tim123 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 How much is euro. Is it any good at lake snow resolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 12 minutes ago, tim123 said: How much is euro. Is it any good at lake snow resolution. I just got a subscription to weathermodels.com . It is only $12.99 a month which is half the cost of other model subscription sites such as tropicaltidbits or wxbell. It's graphics are fantastic and has all the models you could think of including the Euro, high res Euro (which only goes out to 90hrs but has a 06/18z suite), EPS, and Long Range Euro (47 days). I love how you can also chose your exact geographic region too so you can see every little detail even on global models which you obviously can't see when your looking at a view of the entire CONUS or even NE US. Below I've attached a 2m temp forecast from the GFS zoomed in to the NY region to show detail compared to a zoomed out view. To me it's well worth the price and even more. Excited to use it when we actually have some real snow to track! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 Does it have 3km nam zoomed In. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 1 hour ago, tim123 said: Does it have 3km nam zoomed In. Sure does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 I moved from weather bell to weather models.com last year, I think this year I'll try truewx which is 12.99 as well.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 I've been itching to resubscribe but waiting on an actual snow threat lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I moved from weather bell to weather models.com last year, I think this year I'll try truewx which is 12.99 as well.. Never heard of truewx.... just looked at their page and it looks decent. Please let us know how it is if you try it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 25, 2019 Author Share Posted October 25, 2019 WXbell has 6 and 18 Euro runs this year, tempting. But I just grab everything off twitter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 Outside shot at double digit rain this month.. So far 6.04" has fallen this month.. Wpc has another 3"-4" of liquid over the next 6/7 days from 2 separate rain makers.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 In-laws are coming up from jersey on the 9th of November, they absolutely hate cold and snow, usually they only come up in the spring/summer..U know what I'm rooting for lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 What a sweet track on the gfs for Halloween.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 1 step towards the gfs on the 12z Canadian.. Timing is still way off.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 25, 2019 Author Share Posted October 25, 2019 Going to be a fun year if the models are this terrible already. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 49 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Going to be a fun year if the models are this terrible already. This is Norman Bates kinda crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 25, 2019 Author Share Posted October 25, 2019 The latest Euro is similar to the Canadian suggesting a further west and slower solution to the mid to late week storm system. These solutions hang back the upper level energy longer the GFS. The Euro is also stronger with the associated low than the other models. With so much uncertainty, at this stage of the forecast will lean toward continuity which has followed the slower Euro more closely. But with that said, there is plenty of uncertainty in the Wednesday through Friday time frame with several different outcomes that could occur, including lake effect precipitation and snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 Impressive looking storm on the 18z gfs.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 31 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Impressive looking storm on the 18z gfs.. Few degrees colder and that would be a legit blizzard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted October 27, 2019 Share Posted October 27, 2019 That Friday storm is still looking fierce and gaining quite a bit of support among numerous models. There would definitely be some damage from that storm track. It also ushers in the first flakes for most everyone. Almost in range to start believing it could happen. Also, the Bills game will be quite windy tomorrow. Should basically remove the kicking game and hinder the pass game. I hope Singletary and Gore can run a good ground game. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 27, 2019 Share Posted October 27, 2019 Looks like we could have some decent cold coming in just before the in-laws get here, nice lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 27, 2019 Share Posted October 27, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 Lots of really strong signals showing up in the first part of November and beyond as the PV looks to be in a potential split by the middle of the month. CPC discusses the AO going negative after this week and possibly staying neutral negative through mud month...if this appears correct then the week or two leading up to Thanksgiving COULD be interesting around here, synoptically or lake effect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 28, 2019 Author Share Posted October 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: Lots of really strong signals showing up in the first part of November and beyond as the PV looks to be in a potential split by the middle of the month. CPC discusses the AO going negative after this week and possibly staying neutral negative through mud month...if this appears correct then the week or two leading up to Thanksgiving COULD be interesting around here, synoptically or lake effect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 High Wind Watches are out... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 Depening low pressure is forecast to pass by to our northwest and potentially bring a round of high winds to our area Thursday night and Friday. A high wind watch has thus been issued for much of far western New York and Jefferson county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 This week will start pleasant, with above normal temperatures through Tuesday. A strong storm system late this week will bring rain, strong winds and much cooler air that could support some snowflakes over the higher terrain Friday night and into Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 We are late lol First flakes put into the forecast, see how that goes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 29, 2019 Author Share Posted October 29, 2019 Initially...the relatively dry nature of the colder air will probably only result in a limited lake response east of the lakes Friday night into early Saturday. After that time...an increase in background moisture associated with the approach and passage of a surface trough (and attendant upper level trough axis) should result in the activity becoming at least somewhat better organized for the Saturday-Sunday time frame. While wind directions and consequent lake effect placement remain difficult to pin down this far out in advance...during this 36 hour period...generally backing flow out ahead of the trough should send the activity northward to areas northeast of the lakes Saturday... with veering winds in its wake shunting the activity back south to the traditional lake effect areas east of the lakes Saturday night and Sunday. The most likely time for lake effect showers is Saturday night into Sunday morning, with the increase in moisture from the shortwave. Temperatures will be marginally cold enough to support snow, with accumulating snows possible in this time frame. Although many spots may see the first snow flakes of the season, any accumulation is likely to be confined to higher terrain inland from the lakes. this period will feature mainly dry weather and temperatures averaging solidly below normal...with daytime highs in the 40s and nighttime lows ranging in the lower to mid 30s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 Looks like this first push of colder air this weekend will not be as cold as the second push later next week...its with that push I expect an actual lake response of note. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 Another 2"-3" liquid forecasted east of Ontario.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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