Typhoon Tip Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Interesting how the Euro has the low over southern VT at 12z tomorrow .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Jesus..the 12z euro has 70-80 knot gusts scrape coastal RI, SE MA, and the Islands. I guess that just offers up what kinda gust potential we're dealing with should any convection organize or pass over anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Jesus..the 12z euro has 70-80 knot gusts scrape coastal RI, SE MA, and the Islands. I guess that just offers up what kinda gust potential we're dealing with should any convection organize or pass over anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I'm too afraid to post those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: I'm too afraid to post those Don't be afraid of the 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 25 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Easy there Dendy...don’t count your chickens before they h... lol. The state house already made the sign. 2 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: The state house already made the sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Euro looks about how I expect the snow to play out. Whiteface gets 6+ above 3,000ft and Mt Snow gets a few inches at the top too as the cooler air wraps under the system. Should be fun to monitor the snow levels tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 The radar looks pretty juicy, somewhere between here and Albany is going to get drowned for a few hours. Really hoping I am on the fringe of that stuff, not really interested in inches of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 42 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Interesting how the Euro has the low over southern VT at 12z tomorrow .. So does the Ukmet, Gfs and CMC so interesting and consensus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 16 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Euro looks about how I expect the snow to play out. Whiteface gets 6+ above 3,000ft and Mt Snow gets a few inches at the top too as the cooler air wraps under the system. Should be fun to monitor the snow levels tomorrow. This wrapped up to far west, the further east solutions had more snow in Catskills , Vermont and or northerMaine I would be watching elevations above 2K in New York for Surprises Around day break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: This wrapped up to far west, the further east solutions had more snow in Catskills , Vermont and or northerMaine I would be watching elevations above 2K in New York for Surprises Around day break I really like the Adirondacks though it may just be a bit too warm for inhabited elevations. The Adirondacks biggest storms seem to be paste bombs in either October or April/May lol. They do well in these early/late season systems more than they do in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 48 minutes ago, dryslot said: Like I said this AM. James is going to be blown all the way to P-Town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 31 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Euro looks about how I expect the snow to play out. Whiteface gets 6+ above 3,000ft and Mt Snow gets a few inches at the top too as the cooler air wraps under the system. Should be fun to monitor the snow levels tomorrow. Gore also but will be interesting on differences between gore and face due to elevation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Wind Advisories up for all of Southern CT...saw that coming a mile away 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 54 minutes ago, dryslot said: That'd be a record gust here if that verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Wind advisories here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 SNH, PWM and Mid Coast in a HWW URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gray ME 309 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 MEZ023>028-NHZ014-171100- /O.UPG.KGYX.HW.A.0003.191017T0300Z-191017T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KGYX.HW.W.0002.191017T0300Z-191017T1500Z/ Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox- Coastal Waldo-Coastal Rockingham- Including the cities of Biddeford, Saco, Old Orchard Beach, Kittery, Portland, Cape Elizabeth, South Portland, Westbrook, Yarmouth, Brunswick, Arrowsic, Bath, Phippsburg, Bowdoinham, Topsham, Bowdoin, Whitefield, Dresden, Alna, Bremen, Bristol, Damariscotta, Newcastle, Boothbay Harbor, Wiscasset, Waldoboro, Owls Head, Rockland, Appleton, Camden, Hope, Rockport, Thomaston, Belfast, Northport, Searsmont, Lincolnville, Greenland, Portsmouth, Rye, Hampton, Hampton Falls, North Hampton, and Seabrook 309 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...East winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...In New Hampshire, Coastal Rockingham County. In Maine, Coastal York, Coastal Cumberland, Sagadahoc, Lincoln, Knox and Coastal Waldo Counties. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Some power outages are likely. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 That 58 mph threshold tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 16, 2019 Author Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Don't be afraid of the You missed the first 12 hrs for Ct RI though. Dont @ me I know it is grossly overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: You missed the first 12 hrs for Ct though Kind of the same deal when everyone post maps down your way and it looks like we have nothing here because we're 12 hours later............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: I'm not so sure I agree with their notion of "window of opportunity for surface-based convection". There is a bit of a spike in some sfc-based instability on the CAMS, however, this really happens behind the area of precipitation and is tied into the steepening of the mlvl lapse rates as the main energy moves overhead...along with the dry punch. I think there’s a threat that the triple point features enough of a window for surface based convection to include a marginal. It won’t be several supercells forming across the outlook area, but one storm that will be a threat kind of thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said: Winds starting to really crank up here on my hill. 12Z Euro lowest pressure 973mb Northfield NH How do you do on downslope winds? I think some parts of western NH will rip with those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 16, 2019 Author Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Kind of the same deal when everyone post maps down your way and it looks like we have nothing here because we're 12 hours later............... You were replying to Wiz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 hour ago, dryslot said: 69 knots. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 The fact there is no radar... What timing. Thank god for the TDWR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: You were replying to Wiz About winds on the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 16, 2019 Author Share Posted October 16, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: About winds on the cape. BID PVC my top 2 gusts on my fantasy team Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You missed the first 12 hrs for Ct RI though. Dont @ me I know it is grossly overdone We take a 0.6 multiplier and that the realistic winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 No TDWR jay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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