weathafella Posted September 13, 2019 Share Posted September 13, 2019 It is close to the annual nadir so why not start the topic now. Good luck snow geese! Yesterday: Today: 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted September 14, 2019 Share Posted September 14, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 25, 2019 Author Share Posted September 25, 2019 On 9/13/2019 at 7:20 PM, weathafella said: It is close to the annual nadir so why not start the topic now. Good luck snow geese! Yesterday: Today: Slowish start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 11 hours ago, weathafella said: Slowish start Not surprised, but it's probably not all that different than some years at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billgwx Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 Too early. Wake me up when September ends That said, it should be noted that the Arctic sea ice minimum this month tied for 2nd lowest in recorded history. The record year 2012 was a real outlier, with a severe Arctic storm that August adding to losses above and beyond, so this is about as good as it gets so far. Anyway, that min is bound to have some effect on things this winter, but of course by itself means nothing without the nearer term snowfall response in Siberia in October, the longer term response (usually in northwestern Siberia) of anomalous surface high pressure in November, and still we must look out for wild cards that same month--recurving typhoons and other factors that could throw a wrench in the works. Locally we don't want October and November to both be warm months... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 29, 2019 Author Share Posted September 29, 2019 I hard saved 9/24 whIch should show in post 1. Easier to mark progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted October 14, 2019 Share Posted October 14, 2019 Shows how many actually care about the SAI anymore by lack of interest on this thread. Any updates? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted October 14, 2019 Share Posted October 14, 2019 4 hours ago, pondo1000 said: Shows how many actually care about the SAI anymore by lack of interest on this thread. Any updates? So far it's advancing at a pretty steady pace. As of October 11, Siberia had the second highest coverage over the past decade trailing only 2014. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 21, 2019 Author Share Posted October 21, 2019 The whole SAI seems a bit contrived. If it’s high but there’s loss from pattern in the first few days of November October goes good? What if 10/4-11/4 is great but 9/27-10/27 sucks? To me it’s a bit silly and Judah’s verification has take a beating in some recent years correlating SAI negativity with AO. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted November 2, 2019 Share Posted November 2, 2019 A visual as to why this thread was 200 pages long in 2014 From @WorldClimateSvc: https://twitter.com/WorldClimateSvc/status/1190601996543385600?s=20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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