TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Got my eye on this beast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Impressive rotation on the radar with what I'm assuming is the vaunted meso-low south of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 several hours of moderate rain but nothing epic yet. .20" Not much wind to speak of but E of the Berks is where wind goes to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Wilton CT has roads shut down. Trees in roadways. Sounds like 65 mph at Ledge Light. People starting to report outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 @WiltonPoliceCT The following roads are completely closed until further notice Route 7 - between Honey Hill Rd & Old Mill Rd (Georgetown Section) Route 33 (Ridgefield Rd) - between Belden Hill Rd & Middlebrook Farm Rd Sturges Ridge Rd near # 35 Newtown Tpke - near Cavalry Hill Rd Warncke Rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 10k without power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 10 minutes ago, Hoth said: Stormsurge gonna have a fun night. Wish I was out on the island. It is rocking!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Seems like some siggy wind fields out on LI now.....60 70+ inbound..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 OKX leads me to believe we will see some tor warnings within the hour. Potential areas include S ECT and S RI. Not sure how BOX will handle without radar. I think the high wind warning should have been expanded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 51mph at FOK and ISP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 11 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: 10k without power Has any gusted past 40 there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Ledge Light Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Has any gusted past 40 there? I don't know about the Wilton area, but KGON has gusted to 44mph already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 That meso-low is cranking F3C9D660-83F4-4F92-8E0B-100397985DB5.mov 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Looks like that will about do it for the rain here. Solid storm so far, about 5k without power in UI territory so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 There is going to be a decent narrow swath of some decent damage and gusts with that thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 That mesolow was pretty well modeled. Heading right for the CT/RI border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: That mesolow was pretty well modeled. Heading right for the CT/RI border. Major, major kudos to models for sniffing that out and being consistent with it as well. I feel like models have gotten much better with this particular feature over the past several years with model upgrades Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 I haven’t had any wind here all night...where’s the Sting Jet? Very run of the mill here. Steady moderate rain all evening...but nothing impressive so far. Looks like the coast is where it’s at, as we thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: I haven’t had any wind here all night...where’s the Sting Jet? Very run of the mill here. Steady moderate rain all evening...but nothing impressive so far. Looks like the coast is where it’s at, as we thought. Your winds will come well after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Downslope wind progs seem to line up with this narrow line lacking echos on the western side of the Spine.... wonder if someone is going to get lit up further south towards RUT and DDH. Starting to hear that howl through the woods and little window rattle...picked up alot on the past 20-30 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Your winds will come well after midnight. Ya with the CAA from the northwest I’m assuming. I wasn't expecting Much in the way of wind, but I thought it’d be a little more breezy than it’s been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: Ya with the CAA from the northwest I’m assuming. I wasn't expecting Much in the way of wind, but I thought it’d be a little more breezy than it’s been. Nah inland CT won't get the big winds in the front end, that's more on the backside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 I'm curious if this mesolow will be as strong as the one that blasted up through Glastonbury, CT, 6 or 7 years ago. As I recall that was one of the first times I heard the term "landphoon". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nah inland CT won't get the big winds in the front end, that's more on the backside. Kicking through NYC now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 While this may be a mesolow, I’m feeling this is the secondary low that rides up over E MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Update: Previous forecast matching up with current expectations so no wholesale changes with this. Watching some rotating convective elements on KOKX radar but as these features move north into the cool sector lose their rotational features. Any severe storms will hinge on how far north warm sector can track. SPC mesoanalysis shows 0-3km CAPE remaining south of Long Island and this seems reasonable with offshore buoys in the warm sector with winds veering more to the SSE and dew pts well into the 60s. Mesoanalysis indicates secondary low bombing out near Sandy Hook NJ with pressure down to about 986 mb. However a meso low appears to be forming farther to the southeast well offshore. This meso low may pinch off warm sector and preclude better instability from advecting north. This would lower the probability of severe storms here overnight but can`t discount the risk given mesoscale processes in play here and associated low predictability. Thus will continue to monitor low top convection as it comes onshore into CT/RI and southeast MA overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 1st gust over 30mph here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 The surface low has moved east some, down to 986mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Storms never seem to be as bad as they’re modeled....right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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