George BM Posted October 17, 2019 Author Share Posted October 17, 2019 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: Yeah I noticed that. Looking at the wider view it extends across to the eastern shore as well. Yeah. Sorry to leave you out. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Just now, George BM said: Yeah. Sorry to leave you out. lol I'm good now. All in the rear view mirror. I wouldn't have really cared much, but the dry spell kicked into high gear right after I reseeded. The endless watering has finally ended. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted October 17, 2019 Author Share Posted October 17, 2019 More areas added to the Wind Advisory. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 905 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 DCZ001-MDZ003>006-011-013-014-016>018-501>508-VAZ028-031-052>054- 501-503-505-506-WVZ050>053-501-503>505-172115- /O.CON.KLWX.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-191017T2200Z/ District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll- Northern Baltimore-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Extreme Western Allegany- Central and Eastern Allegany-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Frederick VA-Clarke-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier- Western Highland-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Hampshire-Morgan- Berkeley-Jefferson-Western Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- Western Pendleton- Including the cities of Washington, Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Frostburg, Cumberland, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Winchester, Berryville, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Warrenton, Hightown, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Romney, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, Shepherdstown, Bayard, Mount Storm, Elk Garden, Antioch, Keyser, New Creek, Ridgeville, Russelldale, Headsville, Fort Ashby, and Riverton 905 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of The District of Columbia, central, north central, northern, southern and western Maryland, northern, northwest and western Virginia and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: Check it for dirt/tree gunk and crusty bugs, or spiders looking for places to overwinter. That is usually the issue when mine doesn't work. Had a spider and all its meal remnants lodged underneath and it couldn't tip back in the summer. 1 hour ago, H2O said: Kinda mad. My rain sensor in my VP2 didn't work properly yesterday. Have no idea how much rain I got. If its broken looks like I have an Xmas gift item from a secret santa here. Anyone? Hint hint Would be surprised if it was broken. What can happen is that a leaf or small twig gets stuck and stops the tipping bucket mechanism. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 17 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Jackpotville getting into the swing of things. 1.18” IMBY ended up with 2.10". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 52 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Still some time for changes for Sunday as im sure u know . Im in your camp ..i think a se slider but Eps still has a big cluster of .50"- 1" hits qpf wise . Mean qpf and low strength nudged up actually from yesterday. 12z NAM at the end of its run brings a bit more rain to the i95 corridor from EZF to DCA than the 06z run did for this weekend FWIW... but its not much tbh. SE MD and EZF and south still have the best bet for rain this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 3 hours ago, MN Transplant said: Would be surprised if it was broken. What can happen is that a leaf or small twig gets stuck and stops the tipping bucket mechanism. Seems to happen every month on mine. Poplar seeds are the worst. Devised a new screen/protector gadget, and it helps. But during leaf season, the Davis rarely agrees perfectly with the normal gauge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 3 hours ago, GramaxRefugee said: Seems to happen every month on mine. Poplar seeds are the worst. Devised a new screen/protector gadget, and it helps. But during leaf season, the Davis rarely agrees perfectly with the normal gauge. I actually bought a new bucket with the leaf guard and the bird spikes and it has been solid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Freaking windy here. Quite a few small branches down. All this wind is drying out the newly moistened soil lol. I just dug a hole to plant a small evergreen, and despite 2.5" of rain since Sunday, the soil is literally bone dry a couple inches below the surface. Need. More. Rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 18z NAM is acceptable for the tropical turned extratropical coastal low for Sunday imby. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 DCA approaching a record length of time between sub 60F highs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 6 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: 18z NAM is acceptable for the tropical turned extratropical coastal low for Sunday imby. 00z 3km NAM would also be acceptable... 00z NAM is nice for BR and east... but is almost 12-24 hours slower than the 3km NAM run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Summer is officially over...had to wear a light jacket today for the first time all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 LWX posting freeze warnings out to the west for the 19th. Washington-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Frederick VA-Clarke-Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy- Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- Including the cities of Hagerstown, Frostburg, Cumberland, Winchester, Berryville, Romney, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, Shepherdstown, Moorefield, Bayard, Mount Storm, Petersburg, Elk Garden, Antioch, Keyser, New Creek, Ridgeville, Russelldale, Headsville, and Fort Ashby 315 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures around 30 to 32 degrees resulting in widespread frost. * WHERE...Western Maryland, eastern West Virginia, and the northern Shenandoah Valley. