HoarfrostHubb Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Sting jet possibility? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 24 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: If I'm a Pilgrim and I get off the Mayflower and build my thatch hut and then this shit happens, it is beyond me why they didn't just pack up the boat and head back to England... Actually 2 ships left from England, the Mayflower and the Speedwell. The Speedwell had to be repaired for leaks on the way from The Netherlands. On the way to America the Speedwell had to pull into port once again to repair the ship for leaks. Concern mounted that the Speedwell wasn't going to be fit for the journey so a decision was made to leave the Speedwell behind and to have the Mayflower be the only ship to make the trip. And that meant some people decided to return to the Netherlands rather than set sail on an over crowded Mayflower. Considering how long the passengers had lived on the ship for prior to the departure from England and then the subsequent trip, and then exploring the area off of the Cape and NY the last thing anyone wanted to do was get back on the Mayflower. And a return to England would have also meant a return trip to The Netherlands for many of the passengers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 22 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: back home now, flight was not that bad had its moments. latest HRRR has 50-60mph gusts in my hood.. but I will take the under ... still should be pretty windy, power outages are likely in usual areas. What about the lawn chairs???? lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Sting jet possibility? I think LI and NYC may get a hell of a burst from WNW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 the hrrr isn't into the mesolow idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: What about the lawn chairs???? lol still there lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Just now, Bostonseminole said: still there lol Not for much longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 35 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Be interesting to see if any additional convection develops over the next few hours. I wish it was closer to land and an actual radar site A wall of rain heading NE. Will be interesting to see if additional convection develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Is there an echo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I think LI and NYC may get a hell of a burst from WNW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: A wall of rain heading NE. Will be interesting to see if additional convection develops. We’re closing in in the window where things should begin the process of taking off and evolving. Let’s see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Dr. Dews said: Is there an echo? Bow echo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: Bow echo? Will be interesting to see if any additional convection develops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 34 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: back home now, flight was not that bad had its moments. latest HRRR has 50-60mph gusts in my hood.. but I will take the under ... still should be pretty windy, power outages are likely in usual areas. Yeah, it's time to pull the plug for us. I am guessing 35mph front end, 40-45 caa. Maybe a few dead branches fall, a little flooding. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Dr. Dews said: Yeah, it's time to pull the plug for us. I am guessing 35mph front end, 40-45 caa. Maybe a few dead branches fall, a little flooding. You're right, it's over. Everyone can stop posting about the storm. Perhaps you can start a new thread for the next topic of discussion????? Most of us will be on the edge of our seats waiting for the topic. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 10 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Will be interesting to see if any additional convection develops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Yeah, it's time to pull the plug for us. I am guessing 35mph front end, 40-45 caa. Maybe a few dead branches fall, a little flooding. Did you really even plug in? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 7 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Yeah, it's time to pull the plug for us. I am guessing 35mph front end, 40-45 caa. Maybe a few dead branches fall, a little flooding. I'm still excited about it.. my hood rarely sees the winds materialized as adveritized, probably local climo.. but I'm sure I will sniff some 50mph gusts to make the house shake a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 WOAH!!!!!!!!!!!!! WOAH!@!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 10 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: I'm still excited about it.. my hood rarely sees the winds materialized as adveritized, probably local climo.. but I'm sure I will sniff some 50mph gusts to make the house shake a bit. You are taking the over on winds, then. BOX with a measly wind advisory, P&C has ~40mph winds max. The discussion is pretty meh, also. 50mph would be pretty impressive...at least I think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: WOAH!!!!!!!!!!!!! WOAH!@!!!!!!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 15z HRRR rips a left moving supercell up the CT River Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 GFS also develops a TC which makes landfall across FL Panhandle Friday night, comes off mid-Atlantic coast and strengthens and then gets pushed out to sea 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 12 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: WOAH!!!!!!!!!!!!! WOAH!@!!!!!!!! ...Southern New England... By late afternoon, the cold front will surge off the Mid Atlantic coast and begin affecting New England. Rapid cyclogenesis will be occurring off the NJ/Long Island coast during the evening, resulting in very strong low-level warm advection and impressive vertical shear profiles. Several 12z CAM solutions indicate some convective organization over parts of Long Island, CT, RI, and southeast MA. Forecast soundings suggest a window of opportunity for surface-based convection and perhaps a damaging wind gust or brief tornado in the Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 latest HRRR increased wind gusts in EMA a tad.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 GFS almost loses the mesolow...just a bit of a semblance of it this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: ...Southern New England... By late afternoon, the cold front will surge off the Mid Atlantic coast and begin affecting New England. Rapid cyclogenesis will be occurring off the NJ/Long Island coast during the evening, resulting in very strong low-level warm advection and impressive vertical shear profiles. Several 12z CAM solutions indicate some convective organization over parts of Long Island, CT, RI, and southeast MA. Forecast soundings suggest a window of opportunity for surface-based convection and perhaps a damaging wind gust or brief tornado in the Really bad time for KBOX to be down... Maybe they can borrow the NBC-10 radar truck and park it near the canal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 25 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: You're right, it's over. Everyone can stop posting about the storm. Perhaps you can start a new thread for the next topic of discussion????? Most of us will be on the edge of our seats waiting for the topic. Ya he’s becoming more annoying by the minute...constant sarcasm and silly posts. Just what we needed. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Ya he’s becoming more annoying by the minute...constant sarcasm and silly posts. Just what we needed. More annoying is not possible. It was like that from the get go after sn change. Like he just magically changed his online identity and with that, came an abundant amount of nonsense and trash trolling. Surprised he’s allowed to hang around as long as he has. Ignore button is your best friend. I still think this isn’t a big deal west of river in CT but we’ll see if a cell can drop the winds down to the surface and cause some weenies to bust on themselves before bedtime. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: More annoying is not possible. It was like that from the get go after sn change. Like he just magically changed his online identity and with that, came an abundant amount of nonsense and trash trolling. Surprised he’s allowed to hang around as long as he has. Ignore button is your best friend. I still think this isn’t a big deal west of river in CT but we’ll see if a cell can drop the winds down to the surface and cause some weenies to bust on themselves before bedtime. I'd probably be more worried about water there. Although 40mph+ gusts after 2-4" of rain could soften things up as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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