dmillz25 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 53 with moderate soaking rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 3:04 PM, psv88 said: How did your no 90 in October call work out? Expand I made a mistake and I admitted. Snowski on the other hand had several 90’s on his calls but we only got one big 90 which in my opinion I lost there but still I don’t think we get 80’s anymore and if we do we can probably reach high 80’s cause of the extremes. We’ll see though temperature dropped to 52 now raining moderately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 3:25 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: I made a mistake and I admitted. Snowski on the other hand had several 90’s on his calls but we only got one big 90 which in my opinion I lost there but still I don’t think we get 80’s anymore and if we do we can probably reach high 80’s cause of the extremes. We’ll see though temperature dropped to 52 now raining moderately. Expand And it was more than just 90. It made it to mid 90s which was incredible. It's not a good idea to make calls about potential crazy events not happening, because the weather has gotten so crazy these days. We have so many extremes. We can see 80 degrees in February and then a blizzard the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Pouring here for the last hour or so. FYI - For anyone betting on the Giants/Pats game Thursday night. Forecast is for 1-2" of rain and winds gusting up to 40 MPH during the game. Should make for an interesting game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 3:31 PM, NJwx85 said: Pouring here for the last hour or so. FYI - For anyone betting on the Giants/Pats game Thursday night. Forecast is for 1-2" of rain and winds gusting up to 40 MPH during the game. Should make for an interesting game. Expand 35-10 instead of 42 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 2:53 PM, winterwx21 said: No rain here yet this morning. To me it doesn't look as if much rain will make it west of NYC for this whole event. Maybe a tenth of an inch of rain if we're lucky. Expand Yeah the nam is much wetter for ewr than smq Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 2:11 PM, Brian5671 said: el busto. Western edge of rain is much further west than modeled. Expand We would be all doing cartwheels if it was winter. Looks like a good soaking today and we'll see how far west the rain comes tomorrow afternoon/night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 3:44 PM, Stormlover74 said: 35-10 instead of 42 Expand I don't think the Pats cover the spread. Going to be a lot of short passes and screens. I would bet on a 17-6 type game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Definitely more rain than I expected here. There was a nice gust as I walked into work but the winds have generally been tame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 more rain this morning into early afternoon then was predicted for nyc for the entire storm lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 4:28 PM, nycwinter said: more rain this morning into early afternoon then was predicted for nyc for the entire storm lol. Expand shows you how bad the models can be at times even with a short lead time.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Heavy rain right now 53 here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 4:37 PM, Brian5671 said: shows you how bad the models can be at times even with a short lead time.... Expand Models probably underestimated the strength of the block. If only this were January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 At 12:35 pm, daily rainfall at Westhampton had reached 0.97". That sets a new daily rainfall record for October 9. The previous record was 0.95", which was set in 1959 and tied in 1995. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 4:28 PM, nycwinter said: more rain this morning into early afternoon then was predicted for nyc for the entire storm lol. Expand A 50 or 60 mile precipitation adjustment from 24-36 hrs out is within the margin of error for most storms. We mainly notice it since the population is so high here. Most of the time these shifts go unnoticed out in the Plains or Rockies where there is so much space between the smaller towns. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 About as raw of a day as you will see around here for early/mid-October. Currently 53.6 degrees with moderate to occasionally heavy rain. Only about a quarter of an inch in the bucket so far but its come in spurts, almost like squalls or bands. We've also been consistently gusting in the 20-25 MPH range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 5:02 PM, bluewave said: A 50 or 60 mile precipitation adjustment from 24-36 hrs out is within the margin of error for most storms. We mainly notice it since the population is so high here. Most of the time these shifts go unnoticed out in the Plains or Rockies where there is so much space between the smaller towns. Expand Cutoff systems like this almost always end up further West than forecast because of the backing flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Just enough blocking from the high to the North to drain dry air down into PA and Western NJ, Upstate NY. You can clearly see where the moisture cutoff line is and where the rain shield ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 3:49 PM, Ace said: We would be all doing cartwheels if it was winter. Looks like a good soaking today and we'll see how far west the rain comes tomorrow afternoon/night Expand Great setup for a slow moving 2-3 foot snowstorm today. Classic Miller B with strong blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 12:28 PM, JustinRP37 said: Not seeing any 'below' average within 2 hours of the city. Data are data... Expand I was referring to October. Not since Labor Day. Any above normal in this pattern is solely because of skewed overnight lows in and around the city especially on cloudy nights Big difference in averages when you start pulling 68/60 rather than 68/48 just outside the city. You can throw whatever numbers you want out there but since the latter part of September, this has not been an above normal pattern outside the 11 million crammed heat island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 5:25 PM, West Mtn NY said: I was referring to October. Not since Labor Day. Any above normal in this pattern is solely because of skewed overnight lows in and around the city especially on cloudy nights Big difference in averages when you start pulling 68/60 rather than 68/48 just outside the city. You can throw whatever numbers you want out there but since the latter part of September, this has not been an above normal pattern outside the 11 million crammed heat island. Expand The lows have been warmer outside the city so far this month relative to the means. POU...Max...+1.5...Min...+4.3...Avg...+2.8 HPN...Max...+3.9..Min...+4.2...Avg....+4.0 LGA...Max...+4.0...Min...+1.7..Avg....+2.8 NYC...Max...+4.3...Min...+2.2..Avg....+3.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Up to .54” of much needed rain on the uws. It isn’t much under normal circumstances but we desperately needed it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 5:29 PM, IrishRob17 said: Expand So let’s just cut off one random day per month to fit our agenda lol. Is it like a mulligan? Everyone gets one day to exclude from the means? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 On 10/9/2019 at 5:25 PM, West Mtn NY said: I was referring to October. Not since Labor Day. Any above normal in this pattern is solely because of skewed overnight lows in and around the city especially on cloudy nights Big difference in averages when you start pulling 68/60 rather than 68/48 just outside the city. You can throw whatever numbers you want out there but since the latter part of September, this has not been an above normal pattern outside the 11 million crammed heat island. Expand This is not accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 western end of the precip breaking up and becoming more showery. Will be interesting to see how far west the 2nd round gets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Dodged the rains to my west and east. Chilly & breezy though at only 54F. Those 70s this weekend will feel nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Had 0.30" on west shore of si...more to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Only a few hundreths of an inch of rain here, and I'm only slightly west of NYC. The main rain did not get too far west as expected. Would have been horrible if it was winter and we were just missing out on a big snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now