Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Well we have the model runs tomorrow but as of right now I like the outcome for us. Its getting down to what the short range models say over the globals. We will see but I think we end up with a decent event from all this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Had to turn Boyer off just hearing the intro to the newscast. It’s like he’s tracking a different storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 The Euro just caved to the NAM and GFS. took a significant jog north with precipitation. All good trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 6z Nam 12km drop totals slightly for WNC but still a 3-6 inch event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 GSP saying a dusting to an inch around Asheville, doesn't seem right with what all the models are showing. I would have thought around 3 inches maybe 4 at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 10:09 AM, Tacoma said: GSP saying a dusting to an inch around Asheville, doesn't seem right with what all the models are showing. I would have thought around 3 inches maybe 4 at least. Expand They are giving time to look at todays runs. They are always super conservative anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 10:12 AM, Met1985 said: They are giving time to look at todays runs. They are always super conservative anyway. Expand Yep guess your right, because it does look like it snows here the whole event with no rain or sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 10:17 AM, Tacoma said: Yep guess your right, because it does look like it snows here the whole event with no rain or sleet. Expand Yeah they will be tweaking the forecast which they already have for my area but im thinking they will wait until 6 or 12 to put out some kind of advisory or watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 0z EPS average at KAVL now up to 3”. Good to see it finally come around. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Considering the thing starts tomorrow, theres still a lot of variance in plumes for Boone. Average is just over 2 inches. Theres 3 members in the 7 inch range, and a bunch just scattered all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 1:49 PM, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Expand Give me that mean all day! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natbright Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Hi - can you answer a question please? I read that temperatures are running around 3 degrees colder In the Midwest than what nam/gfs is showing. Is there any truth to that and does it affect us at all? I should know better than to post right before a model run; I think my question got lost in the main event topic. But since I am in Haywood maybe better to post in here anyways? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 I feel the call of a Catalooche daytrip from Chattanooga! @Maggie Ace will they run the shuttle bus from Maggie Valley parking even if the upper lot is not full? I ask because I don't want to drive that road up. Thank you. Separately I guess I should take I-40 around. Figure the pass from Cherokee will be a little crazy. Maybe come up tonight, but need some other things to be canceled locally first. Weekdays are short lift lines and cheaper lift tix. Oh yeah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 NAM came in juicy and pasted the southern mountains. Slightly warmer but doesn’t look to be an issue here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 2:29 PM, BlueRidgeFolklore said: NAM came in juicy and pasted the southern mountains. Slightly warmer but doesn’t look to be an issue here. Expand That was close to a huge run 1” plus precip was not far one more shift and we might be in for a real pasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 SREF plumes adjusted as well. Average of around 3 inches in Boone, and a few members (not just one like earlier) are showing 8-10, so could continue to go up possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 2:32 PM, Sw NC weather said: That was close to a huge run 1” plus precip was not far one more shift and we might be in for a real pasting. Expand Fo’real. We could be in for a real surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 The Hendersonville paper has been listening to too much Jason Boyer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Rgem bumped qpf totals up. Now has .5 getting into the southern mtns. Probably closer to reality. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 I'm gonna take my 2 inches and call it a day. I honestly dont believe the northern mountains outside of the western slopes will do much better than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Euro finally jumping on board. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Give me one more little jump north and I'll be really happy. Good to see the Euro finally get its head out of its butt. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Solid Euro run, keep inching that qpf up! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Yeah a great run by the EURO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 Again guys we are in the drivers seat here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 6:10 PM, Met1985 said: Again guys we are in the drivers seat here. Expand I'm amped now. Just got new Nitto Grapplers put on my truck this morning too. Might be going up on the Bald for this one. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 In Charlotte for a company meeting until Friday afternoon, looking forward to coming home to a 6”+ blanket of snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 6:08 PM, wncsnow said: Solid Euro run, keep inching that qpf up! Expand Benn out of the loop for the last hour. This is good to come back to.!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 19, 2020 Share Posted February 19, 2020 HRRR should be a good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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