Cyclone-68 Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Another October, another October superstorm it would seem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 OT but anyone see the Typhoon in the WPAC? Looks like Patricia/Wilma intensity. Definitely fits the bill for one of the most intense TC observed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 We could use the rain... but not 11” of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Wind probably causing what we call compression issues. For safety, aircraft are spaced apart farther. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Sorry IMBY question my wife and daughter flying to Logan Friday, any trouble getting in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 1 minute ago, Modfan said: Sorry IMBY question my wife and daughter flying to Logan Friday, any trouble getting in? Way too far out to know. No issues if gfs is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 7, 2019 Author Share Posted October 7, 2019 2 hours ago, dryslot said: And quite wet too, Yikes Even a third of that is siggy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Even a third of that is siggy EPS was 3-4" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 1 hour ago, Dr. Dews said: Yeah, it's coming. I tried to wishcast it away but to no avail. 40-80 mph winds, 8-16" of rain incoming. It sucks but we'll just have to struggle through. Some of the EPS members actually have close to that... others not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Some of the EPS members actually have close to that... others not so much we take the over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Tis a bit breezy: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 51 minutes ago, KoalaBeer said: OT but anyone see the Typhoon in the WPAC? Looks like Patricia/Wilma intensity. Definitely fits the bill for one of the most intense TC observed. Sucker looks like it'll recurve and bomb out again in the Bering Sea...just like 2014...hmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Just some quick observations: I know I’ll catch a lot of weenie tags for this, but the 12z euro looks like an analog of the 1991 perfect storm, in terms of the major players (NOT impact). Many similarities, including the Halloween blizzard that buried the upper Midwest at the same time. There’s obviously some key differences as well —nothing (yet) has this system deepening anywhere close to the 970’s. The absorption of hurricane Grace helped to make that storm quite unique...*If* anything remarkable can happen with this it will have be through some combination of absorption of tropical disturbances west of Bermuda and deepening as a sub tropical cyclone in and around the Gulf Stream. The GFS is still largely a non-event so confidence in anything impactful is still low... https://www.weather.gov/dlh/1991halloweenblizzard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 H5 October 31st 1991 vs today’s 12z euro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 6 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Just some quick observations: I know I’ll catch a lot of weenie tags for this, but the 12z euro looks like an analog of the 1991 perfect storm, in terms of the major players (NOT impact). Many similarities, including the Halloween blizzard that buried the upper Midwest at the same time. There’s obviously some key differences as well —nothing (yet) has this system deepening anywhere close to the 970’s. The absorption of hurricane Grace helped to make that storm quite unique...*If* anything remarkable can happen with this it will have be through some combination of absorption of tropical disturbances west of Bermuda and deepening as a sub tropical cyclone in and around the Gulf Stream. The GFS is still largely a non-event so confidence in anything impactful is still low... https://www.weather.gov/dlh/1991halloweenblizzard interesting that there was a midwest snow event with that one-I forgot about that...will be interesting to track one or both events this week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 7 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Just some quick observations: I know I’ll catch a lot of weenie tags for this, but the 12z euro looks like an analog of the 1991 perfect storm, in terms of the major players (NOT impact). Many similarities, including the Halloween blizzard that buried the upper Midwest at the same time. There’s obviously some key differences as well —nothing (yet) has this system deepening anywhere close to the 970’s. The absorption of hurricane Grace helped to make that storm quite unique...*If* anything remarkable can happen with this it will have be through some combination of absorption of tropical disturbances west of Bermuda and deepening as a sub tropical cyclone in and around the Gulf Stream. The GFS is still largely a non-event so confidence in anything impactful is still low... https://www.weather.gov/dlh/1991halloweenblizzard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Low almost overhead here from the FL straights heading north and I am sure to help for what is to impact New England towards the end of the week. The NHC gives it a 10% chance of development the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Giants @ Pats could be fun Thu night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 GFS has been too far East with the players for 3 days. I was on the beach for the Perfect Storm. Epic epic waves with rogue waves so big offshore they blocked the horizon flat line . Think we had sustained 60 for 18 hrs. Huge rock thrown up over the dunes dented my car. I watched one rogue wave over wash the dunes and flood a house down the street. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Hey it stopped raining! 1.93” since midnight. Local stations are 1.5-2.1” in Stowe. Dog can just swim in the grass, no need to go to the river. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Up to 0.76" and still going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 44 minutes ago, dendrite said: Giants @ Pats could be fun Thu night. Will need battery operated radios or generators out near Harwich Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Gfs is slightly more northwest with the storm but nothing like the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs is slightly more northwest with the storm but nothing like the Euro. Heading in that direction though.. the convection is messing with the GFS I think 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 0.60". More to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 Nice fine line developed and just rolled through here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 This gonna be a biggie for us . We excite 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 48 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Heading in that direction though.. the convection is messing with the GFS I think First convective feedback post of the year. 10/7...not bad. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 We pour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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