Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 7:16 PM, wncsnow said: The wave is weakening as it gets closer to NC and the mountains shear it out. Lee side only gets .2 or less, need the heavier rates to mix the cold air to the surface Expand Yes more precip would be ideal but the boundaries are below freezing as is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 7:19 PM, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Yes more precip would be ideal but the boundaries are below freezing as is. Expand Doesn't matter much when its 36 and we just saw last week. It's tough for it to accumulate unless the rates are heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 7:25 PM, wncsnow said: Doesn't matter much when its 36 and we just saw last week. It's tough for it to accumulate unless the rates are heavy. Expand That was my favorite kind, stuck to everything, beautiful falling, and gone the next day. Perfect, IMO! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Yeah, temp down here were 37/38 and it stuck just fine, some places got 2-3” with BL temps in the upper 30s! We got to keep a wary eye out on that high , mid Feb sun angle! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 7:34 PM, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: That was my favorite kind, stuck to everything, beautiful falling, and gone the next day. Perfect, IMO! If heavy enough it will snow. Just need deep cells. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 ever the optimists lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 7:40 PM, mackerel_sky said: Yeah, temp down here were 37/38 and it stuck just fine, some places got 2-3” with BL temps in the upper 30s! We got to keep a wary eye out on that high , mid Feb sun angle! Expand Agreed. All we really need is a 64dbz supercell to pop and backbuild for an hour and a half and we should be money for an inch or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 8:14 PM, Maggie Ace said: Ugh... Expand Finall, I jackpot! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 12z EPS even more bullish with the trailing wave. This one could have some legitimacy. Let’s hope, just got my hot tub installed today! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 4, 2020 Author Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 8:44 PM, mackerel_sky said: Finall, I jackpot!I'm a little lost on why neither Greenville or Blacksburg has issued a flood watch. Not like the models haven't been showing the potential for days now or anything. FFC put theirs out yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 6:39 PM, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Looks like the most western foothills would be snow per 12Z Euro. Expand Wow, right on the 0 line for me. The 925 always seems to be a bigger issue than the 850. What elevation is 925 is 925? Wouldn't take much to get 85 and North into the game for the upstate. Need this to keep ticking just bit colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 9:03 PM, Iceagewhereartthou said: Wow, right on the 0 line for me. The 925 always seems to be a bigger issue than the 850. What elevation is 925 is 925? Wouldn't take much to get 85 and North into the game for the upstate. Need this to keep ticking just bit colder. Expand I’m chasing to the mountains! When is this clipper supposed to peak? Sat day/ night or what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 9:03 PM, Iceagewhereartthou said: Wow, right on the 0 line for me. The 925 always seems to be a bigger issue than the 850. What elevation is 925 is 925? Wouldn't take much to get 85 and North into the game for the upstate. Need this to keep ticking just bit colder. Expand 925= 2500' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 9:07 PM, mackerel_sky said: I’m chasing to the mountains! When is this clipper supposed to peak? Sat day/ night or what? Expand Looks to start around 7am Saturday morning in the southern mtns. Probably late morning for the best rates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 9:16 PM, franklin NCwx said: 925= 2500' Expand Maybe a dumb question but I’ll ask it anyway. If 925’s are above freezing but you’re location is above 2500 feet, is it even an issue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 8:59 PM, Tyler Penland said: On 2/4/2020 at 8:44 PM, mackerel_sky said: Finall, I jackpot! Expand I'm a little lost on why neither Greenville or Blacksburg has issued a flood watch. Not like the models haven't been showing the potential for days now or anything. FFC put theirs out yesterday. Expand GSP said in their afternoon disco that they were waiting at least another forecast period before issuing one. Can't say that I see any reason for it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 9:44 PM, WarmNose said: Maybe a dumb question but I’ll ask it anyway. If 925’s are above freezing but you’re location is above 2500 feet, is it even an issue? Expand No. And my house is right at 2500' and I really only look at 850 temps. If we have a system with decent rates as long as the column is below freezing from 850 up 9 times out of 10nit will be snow. Now if we're talking a weak event its probably a mix. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 9:57 PM, SnowDawg said: GSP said in their afternoon disco that they were waiting at least another forecast period before issuing one. Can't say that I see any reason for it though. Expand Models are showing 3”-7”+, I’m sure it’s safe to pull the trigger now! Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Yall are worried about snow, I'm gathering bait and tackle to fish at the mall parking lot on thursday in Boone. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 4, 2020 Author Share Posted February 4, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:10 PM, AsheCounty48 said: Yall are worried about snow, I'm gathering bait and tackle to fish at the mall parking lot on thursday in Boone.Don't forget to set up your camera over on Deerfield to catch all the morons driving around the road closed signs and getting stuck.Every. Time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 10:22 PM, Tyler Penland said: Don't forget to set up your camera over on Deerfield to catch all the morons driving around the road closed signs and getting stuck. Every. Time. Expand Pool party at the Boone Mall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 NAM had thunder snow on the extracted data for Murphy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 And here we go! Time for the deluge! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 That is a beast of a NWF setup on the 3km NAM for Friday. Low bombing out on the Delmarv and plenty of moisture on the backside to be strained out. Wicked winds should push snowflakes into many of the valleys if this comes to fruition. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 1:07 PM, AsheCounty48 said: And here we go! Time for the deluge! Expand No kidding! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Models are backing off of the snow for the weekends showing less moisture 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 3:14 PM, wncsnow said: Models are backing off of the snow for the weekends showing less moisture Expand 12Z NAM (the only accurate model for last Friday’s snow) looks very good at the end of its run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 3:14 PM, wncsnow said: Models are backing off of the snow for the weekends showing less moisture Expand Just throw in the towel. Have you seen the indicies? Currently we are lucky to be tracking anything. The AO is through the roof lol! This winter has been very frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Its frustrating how its getting sheared out. Hopefully it will hold together a little longer as we move closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 On 2/5/2020 at 4:03 PM, franklin NCwx said: Its frustrating how its getting sheared out. Hopefully it will hold together a little longer as we move closer. Expand Hopefully it will but virtually every model still gives us a couple inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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