Storm said: ENS finally showing changes... Growing support for a neutral to - AO/NAO/PNA starting next weekend. MJO looks likely to head back into the COD, staying out of warmer phases. Add in the PV chunk that will take hold in the Hudson region. Should lead to more cold shots and chances for snow...finally...for next week. Hopefully can get something going for a white Christmas. . Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Curious to see what tonight's runs have to say about the ~160 hour threat. At a minimum, the ICON plays ball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 On 12/10/2019 at 3:52 AM, Malacka11 said: Curious to see what tonight's runs have to say about the ~160 hour threat. At a minimum, the ICON plays ball. Expand I am on board with that threat, which makes it like legally bound to happen. In all seriousness, at least it looks like we are entering a pattern with more chances to snow. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 On 12/10/2019 at 4:07 AM, Hoosier said: I am on board with that threat, which makes it like legally bound to happen. In all seriousness, at least it looks like we are entering a pattern with more chances to snow. Expand Could it really be any worse? Just going off climo at our latitude would fulfill that statement. But yeah, I agree, somebody's bound to score post-15th. Just tough to say who right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 On 12/10/2019 at 4:21 AM, RogueWaves said: Could it really be any worse? Just going off climo at our latitude would fulfill that statement. But yeah, I agree, somebody's bound to score post-15th. Just tough to say who right now. Expand Thar's one thing about living here in the hinterland of winter anxiety, getting hopes up is mea culpa. But on the flip side if it does happen it's like a one night stand with the Lawrence Welk girls in a tub of olive oil 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 On 12/10/2019 at 4:40 AM, Angrysummons said: Looks like something is trying to develop after the 15th. The first true synoptic potential of the season. Very PAC driven pattern won't help in sampling. Fast flow. Expand November 11th was a widespread synoptic snowstorm. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 On 12/10/2019 at 3:52 AM, Malacka11 said: Curious to see what tonight's runs have to say about the ~160 hour threat. At a minimum, the ICON plays ball. Expand Euro and GFS show system for OV and the EC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 I'm more interested in the Saturday threat for now. Pretty complex setup but 00z Euro with a nice outcome for parts of northern IL into IA and WI. 06z EPS seems to favor farther north but hopefully some of us could score something, with possibility the next week threat ends up farther east. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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