wolfie09 Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 49 minutes ago, tim123 said: Anyone got euro map with ratios. We’d be lucky to get to 10:1 this time of year. Seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 1st inch of the season has come quite early this season so congrats to all, lol, and now we're doomed for the rest of the Season, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 This is a map we'd normally see in mid Jan, Not the first week of November so something's amiss in our great Multiverse!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 This is no ordinary November cold though lol Here is Oswego county Tues morning during the"height" of the Storm, we don't get above 24° all day.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 That's a Strong Arctic front with a strong ripple that rides along it, classic let's just hope the SE ridge resists as long and as strong as possible, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 Imagine this air mass, mid Winter?Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 20 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: We’d be lucky to get to 10:1 this time of year. Seriously Maybe to begin event but middle to end I could see 12 15 to 1 especially with temps in mid upper 20s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 7, 2019 Author Share Posted November 7, 2019 GEFS EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 Just read the NWS KBUF AFD...they are hugging the GFS's nuts. They basically call the euro an outlier even though the UKMET and the less reliable ICON and cmc all agree with the euro...model bias??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 They usually go with model that shows no snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 If euro shows no snow they would go with that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 5 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: Jesus Christ that dude is trying a little too hard. The words he uses in that abstract are completely ridiculous and unnecessary (An abstract is a supposed to be a short, clean, and usually simple summary of a more complex paper). I pride myself on a larger than average vocabulary and that guy pulled out a dozen words I have rarely if ever seen used. He may be smart, he may even be right with his forecast, but he comes across like like a clown trying way too hard to impress people. congruous derogate putative redolent diminution exogenous vicissitudes felicitous evince multifarious veridical apocryphal Agreed. Unreadable. I thought it was Typhoon Tip but this guy is from NJ and not MA, if the website/blog is to be believed. An exercise in mental masturbation. Pretty sure his/her use of many of these words is at least grammatically incorrect in many instances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 Let's not get out over our ski tips on next Tuesday's system just yet. Today's 12Z runs look interesting but trended less impressive, something more akin to what we saw today...though if the CMC and EC are right we should get some decent NW flow LES if it bombs out over the GOM and New Brunswick area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 7 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Let's not get out over our ski tips on next Tuesday's system just yet. Today's 12Z runs look interesting but trended less impressive, something more akin to what we saw today...though if the CMC and EC are right we should get some decent NW flow LES if it bombs out over the GOM and New Brunswick area. Well I'll make sure to keep my skis flat and pointing downhill bit FWIW the QPF is quite a bit more even with the lesser impressive 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 Gfs looks to be joining the "consensus" , actually looks pretty similar to the Canadian.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 8, 2019 Author Share Posted November 8, 2019 Up of Michigan looks like mid winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 little meso. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Radar back up.. Little light lake effect snow at the moment.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 8, 2019 Author Share Posted November 8, 2019 moderate snow in Hamburg. Nice band coming off Erie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Stuff in lake ontario looks convective and maybe lightning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 22 minutes ago, tim123 said: Stuff in lake ontario looks convective and maybe lightning? Lakes a little frisky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 8, 2019 Author Share Posted November 8, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 SNow starting to pick imby.. Never can tell where the bands will set up on a NW flow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: SNow starting to pick imby.. Never can tell where the bands will set up on a NW flow.. Snow also picking up in Williamsville. IMBY. And IMFY as well... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Not impressed with Tuesday. Progressive, open wave. Who knows. Today was fun. At least 2.5” and coming down still 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 My first taste at some moderate snow.. Band looks to be slowly pushing south.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Euro is farther west and warmer..First half of the event we fight mixing/rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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