marsh Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 2.40 Greenwich Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxallannj Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 2.40" also in Clifton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 9 minutes ago, wxallannj said: 2.40" also in Clifton What's your monthly and yearly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxallannj Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 October so far 8.41" ytd - 55.10" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 Last 4 days of October keeping an average near 62degs., or about 9degs. AN. Month to date is +2.3[59.9]. October should end near +3.2[60.1]. The first 4 days of November are averaging near 51degs., or just about Normal. 58.1* here at 6am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 No surprise that the models are correcting warmer for Halloween from earlier forecasts. Looks like the warm spots can make it to 70 later on the 31st into early on the 1st. Low topped squall potential with gusty winds and heavy downpours early on the 1st. The SE Ridge continues to overperform. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 Well this weeks forecast went to crap in a hurry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 47 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Well this weeks forecast went to crap in a hurry yesterday's low loops back around and gives us drizzle and fog tues/wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 Just now, forkyfork said: yesterday's low loops back around and gives us drizzle and fog tues/wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 CFSv2 is BN for 6 weeks straight once the colder air gets here, that is until mid-December. I hope the BN is not BS in disguise. Still w/o any skill, but getting there: The above conclusion is from an other site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 Had a wedding to go to yesterday and I thought it would be a total bust. Turned out that it cleared up early by 4:30, and not only did the rain stop, but the sun came out. Made for some nice photographs with the city and Freedom Tower in the background. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 2 hours ago, bluewave said: No surprise that the models are correcting warmer for Halloween from earlier forecasts. Looks like the warm spots can make it to 70 later on the 31st into early on the 1st. Low topped squall potential with gusty winds and heavy downpours early on the 1st. The SE Ridge continues to overperform. Delayed but not denied though as the -EPO pattern finally delivers cooler conditions post Halloween. First real widespread freeze threat possible this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 23 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Had a wedding to go to yesterday and I thought it would be a total bust. Turned out that it cleared up early by 4:30, and not only did the rain stop, but the sun came out. Made for some nice photographs with the city and Freedom Tower in the background. Eagle rock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 This weather has been great, aside from the few recent washouts. Haven't even put my heat on yet. After a cool down the first week or November or so, above normal temps look to return by mid-month. Would be nice if we could hold onto those 60's for highs until Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 22 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Delayed but not denied though as the -EPO pattern finally delivers cooler conditions post Halloween. First real widespread freeze threat possible this weekend. We shall see. A period of colder weather yes. But the -PNA and SE ridge pattern has been so damn consistent. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the cold scaled back. Plus cold/snow in November has really proven to be a bad thing for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: We shall see. A period of colder weather yes. But the -PNA and SE ridge pattern has been so damn consistent. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the cold scaled back. Plus cold/snow in November has really proven to be a bad thing for the winter. Other than a short period from this weekend to mid next week the 00z ECMWF was a torch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 42 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Delayed but not denied though as the -EPO pattern finally delivers cooler conditions post Halloween. First real widespread freeze threat possible this weekend. I have tomatoes, peppers and pole lima beans that are still going strong in my garden. Yeah, that will be coming to an end this weekend. If we don't get a freeze to kill them off saturday night, we certainly will sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 53 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Eagle rock? Maritime Parc actually, right in Liberty State Park. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 58 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Other than a short period from this weekend to mid next week the 00z ECMWF was a torch. The EPS was not. I do think there will be WAR resistance though which would pretty much guarantee more stormy weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 cleared out here-mostly sunny now and 61 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: This weather has been great, aside from the few recent washouts. Haven't even put my heat on yet. After a cool down the first week or November or so, above normal temps look to return by mid-month. Would be nice if we could hold onto those 60's for highs until Thanksgiving. Really? You must like your house mighty cold up there in Mahwah then. I’m right across the river and we have had plenty of mornings in the 40s and 50s and that central heat is blasting when I wake up Even this morning, when it was 50, it was on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 sigh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 2 hours ago, CIK62 said: CFSv2 is BN for 6 weeks straight once the colder air gets here, that is until mid-December. I hope the BN is not BS in disguise. Still w/o any skill, but getting there: The above conclusion is from an other site. Ignoring the low skill areas, this would imply that the CFS sees a +PNA, correct? Or do the higher anomalies in Alaska indicate that the ridge will be too far west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 I wonder if the northeast has a shot of snow during the 1st week of November with the AO dropping and the epo staying negative. Looks cold on the gfs. The halloween cutter ushers in colder air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 PWATS on the euro are just over 2 inches on Halloween...looks like a showery/humid day/eve unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 17 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: PWATS on the euro are just over 2 inches on Halloween...looks like a showery/humid day/eve unfortunately 70s and rain. Yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: 70s and rain. Yuck have to hope one's local neighborhood gets a break in the evening-doesn't look like a steady stratiform rain.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 The most impressive part of the Euro run is the early Friday squall line. Wind gusts over 50 mph and very heavy downpours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 Oh so close to the clear skies. Photo came out sideways on the phone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The most impressive part of the Euro run is the early Friday squall line. Wind gusts over 50 mph and very heavy downpours. just your typical 3 to 4SD pwats 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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