WinterWolf Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 CT for the win in the rainfall department from this perhaps??? Rained good all day yesterday, and Eastern areas of CT seemed to get more than the Cape today..at least by the looks of the radar? No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Belichick is really going to hate meteorologists now. He probably got word of 5-10", practiced all week with a soaking wet ball and wind mills, and game time ends up 5mph with a scattered sprinkle stars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Hope everyone is staying safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 32 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: NBC and ABC evening news at 630pm talked up the Nor easter. I didn't watch CBS. NBC Al Roker, "upwards of 10" of rain" in some areas". "Strong winds, heavy rain and beach erosion, a real mess". Stay safe down there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 PERFECT STORM!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 What a failure of modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: What a failure of modeling. Yes, this was a poor performance all around by modeling on this thing. The atmosphere tricked the models good this go around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 The media is just getting played by the modeling. I'm also still seeing TWC type stuff being shared on social media touting a powerful nor'easter with inches of rain and high winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 The media on this stuff is just pathetic anyway...they don’t give a crap whether what they’re pushing is accurate or not. It’s “The sky is falling mentality 24/7.” Sad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: The media on this stuff is just pathetic anyway...they don’t give a crap whether what they’re pushing is accurate or not. It’s “The sky is falling mentality 24/7.” Sad. Rip n' Read 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Absolutely terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Stay safe from the puddles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Faster than modeled upper level flow bump this forecast East? Certainly a nice day and beautiful evening here. Big qpf bust on most models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 16 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Faster than modeled upper level flow bump this forecast East? Certainly a nice day and beautiful evening here. Big qpf bust on most models. Dry air from the north. Still had 33 ft waves just offshore. Could have been a contender. People laughing at Oct 91 analogy should look at upper air setup across the country. If this had come northwest 50 miles the coast would have more issues than the flooding ongoing right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 3-5” of rain forecasted by all outlets I saw. Ended up with just over 1/2”. Even the winds were not that bad. 30-50 mph forecasted. Think I saw one gust at 30mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Decent winds out and about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Decent winds out and about We moon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 4 hours ago, dendrite said: Belichick is really going to hate meteorologists now. He probably got word of 5-10", practiced all week with a soaking wet ball and wind mills, and game time ends up 5mph with a scattered sprinkle. Wind definitely a factor on the passing game. Go Gints, at least its a game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 A shark posted earlier today to pound the over @ 41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Dry air from the north. Still had 33 ft waves just offshore. Could have been a contender. People laughing at Oct 91 analogy should look at upper air setup across the country. If this had come northwest 50 miles the coast would have more issues than the flooding ongoing right now The analogy should be laughed at, regardless of where it tracked. This is simply not as anomalous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 57 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wind definitely a factor on the passing game. Go Gints, at least its a game 3 possession loss....sloppy game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The analogy should be laughed at, regardless of where it tracked. This is simply not as anomalous. Thats not even close to what I am saying. It’s not as anomalous but it is analogous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 2 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: What a failure of modeling. Verbatim maybe, but it’s also a failure of model interpretation. We as an enterprise need to do better to interrogate QPF fields. Scoots mentioned some red flags with dry air in the lift generating layers. But it’s easier to rip and read a QPF map than make your own. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Thats not even close to what I am saying. It’s not as anomalous but it is analogous I get that...we have plenty of Miller Bs analagous to 1978, but unless sensible impact will be comparable, I don't see the value. To the contrary, it creates alot of unnecessary hype from the ill informed masses (not you). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: Verbatim maybe, but it’s also a failure of model interpretation. We as an enterprise need to do better to interrogate QPF fields. Scoots mentioned some red flags with dry air in the lift generating layers. But it’s easier to rip and read a QPF map than make your own. It wasn’t solely the QPF output. Brian posted images of the SD that were in the 5SD area. The winds never materialized. Models struggle with storms in these transitional periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I get that...we have plenty of Miller Bs analagous to 1978, but unless sensible impact will be comparable, I don't see the value. To the contrary, it creates alot of unnecessary hype from the ill informed masses (not you). See my edited post. Those Who thought this involved inland at any real impact were definitely misinformed, very close call for the coast. 50 to 75 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Thats not even close to what I am saying. It’s not as anomalous but it is analogous I’ll give you that if you showed people unlabeled 500 mb charts it might be tough to really tell the flow pattern apart, but that’s a bullet I’m saving for the real deal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I’ll give you that if you showed people unlabeled 500 mb charts it might be tough to really tell the flow pattern apart, but that’s a bullet I’m saving for the real deal. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It wasn’t solely the QPF output. Brian posted images of the SD that were in the 5SD area. The winds never materialized. Models struggle with storms in these transitional periods. I’m pretty sure the 5SD is verifying, what’s not is location and thus getting it to the ground/forcing the QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: It wasn’t solely the QPF output. Brian posted images of the SD that were in the 5SD area. The winds never materialized. Models struggle with storms in these transitional periods. Those SD maps are at 8h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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