franklin NCwx Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Got to 68 here today. About to head to the ball field with the kids and get some practice in while its dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 3, 2020 Author Share Posted February 3, 2020 Mean looking mammatus clouds around the Banner Elk/Linville area right now. No supercell required. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 4, 2020 Author Share Posted February 4, 2020 Mean looking mammatus clouds around the Banner Elk/Linville area right now. No supercell required. Couple cell pics. One from McRae Meadows and the other from somewhere on 221. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Robert's facebook post... ouch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Here’s a little eye candy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Robert's facebook post... ouch He's also getting destroyed in the comments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 21 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said: Here’s a little eye candy! That's gonna be a lot of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 I'm looking at this weekend less optimistically than I normally would, I've got a gut feeling the potential NWFS on the backside of the front will not live up to the current hype, and that little Sunday system just doesn't excite me at all at this juncture. We will see what happens the next couple of days though, but secure everything you might worry about floating away, if you haven't already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Hard to look at the GFS/ECMWF/Canadian models for this weekend and not get a little excited. All of them are close to warning criteria along the border. A lot could change still, but it's only four days away. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 For me I'll be glad for anything falling as snow. Thats just how crappy this winter has been. Still we have a lot of the season left in my opinion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamParker Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Good looking overnight ensembles for some of you guys. Man, I hope y’all rake in on some snow! Ensembles have seemed to keep improving for this one unlike the previous two weekends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 May have to take a trip this weekend if it continues to look like 5 or 6 inches for higher elevations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Just now, wncsnow said: May have to take a trip this weekend if it continues to look like 5 or 6 inches for higher elevations The last time the mtns were projected to get more than us here in the foothills.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 22 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: The last time the mtns were projected to get more than us here in the foothills.... Needs to dig deeper for us to get anything but the surface looks warm as of now for those east of the mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtgus Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Please share Robert's post or link his facebook page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Please share Robert's post or link his facebook pageJust search for WxSouth on Facebook. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Good gfs run for Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 ^its below freezing when it starts at 96 hours and stays at or below till the tail end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 22 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: ^its below freezing when it starts at 96 hours and stays at or below till the tail end. Something didnt update when I was looking at the GFS. Thanks for noticing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Canadian has nothing now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Decent hit on the euro...especially for the southern mtns. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 ECMWF both 00/12Z stays friendly for mountain snow lovers. Weekend mountain snow event might not be getting much NWS or media attention since they have to deal with the heavy rain first (over a wider area). Day 5 is a crap shoot in the South, except in the Mountains where terrain can forgive tracking errors. Vort max dives through the Plains and pivots Tenn Valley, not bad if you want a juicy clipper hybrid. 500/700 vorts are both at/north of I-40; so, lower elevations probably will be disappointed by a warm boundary layer. (Partial thicknesses are not as cold as total 1,000-500 mb). However temperature profiles and partial/critical thicknesses look great at elevation. It is a little early to drill down those charts, but again mountains offer a forecaster some cushion. 12Z Euro finally got to Saturday. Its vort max is slightly south and surface Ts slightly colder mountains. Hope this turns out to be great news for ski areas, both the operators and the skiers / riders. Snow conditions should be good, in contrast to other cold following rain fronts. If 3-8 inches of new snow accompanies snow-making overnight, it'll be pretty nice skiing and riding this weekend. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Looks like the most western foothills would be snow per 12Z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Looks like the most western foothills would be snow per 12Z Euro. BL temps ruin it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, wncsnow said: BL temps ruin it. Which layer? That’s 925 and 850 above. Surface is 34-36. Looks good to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Yeah I’ve got my eye on Maggie/Cataloochee this weekend. We’ll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Now let’s just juice this system up a little like every other system has and will be looking at a dang good event. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said: Now let’s just juice this system up a little like every other system has and will be looking at a dang good event. Don't want it to amp up too much. We are threading the needle as is. I do like how the euro trended a little colder. Hopefully we can score a 4-6 type of event out of this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 24 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Which layer? That’s 925 and 850 above. Surface is 34-36. Looks good to me! The wave is weakening as it gets closer to NC and the mountains shear it out. Lee side only gets .2 or less, need the heavier rates to mix the cold air to the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now