nw baltimore wx Posted September 17, 2019 Share Posted September 17, 2019 I had to get up early this morning to turn off the window fan to keep the rain from blowing in the bedroom. I have no idea what time it was. It's beautiful out there now with a nice northerly breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 17, 2019 Share Posted September 17, 2019 11 hours ago, frd said: @C.A.P.E. Speaking of rain, the WPC in the long range discussion mentions deep tropical moisture starting to move up North and Northeast from Eastern Texas past day 7 if you look at the Day 7 map at the WPC it lends support for rainfall to make it here later next week after the warm surge on the weekend and then after that maybe a cooler regime takes over again. Not related to rainfall but interesting is the spike maybe in the PNA , a lot of spread but interesting No support for a cooler regime taking over after this weekend on the EPS. GEFS gives us bouts of close to normal between heat surges, and 6Z GFS is once again straight summer through 384hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 17, 2019 Share Posted September 17, 2019 Feels great out there. 65 currently, headed down to 54. Then 52 and 50 the next 2 nights. Highs in the low to mid 70s. Just perfect for this time of year. If not for the dryness, this is the kind of weather that would get the trees going towards some vibrant fall color. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted September 17, 2019 Share Posted September 17, 2019 10 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: No support for a cooler regime taking over after this weekend on the EPS. GEFS gives us bouts of close to normal between heat surges, and 6Z GFS is once again straight summer through 384hr. Yes you are right, the PNA not as positive, the NAO and the AO not as negative , might be very warm until later in October. Never ending summer except for this lucky break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 17, 2019 Share Posted September 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, frd said: Yes you are right, the PNA not as positive, the NAO and the AO not as negative , might be very warm until later in October. Never ending summer except for this lucky break. After a few days in the 80s this weekend into early next week, verbatim the 12z GEFS has highs in the 70s and lows mostly in the 50s the rest of the run, into early Oct. Can't hate on that. That's freaking normal climo here. We will see how it plays out. Even if it ends up warmer some of those days, who really cares? Are people expecting hghs in the 60s and lows in the 40s in late Sept, outside of the highlands? LOL. Just give me some damn rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 Feels really nice out currently 65 dew 53. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: After a few days in the 80s this weekend into early next week, verbatim the 12z GEFS has highs in the 70s and lows mostly in the 50s the rest of the run, into early Oct. Can't hate on that. That's freaking normal climo here. We will see how it plays out. Even if it ends up warmer some of those days, who really cares? Are people expecting hghs in the 60s and lows in the 40s in late Sept, outside of the highlands? LOL. Just give me some damn rain. You know, it certainly could be worse. Tonight it is a gem out there. You notice the sunsets are really much earlier, I was surprised by how quickly this month is going by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 22 minutes ago, frd said: You know, it certainly could be worse. Tonight it is a gem out there. You notice the sunsets are really much earlier, I was surprised by how quickly this month is going by. Next couple days do look very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 First low in the 40s. 51/49 currently but it did sink to 49 briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 53 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 It’s a leggings as pants kind of day. 54 here in Germantown when I woke up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 50F. Shocked it got that cool. Forecast was 55F. Gorgeous morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 13 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: 50F. Shocked it got that cool. Forecast was 55F. Gorgeous morning. That sounds awesome!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 13 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: After a few days in the 80s this weekend into early next week, verbatim the 12z GEFS has highs in the 70s and lows mostly in the 50s the rest of the run, into early Oct. Can't hate on that. That's freaking normal climo here. We will see how it plays out. Even if it ends up warmer some of those days, who really cares? Are people expecting hghs in the 60s and lows in the 40s in late Sept, outside of the highlands? LOL. Just give me some damn rain. Even if we're within a couple degrees of 80, it's not "never-ending summer." It'll (unfortunately) likely be dry, so it's not like we'll be dealing with mugginess, which is miles away from mid-summer 92/73 with high sun angle. Do most of us want some cool days and rain? Absolutely. But seriously...the hyperbole just needs to stop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 10 minutes ago, mattie g said: Even if we're within a couple degrees of 80, it's not "never-ending summer." It'll (unfortunately) likely be dry, so it's not like we'll be dealing with mugginess, which is miles away from mid-summer 92/73 with high sun angle. Do most of us want some cool days and