tim123 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: So when does the NWS buf start to panic after, for days mind you, shitting on the Euro??? They always shit on any model that predicts area wide snowstorms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 8 hours ago, wolfie09 said: If we have to have an outlier I'm glad it's the euro lol Hahaha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Tomorrow it will be the system is to far west, mixing, minimal snowfall.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 2 out of 2 so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 GFS came around to EURO. Awesome The Goofus never changes, even with all these rez enhancements, RLMAO, As the USA has to rely on the Euro to formulate an actual forecast and we, as Americans, should be ashamed of ourselves. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: The Goofus never changes, even with all these rez enhancements, RLMAO, As the USA has to rely on the Euro to formulate an actual forecast and we, as Americans, should be ashamed of ourselves. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Crazy. Ain’t it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 look at ne wind lake enhanced snow in monroe county wrf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Consider this a win.. 3 out of 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Rgem is a little slower getting precipitation in compared to the Nam but it's all snow.. European may be right on track but it's probably off on thermal.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Models starting to get a clue lake ontario will explode with this cold air I think 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 17 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Consider this a win.. 3 out of 3 Make it 4 for 4. Now queue the Euro coming in way west or way East lmao. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Possibly 12 plus I think after lake affect rochester to syracuse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 I wonder if the weakish precipitation rates and long duration prevent us from getting a warning..Unless they expect 9" over a 24hr period.. For example the rgem has a MAX of 2"-4" over a 6 hr period for most.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 If there is a way to not put up a watch they will find it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Dang Tim! You coming down hard on BUF today. U know one of them reads this, right? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 For a region that gets so much snow they are extremely stingy on winter storm watches and warnings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 And more often than not upgrade half way through events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 10, 2019 Author Share Posted November 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, tim123 said: For a region that gets so much snow they are extremely stingy on winter storm watches and warnings. That's the exact reason they are stingy. We are used to run of the mill 3-6" events here. For locations that don't receive a lot of snow like we do they issue them quickly. It makes sense to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 I get it to a degree as well but lived here all my life and have read many forecast discussions and whatever model shows least snow that's what they ride most of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 2 hours ago, Thinksnow18 said: So when does the NWS buf start to panic after, for days mind you, shitting on the Euro??? Well there is no reason to panic. It’s a fun storm for us nerds but something that WNY can handle without batting an eye and a minor nuisance for the general pop. It’s not like they missed a three foot blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 22 minutes ago, tim123 said: I get it to a degree as well but lived here all my life and have read many forecast discussions and whatever model shows least snow that's what they ride most of time Dude a 3-6" snow is a joke for us, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 I know that just saying they ride whatever shows least snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Also, now probably isn’t the time but I’m always fascinated by the gfs hate. Ive used it pretty much 90 percent of the time for years and it seems damn decent to me. If you compare the sfc low placement around 12z Tuesday for the past 5 days you’ll see the gfs does a better job than the euro. I also feel like I see it identify storms further out than the euro, only to lose them in mid range before finally locking in again around day 4. Anyway, always an interesting topic. I think the gfs gets a worse rap than it deserves. /end rant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 CMC pretty far NW. But still all snow for most of us. We can stop the NW trend now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Watches should go up tomorrow I would think, not like I care or anything! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 lol..Now that the models are all coming into consensus with what the Euro was showing, what does the Euro do? Goes even farther northwest! This run looks meh for the Syracuse area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 10, 2019 Author Share Posted November 10, 2019 8-10" on Euro at 1:10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 On 11/8/2019 at 1:23 PM, wolfie09 said: After 2 blip runs the euro is back to it's original idea.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 40 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Looks good for Phoenix/ Fulton. Closer to Syracuse is getting tighter. Probably pull back tomorrow. Oscillation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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