BuffaloWeather Posted November 25, 2019 Author Share Posted November 25, 2019 GGEM still has the event 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 6 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Bring out the shorts! Well just like the LES was taken away so is the above furnace blast on the 6Z GFS...in fact gives us quite a few chances for snow/les/enhanced right through the end of its run...the models have been crazier than jack Nicholson in the shining. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Gfs is also way south for Sunday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Some improvements with the European.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 gfs Ensemble mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 This is the kind of track we wanna see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Let's try and get one it is events that everyone's posting to be within 3 days then maybe we can get some excitement going on this board otherwise we're in for a very very dull holiday season when it comes to wintry weather likely due to the horrifically below average November we just experienced and I really don't know what snowstorm everyone's talking about because I got 5" total and that's not a storm that's a nuisance!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Models are all over the place, likely due to the change of seasons which happens every yr practically but these warm Decembers are starting to bore me yr after yr! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 25, 2019 Author Share Posted November 25, 2019 7 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Models are all over the place, likely due to the change of seasons which happens every yr practically but these warm Decembers are starting to bore me yr after yr! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Definitely agree, they are not handling things well at all. With a negative EPO we always have a chance as the cold air will be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 25, 2019 Author Share Posted November 25, 2019 26 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: This is the kind of track we wanna see GEFS are close wolf, looks like a transfer. We watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 25, 2019 Author Share Posted November 25, 2019 EPS farther north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Canadian ensembles in between the two.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 If the above scenarios play out we could see a front end snow that quickly changes to rain and then goes to all snow as the secondary takes over and we are left witn a good dose of wraparound moisture pouring over the lakes and a good accumulating snowfall. I think WNY does best in these scenarios 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 That's a cool view...reminds me of The Matrix when Neo visits the Architect 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 U guys in wny would enjoy the icon, practically a straight up cutter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 28 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Most of the members keep us mixed or mostly snow and a good deal on the backside of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 12z gfs coming in North.. Similar to the Canadian ensembles posted above.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Just in time to crush Boston.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 17 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Just in time to crush Boston.. Yeah that particular run was not a good one...just another piece to the puzzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Canadian was looking pretty good until it found a weakness and cut lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 If ppl can't clearly see that this bowling ball, whichbis an anomaly as it is, as usually these cut offs occur late Spring during again, change of seasons when theres quite a bit of mixing between both streams so we'll see what happens. I'm in the cutting West camp and after if, and when it transfers to the Coast, I can see it being to far North to really get any appreciable snow or even precip back this far West. The Lake effect is a straight guess from this far out so....... I absolutely despise cold and somewhat snowy November's and this is why!!!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 So your telling me no chance? Haha The model runs that cut this seem to have better lake effect potential.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 25, 2019 Author Share Posted November 25, 2019 Nice LES for southtowns on canadian 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 25, 2019 Author Share Posted November 25, 2019 I'll take the cutter for 200 alex. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Euro is probably worst case scenario for us unless the secondary tracks inland.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 I guess it would be something lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Just now, wolfie09 said: I guess it would be something lol Synoptic WAA snows to cirrus after the transfer with that track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 2 hours ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: If ppl can't clearly see that this bowling ball, whichbis an anomaly as it is, as usually these cut offs occur late Spring during again, change of seasons when theres quite a bit of mixing between both streams so we'll see what happens. I'm in the cutting West camp and after if, and when it transfers to the Coast, I can see it being to far North to really get any appreciable snow or even precip back this far West. The Lake effect is a straight guess from this far out so....... I absolutely despise cold and somewhat snowy November's and this is why!!! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Couldn’t agree more. This has cutter all over it. Still up in the air about LES in BUF and Tug. You guys actually don’t want a transfer- obviously. I think that’s still a good possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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