wolfie09 Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 Quote What a contrast in temperature across the region! Low pressure system over Lake Erie and its associated warm front is beginning to poke into far sw New York, though most of our forecast area is in the cool and moist airmass north of that front. Temps are into the mid 70s to mid 80s with dwpnts near 70F over northeast OH and western PA while much of our forecast area has been stuck in the upper 40s to lower 50s much of the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 4, 2019 Author Share Posted October 4, 2019 Nice lake effect rain setup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Nice lake effect rain setup Now let's have that show up in about 8 weeks... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 Spectacular peak foliage will be arriving in the Adirondacks and Catskills this weekend, while other areas of the state are reaching near-peak and midpoint of change, according to volunteer observers from the Empire State Development Division of Tourism’s I LOVE NY program. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 Last year my first frozen precipitation was on Oct 16th in the form of graupel, my first light snow accumulation was Oct 24th, so it's coming lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 4, 2019 Author Share Posted October 4, 2019 From this last weekend camping in the dacks 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 Just took a peak at the current area temps in WNY...kbuf is at 48, kiag is at 49, Springville 44, olean 41...the only 50 temp on the map is at Dunkirk which literally sucks in lake Erie water...im thinking the expected highs are not met today which might lead to lower temps than predicted right now for the overnight period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 Trying to post the end of the run GOOFUS at hours 378 and 384...(no I'm not having a liquid lunch) and if by any chance this comes to fruition that would produce the first flakes in the higher terrain in the CWA. That would line up well with what Wolfie just posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 4, 2019 Author Share Posted October 4, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 4, 2019 Author Share Posted October 4, 2019 Almost all of Buffalos best snowfall years come in Neutrel/Weak Enso conditions +/- 1 STD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 57 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Almost all of Buffalos best snowfall years come in Neutrel/Weak Enso conditions +/- 1 STD. Post it 50 more times...thats how many more times I want to like this post 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 4, 2019 Author Share Posted October 4, 2019 First snow in the dacks 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 4, 2019 Author Share Posted October 4, 2019 37 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Post it 50 more times...thats how many more times I want to like this post Courtesy of @dendrite from New England forum. I don't think it has the last few years of data added yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 4 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Spectacular peak foliage will be arriving in the Adirondacks and Catskills this weekend, while other areas of the state are reaching near-peak and midpoint of change, according to volunteer observers from the Empire State Development Division of Tourism’s I LOVE NY program. I don't know where they get their data from. We seem to always be ahead of what these maps say, and I would certainly say we are past peak in Eastern Delaware County now. Unless they prefer their peaks with 1/4-1/2 of the trees bare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 51 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said: I don't know where they get their data from. We seem to always be ahead of what these maps say, and I would certainly say we are past peak in Eastern Delaware County now. Unless they prefer their peaks with 1/4-1/2 of the trees bare. Soon we’ll be at peak! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 Already down to 37°, I think we'll best the projected low of 33°.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 Quite a contrast in temps at the moment with mid-upper 40's in the Central and southern part of the county.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 Nice crisp night out there! Such a relief from the constant damp dreary mist that has been hanging over for us for days. Think this will be one of the earlier area wide frost freezes we have had in a few years. Seeing some nice looks in the 8-10 day range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 Dipped below freezing for the first time this cold season.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 Down to 36 here. By far the coolest of the season. Don’t really see any frost though. Edit: as I head out this morning there is frost on the top of the car. The windshield and windows are just dew but the top and the roof rack have frost on them so I guess you could consider it a light frost this morning here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 28 crisp beautiful degrees out there...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 2 hours ago, WesterlyWx said: Down to 36 here. By far the coolest of the season. Don’t really see any frost though. Edit: as I head out this morning there is frost on the top of the car. The windshield and windows are just dew but the top and the roof rack have frost on them so I guess you could consider it a light frost this morning here. Very interesting observation for me at least this morning. I drove my wife to work at 6:40ish and when we walked to our vehicle, like WW stated, only frost/frozen water droplets were on the roof of the car...windows were just wet with dew, however when I arrived home about 35 minutes later the front windshield on the same car was now frozen even though the sun had begun to rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 24.8°, everything frosted here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 We made it several degrees below the forecasted low temp... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 9 hours ago, Thinksnow18 said: Very interesting observation for me at least this morning. I drove my wife to work at 6:40ish and when we walked to our vehicle, like WW stated, only frost/frozen water droplets were on the roof of the car...windows were just wet with dew, however when I arrived home about 35 minutes later the front windshield on the same car was now frozen even though the sun had begun to rise. Only thing I can think of was maybe from evaporative cooling as the water evaporated as you were driving around causing whatever moisture was left to freeze? I could be way off though, just a guess lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shea Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 I can confirm it was below freezing this morning on Fort Drum. Our smoke alarms are very temperature sensitive and when the furnace kicked on for the first time it set off all the alarms. So when my kids and I were outside at about 5 am, everything had a lovely coating of frost which I would have appreciated much more if I wasn’t in pajamas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 Might be cherry picking on this one but whatever early season hopes and dreams!. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 47 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Might be cherry picking on this one but whatever early season hopes and dreams! . On the 13th anniversary of the October 13th snowstorm? Sounds perfect lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 6, 2019 Share Posted October 6, 2019 Cool, cloudy and rainy.. Potential for some decent rain overnight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now