rochesterdave Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Sorry for the terrible resolution. Pulled from Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 11, 2019 Author Share Posted November 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Sorry for the terrible resolution. Pulled from Twitter Paste the twitter link directly to here. It automatically embeds it. Same with YouTube 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, WNash said: I’m the idiot who loves snow but lives near the Buffalo-Amherst line, where we get less than half of what they see in the southtowns and only 75% of what the airport records just a few miles due east. But an average season here is still way more than the snowiest winters I saw when I lived downstate. You’re not alone...I rival the biggest snow lovers, but moved last year from N. Cheektowaga to Snyder, a bit further from the snow belt. Couldn’t justify leaving so many conveniences for what amounts to about 10 weeks of lake effect snow potential. I’ve mastered the art of the chase at this point, so no big loss. Anywhoo...psyched about the early storm coming up. These are rare...Couple inches of slop before Nov 15 is typical, but this not so much. Much more likely IMO to get a late April pasting than an early November synoptic hit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 30 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: 25 miles North of Syracuse, average is around 140 or more. I know the Cuse is 123" Wow that's amazing. Oswego county ? 28 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: It’s the greatest winter experience of all time. Being in a strong lake effect band is unmatched. Come up this year! My friends and I have been talking about it. One day we will come up there to chase. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 41 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Are you really comparing your climate to ours down here ? My average is 27 inches. What's yours ? 80+? You’re everywhere Tony... (Meso) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 25 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: It’s the greatest winter experience of all time. Being in a strong lake effect band is unmatched. Come up this year! I remember that video, epic! Having been in the middle of several “mega bands” off Erie and Ontario, I gotta say the heaviest snow rates I’ve experienced are always with no wind. Winds on the band edges might be 10 or more mph, but the real crazy heavy stuff is calm with near 0 vis from the falling snow alone. That’s the euphoria zone. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 I drove in an 8"/hr megaband @SUNY Oswego a long time ago. Couldn't even see the hood of my pickup. The wipers couldn't remotely keep up with pushing it away. No wind, huge flakes, lightning, pure awesome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 12 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: I gotta say the heaviest snow rates I’ve experienced are always with no wind. Very true and its because of the way the wind is sucked up into a strong LE band. Its exactly like a Thunder storm but on a mesoscale lvl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 21 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Wow that's amazing. Oswego county ? My friends and I have been talking about it. One day we will come up there to chase. Come to the dark side my friend We have police here too haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Temperature in Fort Drum dropped 7 degrees once the rain started. Checked the Watertown webcam and rain is changing to snow right now. Wolfie, I have always thought that map is just DUMB. Let's skip 25 inches between each "zone" So it goes directly from 100 inches to 125?!? Poor map making 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 0z Nam 3k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Looks like pretty much all of the models bumped north again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 NAM-3K Y U ha8 me bruh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Yeah was just gonna post that.. The rgem p-type shows all snow but the 540 thickness line makes it into southern Oswego..Not that it can't snow with high thickness lol But it can also indicate sleet/mix.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 It's not until midnight that the 540 line gets south of onieda lake..Still in the clear but it's worth noting lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 11, 2019 Author Share Posted November 11, 2019 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah was just gonna post that.. The rgem p-type shows all snow but the 540 thickness line makes it into southern Oswego..Not that it can't snow with high thickness lol But it can also indicate sleet/mix.. Can notice the banding developing in WNY within the deform band. That banding could result in some higher totals where ever that sets up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 11, 2019 Author Share Posted November 11, 2019 1 hour ago, Buffalo Bumble said: I remember that video, epic! Having been in the middle of several “mega bands” off Erie and Ontario, I gotta say the heaviest snow rates I’ve experienced are always with no wind. Winds on the band edges might be 10 or more mph, but the real crazy heavy stuff is calm with near 0 vis from the falling snow alone. That’s the euphoria zone. I go back and watch these videos all the time. Helps me relive the moments on how truly epic this event was. Once in a lifetime stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 11, 2019 Author Share Posted November 11, 2019 The HRRR gets the mix line to my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 28 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah was just gonna post that.. The rgem p-type shows all snow but the 540 thickness line makes it into southern Oswego..Not that it can't snow with high thickness lol But it can also indicate sleet/mix.. With that being said, rgem still rock solid according to the clown maps.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 0z hrrr which goes out to hr 36.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Latest GFS run too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 My final predictions: KBUF: 8.6” KROC: 11.3” KSYR: 5.9” KART: 9.6” KBGM: 2.8” Good luck everyone! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Wpc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 My numbers: Buf: 10 Niagara: 13” Roc: 9” SYR: 4” Fulton: 8” Mix comes close to Thruway BUF-Roc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Pretty sure I'm seeing some mangled flakes mixing in with the rain drops, temp down to 34°.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 This is going over to snow sooner than anticipated and the Warning doesn't begin till 1pm, lol! Snow is mixing in for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Cold is pushing nicely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 1 hour ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Cold is pushing nicely! It’s already all snow here and coming down nicely. 32 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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