MJO812 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 5:03 PM, Brasiluvsnow said: 88 I think history has shown us that early season snowstorms are usually followed by a lot of disappointment for snow lovers like us the rest of the season = last year was the most recent sad example,,,,,,,,, Expand Gfs has some snow for interior sections next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 The cold front that will move through our region has pushed through Atlanta. Over the past hour, the temperature there has fallen from 76 to 58. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Getting some breaks of sun now as temperatures beat guidance. Newark is now up to 74 degrees. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=Kewr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 7:00 PM, bluewave said: Getting some breaks of sun now as temperatures beat guidance. Newark is now up to 74 degrees. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=Kewr Expand Getting sun now too, temps up to 75F could help amplify the threat tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 7:03 PM, SnoSki14 said: Getting sun now too, temps up to 75F could help amplify the threat tonight. Expand The sun is breaking down through the clouds in Mamaroneck, NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Tornado Watch TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 686 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 255 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2019 TORNADO WATCH 686 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC001-005-009-013-021-023-027-031-033-035-037-041-043-047-051- 055-057-061-063-065-067-071-075-081-087-093-097-099-107-109-111- 113-119-129-133-010400- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0686.191031T1855Z-191101T0400Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ARMSTRONG BEDFORD BLAIR CAMBRIA CAMERON CENTRE CLARION CLEARFIELD CLINTON COLUMBIA CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN ELK FAYETTE FRANKLIN FULTON HUNTINGDON INDIANA JEFFERSON JUNIATA LANCASTER LEBANON LYCOMING MIFFLIN MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SOMERSET SULLIVAN UNION WESTMORELAND YORK $$ TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 686 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 255 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2019 TORNADO WATCH 686 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS MDC001-003-005-009-013-017-021-023-025-027-031-033-037-043-510- 010400- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0686.191031T1855Z-191101T0400Z/ MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGANY ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CARROLL CHARLES FREDERICK GARRETT HARFORD HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS WASHINGTON MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY $$ TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 686 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 255 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2019 TORNADO WATCH 686 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS WVC003-023-027-031-037-049-057-061-065-071-077-093-010400- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0686.191031T1855Z-191101T0400Z/ WV . WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKELEY GRANT HAMPSHIRE HARDY JEFFERSON MARION MINERAL MONONGALIA MORGAN PENDLETON PRESTON TUCKER $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 7:03 PM, SnoSki14 said: Getting sun now too, temps up to 75F could help amplify the threat tonight. Expand NJ has already destabilized more than model forecasts for 3 pm. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Sky brightening up here, temp up to 69 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 72° here with 0.40" rain so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 4:03 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: Big buildings and it’s elevation will do that just like mountains rip out hurricanes! Maybe Expand While I fully agree as it happens time and time again, I think that’s more of a summer thing has to do with the urban heat island. suns out on the uws Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 This outbreak today isn't going to be a joke from the Mid Atlantic. Second straight year with a big autumn severe outbreak in the region after last October's tornado outbreak in PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Freaking rogue south wind here ten minutes ago set chairs and cushions in motion and near lifted the cabana from it's moorings. What up with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 JFK ripping to 40mph already, think they make a run at 60mph out of the south tonight. That can cause damage given the direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:02 PM, RedSky said: Freaking rogue south wind here ten minutes ago set chairs and cushions in motion and near lifted the cabana from it's moorings. What up with that? Expand some gusty winds here too-at least to 30-35. 68 degrees and cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:06 PM, Brian5671 said: some gusty winds here too-at least to 30-35. 68 degrees and cloudy Expand It's a sheltered location for the cabana the winds had to be double that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:07 PM, RedSky said: It's a sheltered location for the cabana the winds had to be double that Expand gut feeling that the winds will deliver tonight with this system....todays gust have been impressive and we're nowhere near the front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 31, 2019 Author Share Posted October 31, 2019 Current temp 73/DP 68/RH 84% Picked up 0.44" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:32 PM, Brian5671 said: gut feeling that the winds will deliver tonight with this system....todays gust have been impressive and we're nowhere near the front Expand I’m surprised they aren’t harping more given its Halloween night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 69 and windy. Looks like a classic Halloween with the leaves blowing around and cloudy skies. Lots of kids out and about. Running out of candy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Warmest Halloween of the decade with the high of 74 at Newark. Data for October 31 - NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Date Max Temperature Min Temperature Precipitation Snowfall Snow Depth 2018-10-31 68 37 0.00 0.0 0 2017-10-31 59 45 0.00 0.0 0 2016-10-31 57 43 0.00 0.0 0 2015-10-31 57 40 0.00 0.0 0 2014-10-31 54 41 0.01 0.0 0 2013-10-31 68 52 0.08 0.0 0 2012-10-31 51 42 0.00 0.0 0 2011-10-31 55 32 0.00 0.0 0 2010-10-31 60 43 0.00 0.0 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:32 PM, Brian5671 said: gut feeling that the winds will deliver tonight with this system....todays gust have been impressive and we're nowhere near the front Expand Agreed, this thing looks nasty on radar. Even 50mph gusts out of the south will do damage. We haven’t had a south wind event with those kind of wind speeds in ages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Winds tad lower now at jfk compared to earlier think we stabilized a bit and strengthen the inversion as sun is going down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 As predicted, nasty looking squall line developing over west-central NY and central PA. Time will tell if it holds together once it gets to the coast. Snowing over most of the entire lower peninsula of Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 10:01 PM, qg_omega said: Winds tad lower now at jfk compared to earlier think we stabilized a bit and strengthen the inversion as sun is going down Expand indeed. They should tick back up after 8-9 as the LLJ increases and could gust 40-50KT ~10:30-12:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 11:02 PM, purduewx80 said: indeed. They should tick back up after 8-9 as the LLJ increases and could gust 40-50KT ~10:30-12:30. Expand 60kt? Bring it down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Looks like GFS wants to throw us our first flakes next Friday and than a possibility for A bigger snowfall around the 15-16 timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Some photos from the Long Island Sound late this afternoon. The temperature was 69°, but there was a strong southeast wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 11:05 PM, Dr. Dews said: 60kt? Bring it down Expand Most guidance has 2000’ winds peaking at 65-70KT in a few hours. Any convective elements left to the pre-frontal precip may drag a portion of this down to the surface. Otherwise, mixing to 300’ yields gusts near 50KT/58MPH ahead of the front along the S Shore of LI, including JFK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 11:57 PM, purduewx80 said: Most guidance has 2000’ winds peaking at 65-70KT in a few hours. Any convective elements left to the pre-frontal precip may drag a portion of this down to the surface. Otherwise, mixing to 300’ yields gusts near 50KT/58MPH ahead of the front. Expand Thanks, I was just hot dogging big numbers for fun.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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