NorthArlington101 Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 How is school going by the way? Sophomore now?Thanks for asking! Yep, in my sophomore year at UVA. Things are going well, balancing been active on Grounds and keeping grades high. I still haven’t decided on a major but it’s heavily narrowed down... looking at some combination of politics/media studies/public policy. Plan on taking a couple meteorology classes for fun. Basic Intro class last semester was good and it definitely filled in some gaps in my knowledge. Eyeing a Synoptics class next semester... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 17 hours ago, WxUSAF said: I’d lock in the entire 12z gfs if I could. Dare I say rainy and a very cool start to October? The 18z was even better, but now it's back to dust. We need some remnants through here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 Hey! Water! From the sky! Wasn't home, but sometime between 5 and 7 pm enough fell to wet things down, and giant 0.01 in the CoCoRaHS gauge at 7 am lol. First measurable in 9 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Got .03" yesterday from a shower. Drought busted. Just like summer was 5 weeks ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 Picked up a couple hundredths. I forgot to cover the rain gauge before I turned the sprinkler on. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 3 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: The 18z was even better, but now it's back to dust. We need some remnants through here. 6z is dry again, but still shows fall arriving with a vengeance after the strong front next Thursday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: 6z is dry again, but still shows fall arriving with a vengeance after the strong front next Thursday. Let’s gooooo 12z GFS! Would probably be first frost verbatim for the suburbs next weekend after the heat. Still tamer in heat than euro and GGEM. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Let’s gooooo 12z GFS! Would probably be first frost verbatim for the suburbs next weekend after the heat. Still tamer in heat than euro and GGEM. Don't you need moisture for frost? My yard has reached desert status. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 Absolutely nothing last night. Desert dry at 81/55 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 If the latest runs of the GFS are correct, not much chance of rain through the end of the month. My current total is 0.48". That will probably end up being the Sept total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 GGEM moved toward the gfs for next week, but euro still a total blowtorch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GGEM moved toward the gfs for next week, but euro still a total blowtorch. Seems the long range GFS is really pushing up the time table we make a full transition to Fall. I would expect a warm rebound of course but maybe the worse of the heat is over after October 3 rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 Low of 51 this morning. High yesterday was 78. Looks like another nice day today with a high around 80. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 15 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Low of 51 this morning. High yesterday was 78. Looks like another nice day today with a high around 80. What a difference cloud cover makes this time of the year. Saturday and Sunday this past weekend was about 80 or so... but with the severe clear it felt like 90... yesterday was almost perfect in my opinion.. maybe 10 degrees cooler would be ideal. For some reason I have grown to be intolerable of the sun. I think it is all the previous Opiate abuse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 16 hours ago, frd said: Seems the long range GFS is really pushing up the time table we make a full transition to Fall. I would expect a warm rebound of course but maybe the worse of the heat is over after October 3 rd. The LR look on the GEFS and now the EPS may lend some support to what the CanSIPS has been advertising for winter. I mentioned when the Sept run came out we wouldn't have to wait too long to see if it was onto something with the impressive HL blocking, as it has that general look as early as October. We are seeing the same tendency on the LR Euro and GFS now as we head into early October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 From the latest from LWX: (snip) .CLIMATE... Here are the rankings for driest Septembers on record. Washington, DC area (Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport, DCA) 1. 0.11 inches (2019, so far) 0.11 inches (2005) 3. 0.14 inches (1884) 4. 0.20 inches (1967) 5. 0.32 inches (1977) 1981-2010 normal monthly rainfall for September: 3.72 inches Note: Weather records for the Washington, DC area have been kept at what is now Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (DCA) since 1941. The official weather record consists of that data back to 1945, and additional precipitation records observed in downtown Washington, DC extend the period of record back to 1871. Baltimore MD area (Baltimore-Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport, BWI) 1. 0.09 inches (1884) 2. 0.15 inches (2019, so far) 3. 0.21 inches (1967) 4. 0.32 inches (1906) 5. 0.35 inches (2007) 1981-2010 normal monthly rainfall for September: 4.03 inches Note: Weather records for the Baltimore, MD area have been kept at what is now Baltimore-Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport (BWI) since 1950. Additional precipitation records observed in downtown Baltimore extend the period of record back to 1871. Sterling/Dulles VA area (Washington Dulles International Airport, IAD) 1. 0.15 inches (2005) 2. 0.33 inches (2019, so far) 3. 0.62 inches (1967) 4. 0.78 inches (1978) 5. 0.93 inches (2014) 1981-2010 normal monthly rainfall for September: 3.92 inches Note: Weather records for the Sterling/Dulles VA area have been kept at what is now Washington Dulles International Airport (IAD) since 1960. (snip) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 Basically, if it doesn't rain on Tuesday, these are the totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 Very nice evening and morning. Now, time to close the shades for the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 57 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Very nice evening and morning. Now, time to close the shades for the next 10 days. Less than that. GFS and Euro both consistent with the strong FROPA next Thursday or so and both show a decent rain with it. Next Saturday morning could get into the 30s in the colder suburbs which would be a big departure from the 90s a few days earlier. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 Bring it. Will be in the mountains of Augusta county next weekend, could be perfect weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 41 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Less than that. GFS and Euro both consistent with the strong FROPA next Thursday or so and both show a decent rain with it. Next Saturday morning could get into the 30s in the colder suburbs which would be a big departure from the 90s a few days earlier. LWX's AFD from this morning seems to suggest that the models are bringing the furnace next week .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... High pressure will push offshore Saturday as a cold front approaches from the Ohio Valley/Great Lakes region. Once again, moisture looks to be meager ahead of this front, so will only carry low PoPs for this forecast. Another area of high pressure will follow, this time building to our south and west over the Tennessee Valley through early next week, sending the aforementioned cold front back north as a warm front. Long range models and ensembles have been remarkably consistent with very strong and deep ridging developing over the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS early next week, which should result in a trend toward above to well above normal temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 90s seem likely next Tuesday and Wednesday and possibly Thursday depending on front timings. GFS has some energy rotating over the top of the ridge into our area which could keep temps lower with clouds and maybe even showers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 It's getting more easy for me to deal with the heat with each passing day because were getting closer to the months where 80's and 90's will be completely out of the picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 22 minutes ago, Steve25 said: It's getting more easy for me to deal with the heat with each passing day because were getting closer to the months where 80's and 90's will be completely out of the picture. Yes, January is just over 3 months away. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 2 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Yes, January is just over 3 months away. Latest runs of the CFS might beg to differ. Well, maybe not 80-90, but a major winter torcher nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 9 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Latest runs of the CFS might beg to differ. Well, maybe not 80-90, but a major winter torcher nonetheless. Year around beach saddles, yeah baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 26, 2019 Share Posted September 26, 2019 Looks like yet another 90 degree day on tap. I can't wait for that front later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 26, 2019 Share Posted September 26, 2019 15 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Latest Euro has Wed and Thurs mid 90s and 60s by Fri / Sat . Yeah those days look to be the real torch, and hopefully its just 2. After a really warm day today, tomorrow looks super nice, and Monday also looks like a nice day, around 80. Weekend looks to be a carbon copy of last weekend- mid to upper 80s and pretty humid. At least we have had some seasonable days in between the warmer ones during this period. It has not been an all out torch to this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted September 26, 2019 Share Posted September 26, 2019 Can this be true? Rain? My radar app alerted me for the first time in a month about an impending rain shower. Will it reach me? Will it ghost me? Will it skip over me? Juke around me? And if this rain should fall, wil the ground hiss from the contact of this blessed moisture? I'm intrigued. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 26, 2019 Share Posted September 26, 2019 Burke split Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now