CoastalWx Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 Euro into north central CT. Slings mesolow into Maine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Euro into north central CT. Slings mesolow into Maine i think those lows are fake 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 14 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That dynamic cooling on the GFS is pretty crazy. Oh how we can dream. Thats an elevation blue bomb. Adjust +2c in the mid levels and that equals green. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 The 12z euro also looks like its slightly stronger with wind gusts across the Cape and Islands lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 I'm guessing that with less emphasis on the * meso lows, as time goes on, the modeled intensity and track should be weaker/west? I didn't see in-between hours on the Euro. The Ukie was relatively hi-hum with intensity and would seem to dry slots eastern, and maybe central SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 15, 2019 Author Share Posted October 15, 2019 Euro is concerning. Wonder also if we see quick surge on the south coast and up Narry bay 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 5 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: I'm guessing that with less emphasis on the * meso lows, as time goes on, the modeled intensity and track should be weaker/west? I didn't see in-between hours on the Euro. The Ukie was relatively hi-hum with intensity and would seem to dry slots eastern, and maybe central SNE. Weaker east would be more inline, I always associate a stronger low being west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 Euro goes west of CT River now!! Yeah boyyeeee 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Random thought, but funny you say that—I didn’t think of it until this very moment but I do the same as well, except for anything tropical. More east/poleward for stronger tropical lows and more west for weaker tropical lows. Obviously the drivers are different for tropical compared to a baroclinic low. Seeing we in NNE i don't give tropical lows much thought on its path as its usually east................... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: Weaker east would be more inline, I always associate a stronger low being west. Maybe, but what I am saying is that with less convective feedback and spurious low (s) south and east, that would probably allow (in totality) baroclinicity to lie a bit west of some of these solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 IF that's the case. I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro goes west of CT River now!! Yeah boyyeeee DIT, I don't see that. 969mb east of Cape Cod. As low fills it comes back NW over NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 25 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: DIT, I don't see that. 969mb east of Cape Cod. As low fills it comes back NW over NNE. Going by a text a met sent me and maps . There’s dual lows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 It's arched NW-SE as the whole thing moves NNE. So, technically at some point a piece of it goes west, but winds are not a big deal outside of srn and ern coast areas IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 15, 2019 Author Share Posted October 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Going by a text a met sent me and maps . There’s dual lows There is actually 3 lows a 988 up the Hudson to a 982 over me to a meso 969 tropical low over the Atlantic . Its actually a less wind threat to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 I really wouldn't "Technically" say that went west as there was a low east of there for 3 hrs........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 I would imagine the NWS would be issuing High Wind Watches/Advisories for some of the area soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 15, 2019 Author Share Posted October 15, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: I really wouldn't "Technically" say that went west as there was a low east of there for 3 hrs........lol Embedded mesos will be the problem. Hope it trends east tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 I see 45-50 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: There is actually 3 lows a 988 up the Hudson to a 982 over me to a meso 969 tropical low over the Atlantic . Its actually a less wind threat to you. Man look at those ESE downslope winds on the west slope of the Greens. Those are usually legit. Out of all of the posters here, @backedgeapproaching to DDH might stand the best chance of high winds due to the downslope gusts. The mountains make it so you don’t have to worry about track or inversions...those strong winds love lee side mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Embedded mesos will be the problem. Hope it trends east tonight. I think as the convection sorts itself out, This gets consolidated into one at some point, Lot of spurious convection rotating around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 15, 2019 Author Share Posted October 15, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Man look at those ESE downslope winds on the west slope of the Greens. Those are usually legit. Out of all of the posters here, @backedgeapproaching might stand the best chance of high winds due to the downslope gusts. I would take the Cape for 1000 Alex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I see 45-50 here Sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 15, 2019 Author Share Posted October 15, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: I think as the convection sorts itself out, This gets consolidated into one at some point, Lot of spurious convection rotating around. It has happened many times before though. This is not a winter storm. Hard to blow out a barometer that quickly without a wind response. That often results in these mesos embedded in the inflow jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 I'll sell on 58kt here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 15, 2019 Author Share Posted October 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I see 45-50 here Take off 25% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I see 45-50 here How many times are these overdone? Probably 99% of the time. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Take off 25% Hobby Lobby or Khols? I heard woman's clothing is half off there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I would take the Cape for 1000 Alex Yeah we’ll see. DDH and RUT ASOS can put up some good winds on the downslope. Can often get 850mb wind speeds to the surface in the lee side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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