Met1985 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 I might be wrong but we are practically into March which makes a big difference and also the ground is very warm for the season we are in. With the combined rain, warmth, and getting into pre spring things work against us a lot at this time of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Cherohala Skyway 5" at 5400' 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acc fan Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 WWA hoisted from 7am friday to noon saturday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Big time advisory for mountains! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 I’d say we had the best snow event of the season here in Boone last night/this morning. About 1.5” but it dumped pretty hard this morning around 7:30am. Once the sun came out it cut right through all of it though. The roads were clear and dry within a few hours of the snow stopping. The sun and dry air are an incredible combo. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 It's a lot warmer than i expected even in Asheville its not that bad. Mid 40's when they forecasted 30's. Looks like there was a good dusting here but it was pretty much gone by 8 a.m. I expect similar amounts tomorrow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Looks like GSP is in the process of a big update in the forecast. My hourly forecast shows 6.5" of snow now through Saturday, up from 1-3" earlier. Up to 36.25" this season now. Within 10" of last season's total. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham- Northern Jackson- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, and Sylva 250 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO NOON EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2-4 inches, with peaks above 5000 feet seeing up to 6-8 inches. * WHERE...Mountains of western North Carolina. * WHEN...From noon Friday to noon EST Saturday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Not a bad forecast at all. Not impressed by the 18z NAM run but everything looks to be game on from here on out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 7 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Not a bad forecast at all. Not impressed by the 18z NAM run but everything looks to be game on from here on out. Is the 32km better in these situations than the finer grid versions? I always thought the 3km and 12km would handle these situations better with variations in topography and their finer resolution, and I take of mean of what all three show...but I could be wrong...and if I am I'd like to know! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 New map from GSP.Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 10 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham- Northern Jackson- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, and Sylva 250 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO NOON EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2-4 inches, with peaks above 5000 feet seeing up to 6-8 inches. . * WHERE...Mountains of western North Carolina. * WHEN...From noon Friday to noon EST Saturday. was hoping Buncombe would get in on that, this morning definitely over performed, a nice surprise. schools were even out. so much for not really going to get any this morning, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Just now, Buckethead said: New map from GSP. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk looks like GSP still isn't excited or just playing it cool for a while, tomorrow evening Saturday morning looks like Buncombe could get some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, Buckethead said: Is the 32km better in these situations than the finer grid versions? I always thought the 3km and 12km would handle these situations better with variations in topography and their finer resolution, and I take of mean of what all three show...but I could be wrong...and if I am I'd like to know! You know with these type of events and the topography of our landscape it is really hard to nail down these localized type events. For the most part I do like you are talking about. Take a mean average of the models and go from there. The problem is that the NWF can do wonders enhancing the flow and really dumping in certain areas especially all the micro climates we have and throw in drastic changes in elevation in a short range then it makes things that much harder. Thats why the NWS kind of broad brushes us with there forecast. Its just too complex to nail down just one site at a time especially with specific wind trajectories, which can make the difference from me getting 4 inches to just 1 inch. Upslope snow here is one that is ever changing during the event and can be a real pain to forecast not to mention looking at the layers of the atmosphere to figure out just how much moisture is there to really get the flow going or not going. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Ward if you have anything to add or MOTO then chime in. I kind of just rambled a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 The deal with the NWF is that you have moisture then the mountains make there own moisture. Sometimes its a wait and see game because there are so many pieces that are being put together to cause upslope snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 I’ll cash out on that map with the 2-3” zone it paints me in but I’m not expecting it unless the orientation sets up perfectly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Ended up with a little over 3 inches this morning. I had a high today of 24.6 so not much melted except in the real sunny places. Wind has seemed to calmed down little but still quite breezy. Lets see what tomorrow might bring. I'll take a repeat of last night in a heartbeat this winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 Been a busy day. I like to use the 3km, it is my model of choice with upslope.. but even it is wrong sometimes. Here is my map for this event that I am about to post. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natbright Posted February 27, 2020 Share Posted February 27, 2020 This map was pretty surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 Mitchell County Schools closed tomorrow, Friday, Feb. 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 5 minutes ago, K4CF said: Mitchell County Schools closed tomorrow, Friday, Feb. 28 Yeah, yancey too. Totally expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 From GSP... .........We hesitate to call it NW Flow because the flow has a much more westerly component to it..... This is not good for my mountain. Usually cuts my totals quite a bit. But you North Georgia and Upstate peeps get some love... ........Some of the guidance is showing the potential for something more across northeast GA and the western Upstate (again!), to the left of the track of a vort center dropping down through the upper trof early Saturday morning...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 1 minute ago, SnoJoe said: From GSP... .........We hesitate to call it NW Flow because the flow has a much more westerly component to it..... This is not good for my mountain. Usually cuts my totals quite a bit. But you North Georgia and Upstate peeps get some love... ........Some of the guidance is showing the potential for something more across northeast GA and the western Upstate (again!), to the left of the track of a vort center dropping down through the upper trof early Saturday morning...... They basically said the same thing for last night's nwf too. Hold out hope, Joe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 Just now, Buckethead said: They basically said the same thing for last night's nwf too. Hold out hope, Joe! Nope. I'll have clear skies and 61 degrees while every mountain around me gets dumped on. It's sad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 1 minute ago, SnoJoe said: Nope. I'll have clear skies and 61 degrees while every mountain around me gets dumped on. It's sad. If that happens, please message me. I'll bring the snow over to ya. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 If the 18z GFS is remotely right on the new QPF to come, the blue area is 5+ inches of NEW snow. Coming in 2 rounds Friday AM and the Friday night. Enjoy everyone. This isnt a model snow map but straight QPF. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 Just now, MotoWeatherman said: If the 18z GFS is remotely right on the new QPF to come, the blue area is 5+ inches of NEW snow. Coming in 2 rounds Friday AM and the Friday night. Enjoy everyone. This isnt a model snow map but straight QPF. Looks pretty dang good to me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 7 minutes ago, MotoWeatherman said: If the 18z GFS is remotely right on the new QPF to come, the blue area is 5+ inches of NEW snow. Coming in 2 rounds Friday AM and the Friday night. Enjoy everyone. This isnt a model snow map but straight QPF. Or maybe more depending on ratio. That snow last night had to be 15 to 20/1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 1 hour ago, SnoJoe said: Or maybe more depending on ratio. That snow last night had to be 15 to 20/1. Agreed but I always cut totals a bit because almost nothing works out perfectly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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