rain? Absolutely. But seriously...the hyperbole just needs to stop. Persistent 5-10F above normal puts us basically in August normal range, so I don’t really think it’s hyperbole. Upper 80s for highs in late September or early October is 15F or more above normal. I think every forgets what normal should be, which is why everyone acts like it’s a fall preview when we have seasonally normal temps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 39 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Persistent 5-10F above normal puts us basically in August normal range, so I don’t really think it’s hyperbole. Upper 80s for highs in late September or early October is 15F or more above normal. I think every forgets what normal should be, which is why everyone acts like it’s a fall preview when we have seasonally normal temps. Exactly. I dont have the time to check the data, but do you know where we are with temps this month wrt to normal? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 14 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: After a few days in the 80s this weekend into early next week, verbatim the 12z GEFS has highs in the 70s and lows mostly in the 50s the rest of the run, into early Oct. Can't hate on that. That's freaking normal climo here. We will see how it plays out. Even if it ends up warmer some of those days, who really cares? Are people expecting hghs in the 60s and lows in the 40s in late Sept, outside of the highlands? LOL. Just give me some damn rain. The EPS disagrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 1 hour ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Exactly. I dont have the time to check the data, but do you know where we are with temps this month wrt to normal? As of a couple days ago, airports were 4-5F AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: As of a couple days ago, airports were 4-5F AN. Given what we're about to see starting Friday, sure looks like it's going to be a repeat of last september.... minus the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 It can rain any day now...went fishing at Ft. Ritchie this weekend and the lake was the lowest I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 2 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: The EPS disagrees. So does my point and click. After these 2 days of normal temps it's highs near 90 as far as it goes out. I think our rants are justified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 My memory could be failing me, but I don't remember many, if any, refreshing low dew point days with cool nights this time last year. Yes we are going to have a few days well into the 80s coming up, but I just don't see anything resembling the putrid period we endured early last fall with day after day of warm, tropical air. Now that was something to complain about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 Last year the leaves didn't really change until November because we went all tropical for the first half of fall. This year most of the leaves might be off the trees due to stress before we ever see any color lol. We seriously need a rainy period. That is something more worthy of whining about than some warm days in September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 41 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Some guidance suggesting a decent chance at hitting 40s tomorrow morning n+w and esp Fri morning . Bring it Forecast low of 51 here tonight and 49 tomorrow night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 42 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Latest Eps backed off a bit on warmth next week . OP as well Let's hope that's a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 7 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Forecast low of 51 here tonight and 49 tomorrow night. Next 2 evenings and mornings are going to be very nice. I just wish it'd been weekend weather; perfect firepit conditions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: Next 2 evenings and mornings are going to be very nice. I just wish it'd been weekend weather; perfect firepit conditions. Yeah I finished my firepit back in June, and tried it out twice during the summer. Hopefully we have a nice, normal period of fall weather(with some rain!) in October through November. Then the -AO/NAO/EPO ridge the CanSIPS is advertising can lock in with a cold, snowy December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 25 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Yeah I finished my firepit back in June, and tried it out twice during the summer. Hopefully we have a nice, normal period of fall weather(with some rain!) in October through November. Then the -AO/NAO/EPO ridge the CanSIPS is advertising can lock in with a cold, snowy December. Meanwhile we build up North , for your Fire pit of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 Speaking of cold and snow, last Thanksgiving wasn't even above freezing here. I figured I'd allude to that siberian cold snap season will be here in just a month and a half or so. Coldest thanksgiving in 22 years IIRC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 9 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Speaking of cold and snow, last Thanksgiving wasn't even above freezing here. I figured I'd allude to that siberian cold snap season will be here in just a month and a half or so. Coldest thanksgiving in 22 years IIRC Yeah we went quickly from summer to winter. Very short fall. Dont want a repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now