northpittweather Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Personally if your any where in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, New England, West Virgina, Virgina, Maryland, and DC you have to watch this closely, because this could be a huge historic storm for alot of people three things that make me concerned are 1. Westward trend by 50 to 100 miles each run, on GFS and other struggling models, the EURO looks good 2. Post-Christmas storm might be halting travel, and events 3. This could be a crucial part of forecasting in the future, and this storm to me, seems like a rival to 1888 blizzard or 1993 blizzard if the west trend on the models continues which is highly likely This map is a huge blend of models and other sources for information, and i made a map for the danger zone, this storm is all around an impressive storm, so get your popcorn ready and watch this sucker form, i personally think this could be a record breaker Light - Moderate Snow means a 1-3 to 4-8inch snow Heavy 8-16 inches Blizzard 16+, with wind and possible power outages so give me your thought's? thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 You see this storm trending west to affect the NW portion of Virginia? My concern is East of I-95 have the storm. Hope your map is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 looks quite nice. however, if the low goes west of hatteras as you show i would only have a few leftover flurries in se va. otherwise, i think its great!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 A 959 low off the Jersey shore would beat March 1993. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
northpittweather Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 A 959 low off the Jersey shore would beat March 1993. It's possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Good job posting the worst-case scenario. Move it east and cut totals down by about 40% and it might be a much more realistic/probabilistic forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Curious why you think 18+ will make it that far west and that far north. Looking at the models right now nothing shows that possibility. Not a criticism, just wondering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Curious why you think 18+ will make it that far west and that far north. Looking at the models right now nothing shows that possibility. Not a criticism, just wondering. By the way I noticed you were able to get your back yard (Pittsburgh) into the 18+ blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Well if the track is close to the Blizz of 96 track, the 81 corridor was the jackpot in VA and MD (30-48 in, highest around Snowshoe, WV). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Good job posting the worst-case scenario. Move it east and cut totals down by about 40% and it might be a much more realistic/probabilistic forecast. That would still be 10"+ if he cut down totals by 40%. Still enough for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 You are way to far N/W with your heavy snow predictions. Good luck with your forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 That would still be 10"+ if he cut down totals by 40%. Still enough for me I said MORE realistic, not very realistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 <br />Well if the track is close to the Blizz of 96 track, the 81 corridor was the jackpot in VA and MD (30-48 in, highest around Snowshoe, WV).<br /><br /><br /><br />Yes it was. Stuck a yard stick in the snow and it disappeared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 <br /><br /><br /> Yes it was. Stuck a yard stick in the snow and it disappeared. That storm was so awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I would have to say pretty good with the overall track considering a local baltimore met (Tony Pann) showed a similar track on the 5pm news tonight. Of course he added a caveat that if it is 100 miles to the east then much less snow. But the thing about your track and Tony's which I found interesting was how the low hooked more north around Hatteras and hugged the coast. The big storms last winter had more of a tendancy of moving E, NE once past the Delmarva which is why New England got ripped off so often. Anyhow if this track is even close to the actual a whole lot of mid-atlantic/NE, even western PA folks are going to be grinning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Personally if your any where in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, New England, West Virgina, Virgina, Maryland, and DC you have to watch this closely, because this could be a huge historic storm for alot of people three things that make me concerned are 1. Westward trend by 50 to 100 miles each run, on GFS and other struggling models, the EURO looks good 2. Post-Christmas storm might be halting travel, and events 3. This could be a crucial part of forecasting in the future, and this storm to me, seems like a rival to 1888 blizzard or 1993 blizzard if the west trend on the models continues which is highly likely This map is a huge blend of models and other sources for information, and i made a map for the danger zone, this storm is all around an impressive storm, so get your popcorn ready and watch this sucker form, i personally think this could be a record breaker Light - Moderate Snow means a 1-3 to 4-8inch snow Heavy 8-16 inches Blizzard 16+, with wind and possible power outages so give me your thought's? thanks explain to us the models and data which support a WPA blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Hope you're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Hope you're right. I hate to tell you guys this, but just as a warning so you know what you are looking at, this guy is an uber weenie from our thread. Every storm this year he has over predicted by about a foot, and he reports fake snow totals. However, I'm sure most of you realized that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I hate to tell you guys this, but just as a warning so you know what you are looking at, this guy is an uber weenie from our thread. Every storm this year he has over predicted by about a foot, and he reports fake snow totals. However, I'm sure most of you realized that... As soon as I saw he was from PA and chuckled at the crayon drawing I closed the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I don't even know why this map is allowed to be posted - it's complete and utter horsesht and wishcasting at it's finest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I think its more the fact that every storm system is "historic" and completely overexerted, whether it be in the winter with blizzards and 2ft of snow, or in the summer where every system is a huge tornado outbreak. I think he is just trying to learn, but he should tone things way down. just my .02 of constructive criticism Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Nice call. I will be sure to tune in next time for the next episode of completely worthless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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