dryslot Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 A lot of hype for a 997-1000mb storm, The biggest thing with this has been the surf along the coast and offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 3 hours ago, weatherwiz said: This...QPF charts are ripped and read way too much and I think they are misinterpreted. I always thought this was never a setup which was going to produce region-wide inches of rain. Any areas of torrential rain was going to be more localized and tied into bands of stronger lift which would move onshore and came with higher RH through those lift zones. How I view QPF maps is this... When looking at the QPF output, I ask myself what kind of setup we're dealing with and does the setup favor the potential for the QPF values being shown (over a widespread area). Depending on the set-up if the QPF maps are showing like a widespread 3-5'' of rain but it doesn't look like a set-up that will produce that, I will figure 3-5'' is like a ceiling which may fall locally. I was scrolling through social media last night and saw dozens of posts about various fb groups and twitter saying model bust or storm bust...I heavily disagree...chalk it into user bust lol I've actually noticed a "dumbing down" of the general skill from the human side of operational weather as the state of the art of the field has become ever more reliant upon automations and/or point-and-click conveniences avail in general. Just one in the myriad of ways that we are living in an expose of how technology effects Human society. It's a fantastic subject for digress and it is taking every molecule in my body not to go off into a patently unreadable diatribe ( haha) as only I seem capable of creating... But, sufficed it is to say, we seem to be passing through an evolutionary turn - it's a great sociological experiment along an evolutionary inevitability we've arrived upon as a species so powerful in our ability to alter the environment with the extremeness that we do. We'll leave it at that... In the mean time, ... I distinctly recall reading AFDs both at the local and at the continental/more regional scalesj as recently as the 1990s, that were far in a way more intellectually guiding? They just sounded smarter. The biggest difference I can detect between now and then is the technology servicing the disparate eras. Now, part of that could be just our own evolution as individual reader/consumers of the information. We do get more sophisticated until 80 years of age - when the other direction kicks in. Maybe stem-cell research will have an answer for that one day. But, mm. I don't have a photographic memory, but I have a very good one when it comes to having read and/or seen things in the past. I can compare in mind's eye pieces written from NCEP in their Extended range discussions, that were truly instrospective and insightful back in the day .. they were almost more speculative in fascinating ways. These days, there seems to be a cow-tied tendency to regurgitate what was just seen on a model prog/synoptic chart. Yeah...we know, "SCHRIPEL." We just saw that too. It gets so much so that I don't read read them anymore. I've noticed the same thing with TPC... They don't hash out risk areas anymore, unless some ensemble systemic-based output does first. I don't think it is necessarily bad? Despite the overtones here.. Because, otherwise, why invent the technology. Eventually, we have to use it. I guess there's plenty of room for interpretation there, in that reliance needs to be gauged - obviously relative to the skill of the tech being employed. So perhaps 'over-reliance' is the simple conclusion here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 31 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 2004? Say wut? You get the point. Take responsibility for what you (not you but us in general) chose to pay attention to. We live in a world where we blame everyone and everything else...but ourselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 So much anger from some peeps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: We now have Subtropical Storm Melissa Well... https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/111450.shtml Quote 000 WTNT34 KNHC 111450 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Melissa Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142019 1100 AM AST Fri Oct 11 2019 ...NOR'EASTER CENTERED SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND BECOMES A SUBTROPICAL STORM... ...CHANGE IN STORM STATUS DOES NOT CHANGE EXPECTED IMPACTS FROM WIND AND COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 I hope cranky is satisfied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 4 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: I hope cranky is satisfied. We wont bring up his nada tweet from the other day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: We wont bring up his nada tweet from the other day Hes intellectually dishonest. "Every cold front in the GOM" just stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 54 minutes ago, dryslot said: A lot of hype for a 997-1000mb storm, The biggest thing with this has been the surf along the coast and offshore. 995 and it was the gradient, always has been a coastal issue only, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not to be fussy but is it a really an analog? I mean, ...yeah, this probably does have some cyclonic phase stressing that's more hybrid that purely baroclinic - sure... I buy that. But, that 1991 thing had a full bird cane engulfed in side of it. This does not have that, that which goosed 1991 toward the warm phase diagram area. I guess it's a bit of a philosophical thing. I mean, it "looks" similar -sure. hugely so ha. But is it physically the same? Levi posted this, looks hybrid warm seclusion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Pretty nasty squall pushing through now. Looks interesting on radar..but it's pretty narrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 995 and it was the gradient, always has been a coastal issue only, The 1032mb high over Northern Maine in combination with that SLP offshore certainly generated the winds and coastal issues but the qpf was a major fail on modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Rainiest day of the 3 day meh'easter. Go figure. CJ style. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 gusty winds and mid level cloud deck here with some breaks of sun from time to time, 61 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Rainiest day of the 3 day meh'easter. Go figure. CJ style. Its a beaut Clark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Dropped to 49F with a decent squall pushing through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Legit nasty day with good rains and winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Legit nasty day with good rains and winds. Glad we don’t live there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Why is this thing retrograding back to us? I thought it was supposed to be kicked out to sea starting today? The snowstorms never stick around like you want, but the crappy misty raw stupid poo poo storms always do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Misery mist most of the day. Looks like 1/3" has fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 .75” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Glad we don’t live there Says the person who mentioned rain and clouds is seasons in seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Even a tree snapped on my way home. Damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Says the person who mentioned rain and clouds is seasons in seasons. It’s windy and cold here at 52. That’s fine. No one needs rain. Just dry cold conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Even a tree snapped on my way home. Damage. Pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pics? Was driving. Norway maple. We glad it gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 1 hour ago, Whineminster said: Why is this thing retrograding back to us? I thought it was supposed to be kicked out to sea starting today? The snowstorms never stick around like you want, but the crappy misty raw stupid poo poo storms always do. Yeah, thankfully this mess will be gone soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 0.24"Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Over .40” now under the misery mists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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