CAPE Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Threat 2 ull closer to the coast and stronger at 12z on Euro . Definitely interesting to see how it pans out for us. Many areas esp 95 and east do decent from the ull this run ...qpf distribution a little further west this run includes DC area this time . @C.A.P.E.s yard does real well It's never bad to have the Euro on board at this range. Other models have hinted, but most are keeping the precip confined to the coast currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 29 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Threat 2 ull closer to the coast and stronger at 12z on Euro . Definitely interesting to see how it pans out for us. Many areas esp 95 and east do decent from the ull this run ...qpf distribution a little further west this run includes DC area this time . Moisture transport looks decent at 700 and esp 850 mb @C.A.P.E.s yard does real well Hopefully the EPS will support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 This is absolutely amazing. Heartbreaking looking at all that training rain to our west. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Euro is only model to show this it seems, but it's really bullish. Would be a big bust for the Euro to miss this bad inside of 48 hours. I hope it's right. This is preseason training for the Euro as far as I am concerned. If it handles this set up correctly I will feel more confident about the Euro's forecasts regarding cyclogenesis in the winter months ahead. Go Euro ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Looking at the West Pac and how the typhoon plays out, I like this post by Webb . If correct, this set up plays into a warm ending for October overall along the East Coast and then the potential for a flip further down the line in November if you roll things forward. Many seem to think recurving typhoons are a lock for a trough in the East but the latitude and general extratropical transition are key pieces to consider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Going along with Webb's post above, and this post by Ben, the general look over Western Canada and the NW US should really put down some snow cover. Meanwhile things up North should really start to chill in the weeks ahead, as a reservoir of cold air develops due to the consolidating PV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 EPS apparently supports the euros rainy Wednesday look, but you’d expect it to within 48 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 From Mount Holly- Showers then spread southward late in the evening, but should mostly dry up before getting to far southern New Jersey and Delmarva. Overall, expecting 1/2-3/4" QPF north and west of the Fall Line, and not much more than 1/10" QPF south and east of the Fall Line. We won`t see much relief across the region from this potentially wet pattern until another cold front crosses the region over the weekend. As the front moves eastward and into our area, it will help to push the stalled low to the northeast and bring at least a brief respite from the cloudy and wet weather across our area as the winds finally turn to the west/northwest and dry air can start to make its way into the area. What the hell are they on about? Been reading their discussions a lot recently and it would appear they have no idea significant parts of their forecast area is in a moderate drought. Yes, yes, we just can't take all this wetness! No relief! Da fuk outta here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 29 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: EPS apparently supports the euros rainy Wednesday look, but you’d expect it to within 48 hours. Yeah the mean should look pretty much exactly like the op at this range. I hope it's correct, but I have serious doubts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 Apparently it's raining at Nats Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 18z NAM seemed to make a move towards the Euro idea. Maybe the 0z runs will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 Good soaking rain this evening. A chilly rain too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 Pretty nice outflow boundary on radar moving through NOVA. .44" so far today. Too bad it's not winter....over performing anafront pasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: Good soaking rain this evening. A chilly rain too. I would kill for that right now. 67 here and desert dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 14 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Good soaking rain this evening. A chilly rain too. Oh, so not missing you tonight lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 18 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: I would kill for that right now. 67 here and desert dry. Hopefully, it holds together for you. 4 minutes ago, yoda said: Oh, so not missing you tonight lol Nope, not tonight. Nice rain. 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Lol. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 I felt a raindrop in Burke about 15 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 1 minute ago, mattie g said: I felt a raindrop in Burke about 15 minutes ago. Lies 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 15 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Lies It was raining enough at Nats Park I guess that Collier, the Nats Twitter writer, said he hoped that they didnt see the Skittles tarp tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 32 minutes ago, yoda said: It was raining enough at Nats Park I guess that Collier, the Nats Twitter writer, said he hoped that they didnt see the Skittles tarp tonight Middle of the regular season, absolutely the tarp would have paid a visit for a while. Playoffs, deal with it. We're getting this game in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 0.00” 0z Euro still has a blob of heavy rain for Columbia/Annapolis/Baltimore/NEMD tomorrow. Really could use that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 I guess a little worked into my part of balt city - not much though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 Nada. Still holding out hope for some drizzle this morning though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 8 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: Haha I rib you every now and again (all in good fun) but @C.A.P.E. slowly descending into madness as his backyard turns into the Saharan is pretty funny. Better now than winter. It's the moles. Growing new grass.. constantly watering (because it won't rain) so they come towards the only wet ground for miles and miles to hunt for worms. What a quandary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 23 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 0.00” 0z Euro still has a blob of heavy rain for Columbia/Annapolis/Baltimore/NEMD tomorrow. Really could use that. 6z NAM with a big jump to the euro solution. 0z had nothing. Still a bit east of the euro so it keeps my yard in the screw zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 Can we get some chemtrails or HAARP up in this jawn to give us some rain or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 24 hour rainfall of 0.67”. Wettest day here since August 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 Precipitation? Not a drop. 60f for my low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 0.13" here. Still less than half an inch since August 25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: It's the moles. Growing new grass.. constantly watering (because it won't rain) so they come towards the only wet ground for miles and miles to hunt for worms. What a quandary. Maybe watch caddyshack and get a few pointers on how to handle those varmints. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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