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above- ground pipes to protect them from freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Frost advisory for tomorrow outside the DC beltway. Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Augusta-Nelson- Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-Stafford- Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Highland- Eastern Highland-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- Including the cities of Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Lovingston, Charlottesville, Stanardsville, Madison, Washington, Orange, Gordonsville, Culpeper, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Falmouth, Warrenton, Turnbull, Hightown, Monterey, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Riverton, Brandywine, Franklin, Oak Flat, Ruddle, and Sugar Grove 315 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures around 33 to 36 degrees resulting in areas of frost. * WHERE...Central Maryland, northern and central Virginia, and the Potomac Highlands. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left uncovered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 35 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Looks like the latest 3k and Euro bumped north for Sunday. Actually Euro ensembles are wetter then the op . Forecast here for Sunday is rain likely now. Probably not a lot, but another tick north and might get into the edge of the heavier stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Yesterday was a whopping 1F below normal at BWI. Second below normal day of the month. Only +7F on the month now! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 12z 3km NAM pretty good for the region besides NW MD/E WV with rain on Sunday... around or just over 0.5" QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 12z NAM QPF through 00z MON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 34 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 1st frost for many tomorrow morning then another nice rain maker coming esp DC on south and east . Wish this was blue instead of green lol Atmospehieric memory for winter 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Atmospehieric memory for winter What? Cold rain? We do that well in the Mid-Atlantic. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 12z GFS generally has a quarter inch or less for most areas. The greater than half inch rains are in the tidewater and lower eastern shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Today is a 10. Absolutely perfect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 27 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: 12z GFS generally has a quarter inch or less for most areas. The greater than half inch rains are in the tidewater and lower eastern shore. 12z CMC kind of strikes a balance between the 12z twin NAMs and the 12z GFS... CHO to EZF to DCA corridor gets some nice rain around 1"... looks like there are some up to 2" that get lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 10 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: 12z GFS generally has a quarter inch or less for most areas. The greater than half inch rains are in the tidewater and lower eastern shore. Interestingly the 12z GEFS has jumped considerably NW in the SLP track and ensemble mean. Now shows 0.5"+ for everyone south and east of Frederick. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: CMC kind of strikes a balance between the 12z twin NAMs and the 12z GFS... I95 corridor gets some nice rain around 1" Yeah I would sign up for that. Nice area of moderate rain from around DC to Dover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 Just now, losetoa6 said: Yep...just about to post that ...significant bump nw. 12z UKIE now looks like the 12z GFS ... but was a sig bump NW as well comparing the 12z UKIE precip map to the 00z one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 3 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Yesterday was a whopping 1F below normal at BWI. Second below normal day of the month. Only +7F on the month now! Doesn't help that there was wind and clouds to keep the temp up overnight. And most people don't give a flying F about nighttime temps - we know what it feels like during the day, and yesterday was definitely cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, mattie g said: Doesn't help that there was wind and clouds to keep the temp up overnight. And most people don't give a flying F about nighttime temps - we know what it feels like during the day, and yesterday was definitely cool. Not to mention that the high/low avg method of calculating a daily mean temp is wacked in the first place. Especially so now that we have all this technology available and could easily calculate a one min avg with 1440 data points every day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 11 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Yea...I think 0z Ukmet went on a tangent and was a eastern outlier now bumped back towards center lol We'd be freaking out about this trend in another two months. It would be like the late-January 2010 event that we "willed" north over the course of a few days. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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