CAPE Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 0.30" here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 8 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: 0.30" here so far. Looks good for us fokes east of DC. I want this radar in 2 months. It would probably be 33 and rain instead lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 19 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Yeah I mentioned this yesterday. This storm is moving into a wall of HP, so it will be a struggle the further north it gets. GFS has been pretty consistent with depicting this. Steady moderate rain here, and I doubt I will see any real heavy rain. Hopefully several hours of light to moderate, which is exactly what is needed to dent the drought and get moisture deeper into the soil. Latest radar returns and trends would seem to reveal the heaviest rains From I - 95 East, taking time to run NE but seems to be doing so . Caveat is should the preip shield weaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 13 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Looks good for us fokes east of DC. I want this radar in 2 months. It would probably be 33 and rain instead lol. 12z NAM has 2"+ for our area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 .33" so far. I think we will wrap up soon out here in Purcellville though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 Picked up almost 2” in Charlottesville. Would’ve been a banger of a winter storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 #NAMnailedNestor #EuroNailedSandy 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 Over a half inch here now. Rain coming down heavier in the last 30 mins. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 0.85 so far. Been fairly steady all day. Temp 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 When I left for work at 6, it was just a light drizzle and wet roads in Pasadena. When i got to Severna Park it was moderate rain and has been like that all day in Annapolis. No idea on totals here but we must have gotten a decent amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 12 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Over a half inch here now. Rain coming down heavier in the last 30 mins. Rainfall picking up here as well. I hear a chorus singing by the thousands in your hood CAPE....... It sounds like little seedlings singing the praises of rain 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, frd said: Rainfall picking up here as well. I hear a chorus singing by the thousands in your hood CAPE....... It sounds like little seedlings singing the praises of rain Moles will be back to their normal behaviour- tunneling closer the surface and making ridges in the new lawn lol. At least when they stay subsurface they are easier to trap and I can push the grass back down. How is your new grass coming along? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 0.87 inches so far. Lovin' it. The strings of grass amidst the dirt patches that survived the mini-drought, like the wisps of hair on a balding man's head, are nice and green. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 Sky is lightening up and drizzle is backing off so I'd say we are about done here. Looks .20-.22 in the gauge from eye-balling it from inside so a storm total around 1.30 looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 On 10/19/2019 at 7:32 AM, losetoa6 said: I thought I might be lol. 16 k vs 3k ...yea that's a huge resolution difference. Thanks for replying. Here's the Noaa link to the HREF . Under "More information"- click members and that's where I saw a list with Hrrr included and also it appears some Gfs physics are incorporated in? No?. This also appears to be the 2nd version of this model just starting this past April https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/?model=href&product=qpf_024h_mean§or=ma&rd=20191018&rt=1200# Ok, this is admittedly where it gets more complicated, and it's a good catch on your part. I have no idea why they do it this way, but SPC basically computes their own HREF. (Remember that the HREF is just taking existing hi-res models and computing means and probabilities.) They're including the HRRR, but the "official" HREF Version 2 (implemented October 2017) does not. Kinda wish that SPC didn't "go rogue" on this or at least identified it more clearly on their site, so I understand why you thought that the HRRR Is included. As for physics, a few physics components are shared amongst a lot of the models, but overall, none of the HREF members is overall close to being the GFS. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 1.61" since midnight and still pouring. I don't think this much rain was forecast here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 Solid last hurrah here. Over 3/4”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 I’m at .55” so far. Let’s see if that heavier band can get here and get me close to .75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 0.95" so far. Looks like the back edge is making steady eastward progress now, so no way I see the 2" amounts the NAM forecast lol. One inch+ is way more than I expected from this event a couple days ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: 0.95" so far. Looks like the back edge is making steady eastward progress now, so no way I see the 2" amounts the NAM forecast lol. One inch+ is way more than I expected from this event a couple days ago. A few days ago, today was forecasted to be sunny, so no complaints here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 4 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: A few days ago, today was forecasted to be sunny, so no complaints here. Rain has been in the forecast here for a while, but a few days ago it looked like my area would be on the NW fringe with a quarter inch or less. Lets hope we see similar outcomes over the coming months with low pressure moving up from the south and HP to the north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 Would have been a beauty of a radar loop 30 degrees colder 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 2.15” according to my PWS here just Northwest of Fredericksburg, definitely more than expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 Absolutely pouring here. Hardest of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: Would have been a beauty of a radar loop 30 degrees colder Couldn’t agree any harder. We’ve also got the typical “finishing strong” thing going on with a bit of a pivot and a band sticking around well after the main precipitation is gone. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 8 minutes ago, Prestige Worldwide said: Absolutely pouring here. Hardest of the day. Your area should end up with close to 1.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 Just now, mattie g said: Couldn’t agree any harder. We’ve also got the typical “finishing strong” thing going on with a bit of a pivot and a band sticking around well after the main precipitation is gone. "Bonus snow" a couple months from now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 I'm going to record this loop and play it again on January 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 LOL surprise. Dover radar is down again for the umteenth time. I think they need to replace the whole effing thing. KDOX is down due to a pedestal issue. Return to service is unknown at this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 2 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: I’m at .55” so far. Let’s see if that heavier band can get here and get me close to .75. We got into the heavier band and then some. Just surpassed an inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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