weatherwiz Posted October 14, 2019 Share Posted October 14, 2019 This is pretty far out there, however, both the GFS and Euro have advertised a fairly significant trough amplifying across the central United States moving into next week and then lifting to our northwest...yielding a significant rise in heights across the east and establishing a southerly flow, advecting an unseasonably warm/moist flow. This will help result in some pretty decent low-level theta-e and yield at least some degree of buoyancy. Aloft, we'll see rather impressive dynamics in response to the amplified trough and we may even have some steep lapse rates due to strong CAA in the mid-levels and likely strong cold pool associated with the main energy. We would be looking at the potential for a low-topped squall line (which may or may not be accompanied by lightning...too early for those details). Now that we're into the fall these type of setups are not uncommon across these parts. Something to watch! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 14, 2019 Share Posted October 14, 2019 Outside of that squall/fine line,potential. could be a big wind maker. Gfs with a 972mb cutter and fully warm sectored on SSW winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 14, 2019 Share Posted October 14, 2019 Talk to me in 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Talk to me in 5 days. There will be no power and all lines of communication lost 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 For real? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 15, 2019 Author Share Posted October 15, 2019 53 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: For real? Very real. I love trying to sniff these out several days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 I think you're sniffing something else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Author Share Posted October 16, 2019 On 10/15/2019 at 8:46 AM, CoastalWx said: I think you're sniffing something else. My sniffer is still sniffing. Still looking good for next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 18, 2019 Author Share Posted October 18, 2019 Right now lacking a stronger push of llvl theta-e air to contribute to some instability, but the dynamics are certainly there. At least we'll see more heavy rain. I sort of think Potential Cyclone 16 kinda screws with us a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 18, 2019 Author Share Posted October 18, 2019 I edited the topic...not sure why I put Low Topped Severe Weather Potential...should have been Low Topped Squall Line Potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 20, 2019 Author Share Posted October 20, 2019 So close 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2019 Share Posted October 21, 2019 Should I take cover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 21, 2019 Author Share Posted October 21, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Should I take cover? should be considered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 22, 2019 Author Share Posted October 22, 2019 ughhhh it tries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 22, 2019 Author Share Posted October 22, 2019 Hello! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 23, 2019 Author Share Posted October 23, 2019 Was there any lightning last night or this AM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted October 23, 2019 Share Posted October 23, 2019 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Was there any lightning last night or this AM? Yup, there have been several strikes in NE Mass, SE NH and coastal ME since 10Z. BGR reported +TSRA in the past hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 23, 2019 Author Share Posted October 23, 2019 45 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: Yup, there have been several strikes in NE Mass, SE NH and coastal ME since 10Z. BGR reported +TSRA in the past hour. SWEET!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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