STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: Why are you using the 15z HRRR? 23z is running now, Block island gusting to 75 knots at midnight this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 You'd think the storm is over by some of these posts. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Yeah long range is good. Thanks guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Typically that’s where the strongest sting jet sets up. Directly behind and under the belly of the low. See Cape storm Dec storm years back “Sting Jet” That never works out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 I'm just glad the rain will be done well before 4:47 AM. 1) I can't see in the dark and 2) When it's raining and dark I CAN'T SEE AT ALL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 27 minutes ago, dendrite said: Why are you using the 15z HRRR? 23z is running now, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Who can see in the dark? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Just now, Dan76 said: Who can see in the dark? driving. I have trouble seeing the lines in the road. I need to acquire brighter headlights. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 59 minutes ago, Hoth said: Man, it is dumping. Wish I was saying this two months from now. You want rain in December? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 29 minutes ago, mreaves said: You want rain in December? The Grinch will not be denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 44 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Who can see in the dark? Alaskans and people with night vision goggles 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 What’s causing the heavier precipitation to erode as it moves N of the Pike out here? Not that I’m complaining or anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Was posting for posterity . You’ve succeeded tonight in your mission Enjoy the storm I liked this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A marginal wind damage/tornado threat may develop across parts of southern New England this evening. The threat should remain below levels needed for watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Water vapor imagery shows an upper-level low over the lower Great Lakes region. A plume of mid-level moisture is located across northern New York and New England with a dry slot moving northeastward into the Northeast. Ahead of the dry slot, a broad area of rainfall is located from eastern New York into southern New England. At the surface, a rapidly deepening low is located just south of New York City. The RAP is analyzing a corridor of instability from near New Jersey extending well offshore. Thunderstorms are developing on the northern edge of this instability to the south of Long Island. This convection is forecast to move north-northeastward across southern New England over the next few hours. The WSR-88D VWP show a strong shear profile with 0-6 km shear near 60 kt and 0-1 km shear near 40 kt. In spite of the weak instability, the shear environment suggests that the stronger cells at the back edge of the rain shield may be able to rotate. These cells may become strong enough for a marginal wind damage and isolated tornado threat as they move across far southern New England this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: I liked this map. Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Winds have turned ESE here now, Winds will be a larger factor then the rainfall totals here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 OXC gusting to 36, rough night ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 I think it should stay relatively calm here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, The Graupler said: I think it should stay relatively calm here. Nantucket, now that's a place you want to be to see this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: I liked this map. Downslope wind progs seem to line up with this narrow line lacking echos on the western side of the Spine.... wonder if someone is going to get lit up further south towards RUT and DDH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 27 minutes ago, SlantStickers Anonymous said: Alaskans and people with night vision goggles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 22 minutes ago, KoalaBeer said: Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A marginal wind damage/tornado threat may develop across parts of southern New England this evening. The threat should remain below levels needed for watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Water vapor imagery shows an upper-level low over the lower Great Lakes region. A plume of mid-level moisture is located across northern New York and New England with a dry slot moving northeastward into the Northeast. Ahead of the dry slot, a broad area of rainfall is located from eastern New York into southern New England. At the surface, a rapidly deepening low is located just south of New York City. The RAP is analyzing a corridor of instability from near New Jersey extending well offshore. Thunderstorms are developing on the northern edge of this instability to the south of Long Island. This convection is forecast to move north-northeastward across southern New England over the next few hours. The WSR-88D VWP show a strong shear profile with 0-6 km shear near 60 kt and 0-1 km shear near 40 kt. In spite of the weak instability, the shear environment suggests that the stronger cells at the back edge of the rain shield may be able to rotate. These cells may become strong enough for a marginal wind damage and isolated tornado threat as they move across far southern New England this evening. Told ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 There is some vicious looking stuff south of SNE. Looks confined to east of 495, perhaps a PVD-BOS line. Cape Ann will obviously be involved. Hope I can stay up to see what happens. Doubt I'll make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Westerly RI already up to 50mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Here comes the sting jet lol..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Going to get a long of meh's tonight before people go to bed. I think many areas in SNE rock tonight but they will be asleep. For eastern areas, slightly different story. Radar looking ominous for some big gusts. Obvious not doomsday, or historic, but fun. Better than meh October weather... We'll get some big gusts and maybe a spin up somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Here comes the sting jet lol..... Lol I’m waiting for it...cmon you guys don’t know about the Sting Jet??? It should be here in about 90 minutes or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Wow. really impressive strengthening in just the last few minutes on radar and velocity south of Montauk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 heads up to @Ginx snewx, looks like some bad stuff heading to Moosup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Stormsurge gonna have a fun night. Wish I was out on the island. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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