CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 If this ends up being mostly of the frozen variety, we're going to get pounded and now I'm beginning to get excited cause it's our first synoptic system and actual winter is still 1.5 months away, lol, so this is all gravy when it comes to amounts. I'm such a degenerate weenie, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 I was gonna say let's start another thread for the event like the NYC-Boston crew's do but I just thought more about it and we don't have anywhere near the amount of posters they do, so it would be a waste of a thread. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 50 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: WOW!! That's a nice sounding. At this point, given broad NWP convergence on a consensus, i think that the one thing that can defeat us is the dreaded #ricesnow. Forecast soundings are the best way to detect that scourge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Winter starts here in the middle of November, not sure about you guys lol December is our snowiest month, it's not even close..Once into middle Jan through Feb winds align more NW/WNW.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 We had some snow left over since Thursday until around noon today. Now we replenish again tomorrow. Nice little (and temporary) start to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Some years Bennett's bridge hits near triple digits in December and less than 20" in Feb lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Anybody watching the Panthers/Green Bay game? They’re getting the beginnings of our storm. The ground is beginning to get covered there. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 1 hour ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: WOW!! So what's this telling me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 9 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Anybody watching the Panthers/Green Bay game? They’re getting the beginnings of our storm. The ground is beginning to get covered there. I am Enjoy the snow. Living near the lakes is a weenies dream. I went to Cooperstown last Novenver with my friends and it was snowing pretty good. Total was about 4 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Look up skew t sounding Tim. The x axis shows the temperature profile (Follow at angle) while the y shows the height. Where they cross is the expectation. You want all lines to be under 0 (or -4 to be safe) for snow. thats my basic understanding. Had to learn it to keep the Fulton people from making a monkey outta me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 6 minutes ago, tim123 said: So what's this telling me? That its gonna snow very hard overnight! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Thanks for the education Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 red= temp green= dewpoint The closer they are, the more moisture is avail for upward motion if theres a mechanism around to produce lift, ie: In this case itll be the stalled out front but theres a lot more, so much really. Dry adiabatic rates and what not can be introduced but those words lose ppl, lol! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 you can literally waste a semester on skew T's, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Upgraded to warning as expected, same 6"-10" forecast.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 1 hour ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I was gonna say let's start another thread for the event like the NYC-Boston crew's do but I just thought more about it and we don't have anywhere near the amount of posters they do, so it would be a waste of a thread. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk They start new threads for a 1-3 inch clipper, or even busts. I like the fact that we act like we have seen snow before, and only start a storm thread when a storm is over 2-3 *feet*. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 7 minutes ago, WNash said: They start new threads for a 1-3 inch clipper, or even busts. I like the fact that we act like we have seen snow before, and only start a storm thread when a storm is over 2-3 *feet*. Are you really comparing your climate to ours down here ? My average is 27 inches. What's yours ? 80+? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Warnings hoisted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Are you really comparing your climate to ours down here ? My average is 27 inches. What's yours ? 80+? lived in Jersey City for 25yrs so believe me I know the feeling, trust! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: lived in Jersey City for 25yrs so believe me I know the feeling, trust! Where in NY do you live now ? I have never witnessed lake effect . It looks like a great thing to witness. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Warnings hoisted. Says heavy mixed precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Where in NY do you live now ? I have never witnessed lake effect . It looks like a great thing to witness. 25 miles North of Syracuse, average is around 140 or more. I know the Cuse is 123" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 11, 2019 Author Share Posted November 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Where in NY do you live now ? I have never witnessed lake effect . It looks like a great thing to witness. It’s the greatest winter experience of all time. Being in a strong lake effect band is unmatched. Come up this year! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: It’s the greatest winter experience of all time. Being in a strong lake effect band is unmatched. Come up this year! Jesus! That’s nuts.. Closest thing I ever experienced was a meso low that rolled ashore at 3am. Might not of been that strong tho. Your vis looks to be about 50 feet which is insane. 4”/hour? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 11, 2019 Author Share Posted November 11, 2019 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: Jesus! That’s nuts.. Closest thing I ever experienced was a meso low that rolled ashore at 3am. Might not of been that strong tho. Your vis looks to be about 50 feet which is insane. 4”/hour? This is 5” an hour, it maxed out at 6-7” an hour Where I live. Places north of me got 8-9” an hour at one point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 I remember a meso low 15 years ago. I was in fairport. Lightning thunder 4 inches a hour in rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 11, 2019 Author Share Posted November 11, 2019 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: Jesus! That’s nuts.. Closest thing I ever experienced was a meso low that rolled ashore at 3am. Might not of been that strong tho. Your vis looks to be about 50 feet which is insane. 4”/hour? Yeah after experiencing this it’s tough to get excited about synoptic stuff. It just doesn’t compare to being in the middle of a les band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 14 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Are you really comparing your climate to ours down here ? My average is 27 inches. What's yours ? 80+? I’m the idiot who loves snow but lives near the Buffalo-Amherst line, where we get less than half of what they see in the southtowns and only 75% of what the airport records just a few miles due east. But an average season here is still way more than the snowiest winters I saw when I lived downstate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Today’s 12z HREF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now