PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Edit: wolfie beat me too it but regardless You western NY folks will weenie the IcOn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Gfs about 50 miles south with the primary so far, out to hour 120.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 3:59 PM, rochesterdave said: I still can’t believe the primary goes south enough to allow redevelopment over south jersey. I still say it cuts but Think Snow might have the win. We certainly have blocking. But do we have enough HP in Canada to keep the bowling ball. Expand I was just reading another met on another forum who discusses the possibility of the LP going even further south due to the strong HP just to the north. It isn't as great as cutter with significant LES possibilities, but it beats a long period of mixing and just general junk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Nice burst for Rochester.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 4:09 PM, wolfie09 said: Nice burst for Rochester.. Expand Storm is off the Delmarva on this run. That dynamic cooling is indicative of a very strong deepening system. Gonna be a crusher run for coastal areas on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 3:56 PM, tim123 said: I is wonky but sometimes it pulls one out lol Expand Name one time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 4:33 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Name one time. Expand There was 1 storm 2 years ago that the ICON pulled off. It was a pretty big one too, I think it was the one were we (Ontario, NY) got a total of 29" or so over a 2-day period. Tim? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 3:59 PM, rochesterdave said: I still can’t believe the primary goes south enough to allow redevelopment over south jersey. I still say it cuts but Think Snow might have the win. We certainly have blocking. But do we have enough HP in Canada to keep the bowling ball. Expand There is no blocking, that's why it's going SE with each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 4:35 PM, vortmax said: There was 1 storm 2 years ago that the ICON pulled off. It was a pretty big one too, I think it was the one were we (Ontario, NY) got a total of 29" or so over a 2-day period. Tim? Expand Only the Icon had it from far out in time? Highly doubt that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 4:35 PM, vortmax said: There was 1 storm 2 years ago that the ICON pulled off. It was a pretty big one too, I think it was the one were we (Ontario, NY) got a total of 29" or so over a 2-day period. Tim? Expand Cant remember specific one but there has been times it's been a trend setter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 4:36 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Only the Icon had it from far out in time? Highly doubt that. Expand It wasn't the only one, but it was the most right from far out....now you're gonna make me look! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 4:40 PM, vortmax said: It wasn't the only one, but it was the most right from far out....now you're gonna make me look! Expand I want proof, can't just pull up a map of snowfall totals. That model is so bad it's not even listed on the model verification score page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Not sure I understand what you're saying lol If we had no blocking this would be in Canada.. The NAO is negative the first few days of December with a semi 50/50 low.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Canadian warmer with the primary.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Looks similar to icon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 4:49 PM, wolfie09 said: Not sure I understand what your saying lol If we had no blocking this would be in Canada.. The NAO is negative the first few days of December with a semi 50/50 low.. Expand Where is the blocking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Why does the primary go do east? And not into the lakes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 GEM crushes central NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Gives rochester 10 inches buffalo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Call it what u want, it's stopping the system from going north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 5:01 PM, wolfie09 said: Call it what u want, it's stopping the system from going north.. Expand It’s a block for sure. Transient or not. The definition is Meteorologists refer to a 'blocking' high when a large area of high pressure becomes stationary, resulting in the blocking or redirection of low pressure systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 Yes no greenland blocking pushing it north, but very weak blocking pushing it south. I was referencing the NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 This setup screams dry slot/thermal issues/qpf issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 GEFS Mean is way south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 4:36 PM, BuffaloWeather said: There is no blocking, that's why it's going SE with each run. That's makes no sense whatsoever bro. You mean there is blocking that's why its keeps ticking SE or am I missing something, lol?Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 On 11/26/2019 at 5:32 PM, CNY-LES FREAK said: That's makes no sense whatsoever bro. You mean there is blocking that's why its keeps ticking SE or am I missing something, lol? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Expand If the NAO was negative the low would go north into Canada. In this instance, there is weak blocking pushing it south. IE: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Yeah big hit.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Buffalo rochester syracuse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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