KoalaBeer Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: 26 pages deep, if this were mid winter almost no one would give a hoot. I think we (most of us) are bored and waiting for winter, i know i am. To be fair a 975mb low doesn’t cut inland across the state often in winter either. Lack of mixing is inhibiting this from being a more significant event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Man, it is dumping. Wish I was saying this two months from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Tilt 2 works on tdwr but base reflectivity does not? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 15 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Looks like the low may cut right up through CT...going to be tough to get winds like that with the low tracking over our fannies. The core of the LLJ is going east of us. Wait until the winds switch NW...then we'll crank. This. The winds will more than likely disappoint in inland areas...but you know Kev, he’ll try his best to fool himself to the end. Hope he is right, but thinking it isn’t much here in the wind dept that is out of the ordinary. Gusts in the 40’s isn’t all that big of a deal for us imo. Coastal areas are a whole different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 18 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Looks like the low may cut right up through CT...going to be tough to get winds like that with the low tracking over our fannies. The core of the LLJ is going east of us. Wait until the winds switch NW...then we'll crank. Typically that’s where the strongest sting jet sets up. Directly behind and under the belly of the low. See Cape storm Dec storm years back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Rapid Deepening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Tilt 2 works on tdwr but base reflectivity does not? Use long range reflectivity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: This. The winds will more than likely disappoint in inland areas...but you know Kev, he’ll try his best to fool himself to the end. Hope he is right, but thinking it isn’t much here in the wind dept that is out of the ordinary. Gusts in the 40’s isn’t all that big of a deal for us imo. Coastal areas are a whole different story. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Dry so far.... we wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Nowcast says lock it in for coastal communities and a few miles inland at the least. It's Goin to absolutely rip. The question is further inland and the backside CAA. And how high do we rip? I think many will be without power in a lot of coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Typically that’s where the strongest sting jet sets up. Directly behind and under the belly of the low. See Cape storm Dec storm years back I don't see any sting jet. Also, that dry slot is really starting to become defined and seems to be accelerating. Probably only 3-4 hours of heavy rain left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Hrrr has 50kt sustained in Boston harbor. not sure I buy it but wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: I don't see any sting jet. Also, that dry slot is really starting to become defined and seems to be accelerating. Probably only 3-4 hours of heavy rain left I was thinking the same thing...what Sting Jet?? Lmao. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: I don't see any sting jet. Also, that dry slot is really starting to become defined and seems to be accelerating. Probably only 3-4 hours of heavy rain left You’ve got to know this. Right ahead of the dry slot is where some of the strongest winds always are found. You’ve got to know that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 What sting jet ? Are you guys serious? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: You’ve got to know this. Right ahead of the dry slot is where some of the strongest winds always are found. You’ve got to know that Kev, that doesn’t always happen in every case. And very well may not happen here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 You guys gotta be kidding or drinking heavily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 28 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You want ideal conditions for hitting and that’s the only way they can pull it off. Raw, rainy, windy night is conducive for pitching...favors Astros. Even with Whitey Ford going tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: You’ve got to know this. Right ahead of the dry slot is where some of the strongest winds always are found. You’ve got to know that That doesn't always happen...there is much more involved in that process. What will happen once the dry slot arrives is the llvl lapse rates are going to steepen...at this time and juncture the sfc low will be passing to our north and a bit east...once the flow becomes more northwest and we are in the core of the pressure gradient that is when we are going to get our winds...not with convection, not with a sting jet, but CAA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You guys gotta be kidding or drinking heavily a sting jet like feature is different than a sting jet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You guys gotta be kidding or drinking heavily Well I guess we’ll see. But Notice the wording he uses though.. ”Watch for tonight” , which leads me to believe that there’s a good possibility that it doesn’t materialize. Or may not materialize In this/your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Looks like I’ll be rocking later. 55+ easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You guys gotta be kidding or drinking heavily Latest runs are weaker than that and it’s more focused on NYC/LI/S Coast anyway. You’ll be sleeping during it anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Not saying this will happen at all.. but man please please let it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: Looks like I’ll be rocking later. 55+ easy. Nice spot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Tilt 2 works on tdwr but base reflectivity does not? Long range on radarscope works for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Why are you using the 15z HRRR? 23z is running now, 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Long range on radarscope works for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Why are you using the 15z HRRR? 23z is running now, Was posting for posterity . You’ve succeeded tonight in your mission Enjoy the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Was posting for posterity . You’ve succeeded tonight in your mission Enjoy the storm 23z HRRR cranks us as the winds switch NW...has some pretty solid gusts. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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