RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 The Upper Plains blizzard scaling back some too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The "Perfect Storm" idiots were my favorite. There's a reason I've been camping out in the winter thread. This has been a snoozer outside of far SE Areas. It's s nice storm for them but back our way it's run of the mill October wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Start out at the highest levels and you can always scale back if needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 What time is the storm going to strike? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Comparison to this I have that book Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Just now, Dr. Dews said: I have that book Hand me down from your great grand dad? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 We huddle around lanterns and candles, the winds are hitting hard right now 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 7 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: What time is the storm going to strike? Your posts have been awful today. I suggest dialing it back. 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 11 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: I have that book It was my favorite as a kid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 To be fair, this isn't your run of the mill storm coming up the coast. It's a slow/stalled system that's wobbling. Very hard to accurately predict where and how much the heavy rain bands will be in the days leading up to this. Still, the models did a poor job in the days leading up to this relatively. Hopefully this isn't a bad sign for winter forecasting. If so, we're going to be in for a long frustrating winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Tomorrow looks pretty wet here. Rain totals could be decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 58 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There's a reason I've been camping out in the winter thread. This has been a snoozer outside of far SE Areas. It's s nice storm for them but back our way it's run of the mill October wx. Chilly, breezy and periods of rain, heavy at times, is what October weather is all about. The spots that get 2-3"+ rainfall though is a pretty decent event regardless of any wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Tomorrow looks pretty wet here. Rain totals could be decent Run of the mill at the coast ( not you Will) might be the worst take I have seen in these threads in years. But anytime it doesn’t effect interior Mass you will see similar posts in here. Look up 12/21/09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Run of the mill at the coast ( not you Will) might be the worst take I have seen in these threads in years. But anytime it doesn’t effect interior Mass you will see similar posts in here. Look up 12/21/09 For this time of year it’s rather anomalous, but I’m not sure the impacts outside of erosion are going to be substantial. If this were 50-70 miles NW it’s a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: For this time of year it’s rather anomalous, but I’m not sure the impacts outside of erosion are going to be substantial. If this were 50-70 miles NW it’s a different story. True totally always a coastal issue only with some heavy rain at the east facing coast nearest the mid level forcing. If this were winter there would be a different tone and I would be nearing 10 inches lol .8 so far, reports over 1.5 at the south coast of RI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Winter would be weenies crying and me at hotel on cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 37 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Chilly, breezy and periods of rain, heavy at times, is what October weather is all about. The spots that get 2-3"+ rainfall though is a pretty decent event regardless of any wind. Lol, isn’t October the month that features the most sunny days?? Or am I thinking of another month?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 54 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: To be fair, this isn't your run of the mill storm coming up the coast. It's a slow/stalled system that's wobbling. Very hard to accurately predict where and how much the heavy rain bands will be in the days leading up to this. Still, the models did a poor job in the days leading up to this relatively. Hopefully this isn't a bad sign for winter forecasting. If so, we're going to be in for a long frustrating winter. Its a pretty standard occurence for the majority of folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its a pretty standard occurence for the majority of folks. Nice to see you back, looking forward to our transition into winter mode around 11/15. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 48.6 and light rain, about.35 on the day. Winds gusting to 5 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 40 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Winter would be weenies crying and me at hotel on cape A room for two with Robby Kraft? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 4 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Comparison to this DIT was right! Dr. Dews is BIrving! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 BOX really was awful yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 12 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Comparison to this LOL--I had that book as a kid. Well, I guess the HH++ ended up playing out for the vast majority. Clocking in with a solid .10" for the past 24 hours and ORH managed a 30mph gust. We're all safe still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Gonna get nasty today. HRRR 3K ramping up rain totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Gonna get nasty today. HRRR 3K ramping up rain totals. Stay safe from the .25" it had for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 This storm is a great reason why the whole field will be replaced by robots soon enough. It's ok to mention that the impacts might not be what was first though a couple of days ago. That message was seen on guidance yesterday, but even now...I am seeing 2-3" to the north of Boston and 3-6" just south of the city. I don't understand why we can't just convey what will happen when things begin to change. We keep continuing with this notion to continue to sensationalize everything and it does nothing but make the science and the mets look bad. In my business, we are always trying to push situational awareness out and at least convey as accurately as we can when things change. Sometimes it's a little too late, and you can't knee jerk either...but we all know when it's time to hold 'em or fold 'em. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Stay safe from the .25" it had for you. Are you drinking? HRRR at 6z had me at 2.7, 3K 1.21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: This storm is a great reason why the whole field will be replaced by robots soon enough. It's ok to mention that the impacts might not be what was first though a couple of days ago. That message was seen on guidance yesterday, but even now...I am seeing 2-3" to the north of Boston and 3-6" just south of the city. I don't understand why we can't just convey what will happen when things begin to change. We keep continuing with this notion to continue to sensationalize everything and it does nothing but make the science and the mets look bad. In my business, we are always trying to push situational awareness out and at least convey as accurately as we can when things change. Sometimes it's a little too late, and you can't knee jerk either...but we all know when it's time to hold 'em or fold 'em. I think there is a tendency to get too specific too early. It's one thing when we talk about impacts here on the board, but when actual forecasts are going out that describe in detail how the storm will evolve 72+ hours in advance stretches beyond our capabilities. QPF is a great example, it's just a poorly forecast variable by the models and even over 48 hours it can change quite a bit. I know with my colleagues I see way too much trust in models, and especially the latest model run. The hill I'm prepared to die on this winter is holding onto watches longer. We shouldn't be crying wolf on 40% of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Are you drinking? HRRR at 6z had me at 2.7, 3K 1.21 The HRRR now through hr 18 is .25". This is not a big deal at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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