Syrmax Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 3 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: This forum has been chasing straight fantasy storms for the past couple weeks, like much worse than usual. Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Alot of those are good hits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Yeah the max (mean) snowfall went significantly west.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Hey! At least got something to watch! This thing is as precarious as a jenga game at a Parkinson’s convention. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Some gefs members pretty far west.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 The Thanksgiving rain storm pretty much hits a brick wall and heads east over NNY lol Which btw is gonna help some, creating a "log jam" with weak hp undercutting it , the coastal won't be in a hurry.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 ICON a good bit north through 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 37 minutes ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: ICON a good bit north through 102 Looks like a rainer incoming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Looks like a rainer incoming. You are right. Not pretty for me at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Gfs farther north with the primary as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Gfs farther north with the primary as well.. Both models look similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: What are we looking at wolife? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Was brought up on another board, chasing convection.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Was brought up on another board, chasing convection.. I see. Possible connective feedback. Very possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Common theme this evening , primary going farther north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Another Cutter? Theme of the decade...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 It transfers off the coast next frame and was a pretty good run for CNY on North.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Big storm potential still on the table, that's all we can ask for at this juncture.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 So after seeing the 0z Euro and the 6z GFS both make this storm look like a a passing flurry, suddenly the next 10 days after also look rather benign. Not warm, not cold, drab and boring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 21 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: I want proof, can't just pull up a map of snowfall totals. That model is so bad it's not even listed on the model verification score page. I think it was the March 12, 2017 storm. All the post of the ICON are all missing links so would have to look at archives, if there are any. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 36 minutes ago, vortmax said: I think it was the March 12, 2017 storm. All the post of the ICON are all missing links so would have to look at archives, if there are any. It’s a useful tool. It’s snowfall maps aren’t as aggressive as others so it’s crapped on. In the last storm I think it consistently showed Syracuse/ Fulton getting the shaft (correctly), no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 12z and 18z..The good ole GFS, lol, but its not that bad of a tool which is what all of this guidance is, are tools with the Euro being the Dewalt brand while all the rest are Kobalt, Milwaukee and Bosch are mediocre except black and decker which is akin to the horrific Canadian guidance, the absolute worse out CD there!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Looks like a rainer incoming.What are ppl looking at on this board?Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 The last storm your precious Euro consistently missed the taint. Just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 27, 2019 Author Share Posted November 27, 2019 44 minutes ago, vortmax said: I think it was the March 12, 2017 storm. All the post of the ICON are all missing links so would have to look at archives, if there are any. I'm just not a fan of its wild inconsistency. I think a blend of GFS, EURO, UK, CMC and within 48 hours the NAM is the best course to take. (especially for lake effect) Euro usually scores as it has the highest model verification scores followed by the UKIE, GFS, and finally CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 27, 2019 Author Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: The last storm your precious Euro consistently missed the taint. Just saying. Statistics don't lie, the Euro is the far superior model to the others. And yes it did... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 The German ICON is in its own world, as usual and most guidance are in their own respective worlds so follow the most superior guidance our there, The Euro until other models follow suit cause they will start to unless its solution is wrong and the GFS sees a totally different scenario so lets watch. I won't even look at the ICON, CANADIAN and aEspecially the RGEM, horrific tools to predict our weather. It's however, better than most guidance with cold dense low lvl arctic air intrusions but that's about it!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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