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Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion


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4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

The hrrr plays the retrograde surface low game.  In fairness the Nam also did this for a panel. 

Yes, if we get into the wrap around deform band for a little while, we could be in store for a little more snow. We just need to see how it all plays out.

Here is that 12z NAM panel & another view of the snow map.

 

0768F023-4960-4348-B95D-EA0AECD053FA.png

B2820868-C206-4C8E-9DB4-EEFAB18833F8.png

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4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Yes, if we get into the wrap around deform band for a little while, we could be in store for a little more snow. We just need to see how it all plays out.

Here is that 12z NAM panel & another view of the snow map.

 

 

 

Icon is sort of on board as well though a bit warmer so the precip is there but not as much coverage of snow. 

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3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Icon is sort of on board as well though a bit warmer so the precip is there but not as much coverage of snow. 

If we get any kind of intense band over us, I would not worry too much about surface temps. If it is a lot of light junk then yes. Of course the band would have to sit over an area for a time to cool everything down.  Right now I'm hoping to see snow fall from the sky.  Anything more would be great.  I picked up 1.4 inches last weekend on a fluke event,  maybe we can do the same here.

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12 minutes ago, daxx said:

Lucky you!  Still not set in stone where this sets up but it definitely has my attention now.

One thing I am going to point out...IF (stated in all Cap's with all the usual disclosures of what IF means) Lanco or really anyone in the LSV gets 4-6" of snow tomorrow and the rates are street stick worthy the NWS is going to be dished out some disdain.  The Zone's say rain/snow showers ending by 1PM with a high of 41.  Tomorrow is still a fairly busy travel day. 

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4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

One thing I am going to point out...IF (stated in all Cap's with all the usual disclosures of what IF means) Lanco or really anyone in the LSV gets 4-6" of snow tomorrow and the rates are street stick worthy the NWS is going to be dished out some disdain.  The Zone's say rain/snow showers ending by 1PM with a high of 41.  Tomorrow is still a fairly buys travel day. 

This is all happening pretty fast on models.  Last night I had very little interest with setup. 

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1 minute ago, daxx said:

This is all happening pretty fast on models.  Last night I had very little interest with setup. 

I think it was something they probably should have been warning about a few days but everyone's focus was on today when today was never really a threat with the warm weather preceding it. An inch or two of snow and no one will say much but a plow-able snow will bring about complaints. 

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