frd Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Bring it !!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 A follow up from John regarding the collapse of the Chukchi Sea ridge. A combination of factors leading to a very cold and active period down the road. Awesome animation too ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 46 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GEFS longwave pattern is pretty gorgeous through the entire run if you like cold and snow chances. Really hope we get looks like this next month and beyond. Eastern trough locked in with -AO and +PNA. And some hints of a continued active pattern. A move toward the euro solution for next weeks possible event as well. EPS with a very similar look. Both 12z ens runs with improvements in the areas needed to keep this train on track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Maybe even the South gets involved. Goes to show you the extent and degree of the cold air mass. However, as Webb mentions, it is still early November, and what is a week among friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Well now, I see HM mentioned the rubber band theory. I know he reads these boards. I also know for a fact Joel Myers from Accu Weather really did talk about this as a theory way back in the day. Not sure if HM's post means a moderation and change in the weather is a natural process, or whether he believes we can continue cold, or simply the most obvious might be there is no real support for the rubber band theory. Who the heck knows sometimes with Anthony. But, I love his insights ! I imagine eventually a pattern runs its course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 17 minutes ago, frd said: Well now, I see HM mentioned the rubber band theory. I know he reads these boards. I also know for a fact Joel Myers from Accu Weather really did talk about this as a theory way back in the day. Not sure if HM's post means a moderation and change in the weather is a natural process, or whether he believes we can continue cold, or simply the most obvious might be there is no real support for the rubber band theory. Who the heck knows sometimes with Anthony. But, I love his insights ! I imagine eventually a pattern runs its course. Where was the rubber band all those times it was 80 in December? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Love seeing the Aleutian low showing up on guidance. Winter is on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 39 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Where was the rubber band all those times it was 80 in December? Brilliant ! Bring on the ice age baby ! Its about time Snow Miser gets his damn revenge ! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 0z GFS brings back the snow for next Tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 6 minutes ago, jaydreb said: 0z GFS brings back the snow for next Tuesday. I’ll take the under of Raleigh getting 5-7” in mid November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 No comment on the sizable snowstorm next Tuesday on the GFS? Pretty sweet run with a lot of upside if the storm takes off a little earlier. Whoops, people mentioned it. Didn’t load on my phone. Either way... sick run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: No comment on the sizable snowstorm next Tuesday on the GFS? Pretty sweet run with a lot of upside if the storm takes off a little earlier. Whoops, people mentioned it. Didn’t load on my phone. Either way... sick run. 3 days out maybe, not 7 days away in November. Not saying impossible but unlikely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 3 days out maybe, not 7 days away in November. Not saying impossible but unlikely.Don’t get me wrong, I agree that it’s very unlikely that most of the Piedmont, not to mention the coastal areas, get a snowstorm in November. However, we definitely have the cold and pattern to pull it off. Skepticism is obviously warranted but I have a ton of fun following storms. Tracking is half — if not more of — the fun for me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 0z CMC also a nice hit for next Tuesday. We’re within 10 days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 Storm went poof on the euro but the 6z GFS looks like a big hit. 6z GFS snowmaps are silly, 10-12 inches for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 1 hour ago, DCTeacherman said: Storm went poof on the euro but the 6z GFS looks like a big hit. 6z GFS snowmaps are silly, 10-12 inches for our area. Wouldn't say it went poof. It's weaker and more progressive, but still there. Basically went from area-wide accumulation to area-wide first flakes more or less. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 snow TV still counts as snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 Area wide first flakes is a reasonable goal. Anything more is just icing on the cake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 Flipping through the eps members I was pleasantly surprised at how many gave us accumulating snow next week.I wasnt expecting that after seeing last nights OP run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 I really don't want an early season snow unless it is December 5th 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 HP more stout at 6z GFS and holds back enough to allow storm to ride up the front. Nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 16 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I really don't want an early season snow unless it is December 5th Does our climo really allow us to be picky about when or how it snows? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 2 hours ago, DCTeacherman said: Storm went poof on the euro but the 6z GFS looks like a big hit. 6z GFS snowmaps are silly, 10-12 inches for our area. The 6z GFS isn’t just an early snowstorm. It is a cold snow. 21 degrees with snow falling in the first half of Nov would be historic. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Does our climo really allow us to be picky about when or how it snows? I'm being simplistic obviously but I believe historically the early early season snows typically don't end up as good overall winters. I get your point though that all snows around here count including early or late. I'd just rather the snow season gets going in December or early January even. Those tend to be the more enjoyable winters in my aging mind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 GFS is silly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 Rain/Snow in my forecast for Monday night. I will enjoy that while it lasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 17 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: The 6z GFS isn’t just an early snowstorm. It is a cold snow. 21 degrees with snow falling in the first half of Nov would be historic. Ratios.. Lol.. It is insane.. Weenie candy for sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 13 minutes ago, mappy said: GFS is silly apparently my attachments storage was full -- now that its fixed. for @mattie g and @WxUSAF 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 9 minutes ago, mappy said: apparently my attachments storage was full -- now that its fixed. for @mattie g and @WxUSAF CMC looks very similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 GFS is loltastic...would rival the 1987 event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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