nw baltimore wx Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 17 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: I like the way the 3km NAM runs at 00z and 06z came around to the heavy rain solution after being a very dry holdout. Nice gusty, Fall-like day in store for Thursday. Yeah, we just got rain-nam'd. eta: not as good as I initially thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said: Yeah, we just got rain-nam'd. eta: not as good as I initially thought. Yeah, backed off a bit again, but when the low spots in the immediate region are >0.4" I still count that as a good run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 GFS juicier for Annapolis-Baltimore and points east. NoVA screw zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFS juicier for Annapolis-Baltimore and points east. NoVA screw zone. So basically expect some showers? Enough to be a nuisance versus beneficial....got it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFS juicier for Annapolis-Baltimore and points east. NoVA screw zone. Maybe I will be able to return the desert shtick to @EastCoast NPZ 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 31 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFS juicier for Annapolis-Baltimore and points east. NoVA screw zone. But ends up having another nice rainer Monday-Tuesday of next week for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 8 minutes ago, yoda said: But ends up having another nice rainer Monday-Tuesday of next week for us That looks like it will be long duration which will be good for the rain to soak in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 Euro still looks great for tomorrow. 1”+ for the entire metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 Ukie looks a lot like the euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 Gfs up to 3/4” for DC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 4 hours ago, MN Transplant said: Gfs up to 3/4” for DC 00z NAM basically cuts the LWX CWA in half... if you're along and east of the BR towards the Bay... 0.5 to 1 inch of rain. West of BR out towards the i81 corridor and into parts of W and C MD... well... good luck. 00z 3km NAM a little better for those west of the BR, but not by much 02z HRRR at LR, FWIW, seems to suggest the "deluge" starts right after lunch with rain amounts approaching an inch along i95 corridor by 20z tomorrow afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 00Z GFS, Euro and EPS are in fairly good agreement. GEFS is the holdout with showing the maxes over southern MD into the eastern shore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: 6z nam bounced back and some lol. Hrrr also looks nice . Hrrr suggesting some 2 inch lollies. That's rain ( not snow ) Sunday/ Sunday night starting to gel on the Eps . Mean qpf near .50" DC south and many members more . Your area may be flirting with a little snow by the end of the month if the means are close to correct. With h5 looks like that, there might be a chance or 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 HREF looks solid for today. Highest amounts are 1- 1.25" south to north along and either side of the bay, with somewhat lesser amounts as you head west and right along the MA coast. Looks like a half to an inch in general for the entire region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 52 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: HREF looks solid for today. Highest amounts are 1- 1.25" south to north along and either side of the bay, with somewhat lesser amounts as you head west and right along the MA coast. Looks like a half to an inch in general for the entire region. Pretty good consensus among the short-range models of 0.75-1.25" for the metro areas, but in general we all pick up a good amount of much-needed rain (though perhaps areas in the lee of the mountains might see less). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Rain on the radar! And it’s coming this way! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 I'm having rain-radar hallucinations; it's been a while without precip in Silver Spring. I'm nowcasting this storm in my head like its late January and we're expecting 1.0QPF of frozen, lol. Very low cloud cover inside the beltway in Maryland, no moisture yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 .79 already on the west side of Afton Mt.. along the border of Waynesboro... overachieving down here... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Decent rain right now outside in West Springfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Up to 1.20 now down here.... lovely morning.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Have picked up 0.52" so far just NW of Fredericksburg and it's raining nicely, been a great day so far, hopefully can go over 1.00" for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 its raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 I'm looking at my Nest feed to see how much my plants at home are enjoying this. Had my front yard entirely redone (all new plants) in *early August*. It's rained like this maybe once between then and now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Absolutely ripping raindrops. Rain in college really does suck, but I guess we needed the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 This would be a nice thump in winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Rain on the radar! And it’s coming this way! There is free water falling from the sky. Amazing. 0.29" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Just now, MN Transplant said: There is free water falling from the sky. Amazing. 0.29" 0.11" IMBY so far. Biggest rain since late August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 0.11" IMBY so far. Biggest rain since late August. I don't know if you saw it, but the 12z nam12k has a total precip bullseye right over your house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 Rain. Much needed in Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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