franklin NCwx Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 15 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The Op Euro looks pretty depressing still Give it 12 hours it will change again.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 13 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Give it 12 hours it will change again.... It keeps changing from non snowy to non snowy solution generally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: It keeps changing from non snowy to non snowy solution generally Its had a few snowy solutions that have been wrong. Checkout the changes at 500mb on the last few runs at day 5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 11 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Its had a few snowy solutions that have been wrong. Checkout the changes at 500mb on the last few runs at day 5. Yea it looks like we are about to enter a more volatile than normal pattern with lots of energy around and the models are having trouble latching onto storm placement, and which pieces of energy get going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Just now, wncsnow said: Yea it looks like we are about to enter a more volatile than normal pattern with lots of energy around and the models are having trouble latching onto storm placement, and which pieces of energy get going. Yeah, Lots of energy dropping in from the Pacific. The good news is they might all pass south of us. Hopefully we are just cold enough for some paste bombs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Keeps getting less and less each run since yesterday afternoonFocus on these snowfall maps, not the OP. Best looking EPS I have seen since sometime last year.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 23, 2020 Share Posted January 23, 2020 Gonna disregard the weekends little flurry action on Sunday completely unless something changes. I'm more intrigued on monday and the end of next week. As of now, it looks like the best chance we've had so far at something nice. So let's see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 I’m beginning to become intrigued by the Monday system. The models have been trending fairly good for us. I know it’s the 84hr Nam but it would probably be a 2-4 inch event for the southern and central mountains. It’ll be interesting to see what the models look like by tomorrow evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamParker Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 25 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said: I’m beginning to become intrigued by the Monday system. The models have been trending fairly good for us. I know it’s the 84hr Nam but it would probably be a 2-4 inch event for the southern and central mountains. It’ll be interesting to see what the models look like by tomorrow evening. Tonight’s NAM and RGEM got me pretty excited as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamParker Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 GFS is SO close to something nice, temps are just a few degrees off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 We have a Wind Advisory, a Special Weather Statement, a Hazardous Weather Outlook, and a Winter Weather Advisory in effect. I think they're as bored as we are. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Just now, SnoJoe said: We have a Wind Advisory, a Special Weather Statement, a Hazardous Weather Outlook, and a Winter Weather Advisory in effect. I think they're as bored as we are. They're making sure everything works for the Fab Feb we're about to have lol. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 1 hour ago, BhamParker said: GFS is SO close to something nice, temps are just a few degrees off Hope you have a good trip. The weather will do what it wants but it's always fun being in the mountains regardless. Enjoy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 15 hours ago, franklin NCwx said: Give it 12 hours it will change again.... Wow was you right, I don’t have any access to maps but there’s some in the mid to long range forum. Hint hint it’s a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Really liking the look on the Euro for next weekend. Everything CROSSED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 1 hour ago, Sw NC weather said: Wow was you right, I don’t have any access to maps but there’s some in the mid to long range forum. Hint hint it’s a blizzard. Almost a perfectly timed phase for us. Unfortunately it probably just gave us our best solution. 5 hours from now it will change. Hopefully not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Upper atmosphere is completely different, and surface is completely different. If it was even remotely similar I would give more stock to the latest 0z Euro. Today's 12z will probably be horrendous compared to the 0z, but even if it's closer than yesterdays 12z run is to the latest 0z, I'll consider it a win. (top pic is yesterdays 12z, bottom is this mornings 0z) Edit: Reason I bring this particular part up, is were roughly 9 days away or so, although surface features are expected to be different, upper air features should start to somewhat sync up, which hasn't happened yet on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Temp profiles for this Monday are not what they need to be according to the GFS, but the moisture is there on the Nam and GFS for a couple of inches if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 12Z GFS is a 35 degree flooding storm next weekend lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Just now, AsheCounty48 said: 12Z GFS is a 35 degree flooding storm next weekend lol It's *close* to something at least. I'm going to remain optimistic for now, haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 1 minute ago, AsheCounty48 said: 12Z GFS is a 35 degree flooding storm next weekend lol lol. Just like today event! Cant win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Phased too soon. Give it 6 hours it will change. Its 8-9 days away 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Phased too soon. Give it 6 hours it will change. Its 8-9 days away Best look all season. Its always broaderline here in my area in this set up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Phased too soon. Give it 6 hours it will change. Its 8-9 days away Yeah this one will be tricky, but as of now I like model trends. Will be interesting to see if the Euro shows some consistency in the long range but that’s a crap shoot. 0z euro shows a little bit of snow shower activity on Monday am as well, similar to what other models have been advertising. I think we have 3 chances to see snowflakes over the next 10 days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Looks like its going to phase too late on this run of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamParker Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Euro looked like it puts down 1-3 inches in the mountains early monday morning. Would yall consider 2600 feet up high enough to see some snowfall this weekend or Monday morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Looks like its going to phase too late on this run of the Euro. Yeah about 3 hours to late but still has a changeover at the onset. Just glad to have a couple of events to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 Euro looked like it puts down 1-3 inches in the mountains early monday morning. Yeah this is a legit chance I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 The mid Atlantic get some decent snow this run and a blizzard for the NE, trailing piece of energy from the Midwest gives some snow for the higher elevations on the backside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 24, 2020 Share Posted January 24, 2020 It absolutely hammers the Northeast this run, will be some 20 plus totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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