FatherNature Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 With all these SW wobbles and trends... when does it hit Cancun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 1 minute ago, bobbutts said: I wonder what the difference in billions of dollars is between the far left of the cone and the far right. If that latest update verified, it would definitely be a nightmare - i.e., coastal southeast Florida appears to be in the relative center of the cone's extrapolated "central line". There are strips of barrier islands all up and down the coast and with it being low-lying and swampy anyway, any storm surge would probably travel quite a bit inland. Just seeing the real-time storm surge video from Michael's landfall in the pan handle last year, was jaw-dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Somebody smash the HMON and the HWRF now. Their track outputs are not supposed to be taken seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Cmon guys. Really? SW Wobble. Yes, SW wobble. You heard it right. SW wobble! We talkin' bout SW wobbles. How many SW wobbles will it take to will this thing to Australia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: If that latest update verified, it would definitely be a nightmare - i.e., coastal southeast Florida appears to be in the relative center of the cone's extrapolated "central line". There are strips of barrier islands all up and down the coast and with it being low-lying and swampy anyway, any storm surge would probably travel quite a bit inland. Just seeing the real-time storm surge video from Michael's landfall in the pan handle last year, was jaw-dropping. Yeah, I have family and have been vacationing on that barrier island just South of Palm Beach for the better part of my life. Some of my earliest memories there were my dad showing me the remnants of A1A that had been washed out by the 1947 Ft. Lauderdale hurricane. I feel like a storm like this could move enough sand and destroy enough buildings to move it again. The other thing besides susceptibility to surge is just how ridiculously expensive many of the properties are. Driving up or down A1A is just an endless display of money. Here's a sample stretch I picked out from Zillow. Looks like that 1947 storm took a very similar track through the Bahamas with no last second turn to save the coast. Of course it was much weaker than Dorian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FatherNature Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, bobbutts said: Yeah, I have family and have been vacationing on that barrier island just South of Palm Beach for the better part of my life. Some of my earliest memories there were my dad showing me the remnants of A1A that had been washed out by the 1947 Ft. Lauderdale hurricane. I feel like a storm like this could move enough sand and destroy enough buildings to move it again. The other thing besides susceptibility to surge is just how ridiculously expensive many of the properties are. Driving up or down A1A is just an endless display of money. Here's a sample stretch I picked out from Zillow. Looks like that 1947 storm took a very similar track through the Bahamas with no last second turn to save the coast. Of course it was much weaker than Dorian. I knew my grandparents should of invested in a property on this road in 1960 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Cmon guys. Really? SW Wobble. Yes, SW wobble. You heard it right. SW wobble! We talkin' bout SW wobbles. How many SW wobbles will it take to will this thing to Australia? I wonder if Dorian would want to dance to the Wobble song. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, nj2va said: I wonder if Dorian would want to dance to the Wobble song. Honestly I've been staring at the satellite and models ya know for hours on end without budging since yesterday morning. It's like a NHC shift but at home and i'm not even qualified lol. But I could qualify since I'm good at sitting at the edge of my bed tracking hurricanes for so long. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FatherNature Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 We got people doing every radar echo as a SW bobble in a storm moving 5MPH and now they are all over the HWRF track, and someone posted a IBM Supercomputer model? I need some alcohol for that main thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Honestly I've been staring at the satellite and models ya know for hours on end without budging since yesterday morning. It's like a NHC shift but at home and i'm not even qualified lol. But I could qualify since I'm good at sitting at the edge of my bed tracking hurricanes for so long. You could probably be featured live for an interview on TWC at this point. “We’re going live to Goldsboro, MD where resident cane expert has been tracking from his bed for the past 24 hours. He’s also been studying canes for the past 24 hours so about 23 hours more than most of us here at TWC.” 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Could the GFS have been right the whole time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Is it still wobbling WSW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 41 minutes ago, nj2va said: You could probably be featured live for an interview on TWC at this point. “We’re going live to Goldsboro, MD where resident cane expert has been tracking from his bed for the past 24 hours. He’s also been studying canes for the past 24 hours so about 23 hours more than most of us here at TWC.” Almost 14 hours straight of tracking dorian now. Safe to say I've beat my personal record of about 11 hours or so tracking Irene moving up the coast after I graduated high school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Is it still wobbling WSW? Latest RS loop from KAMX says yes. Looks like it's moving a bit slower, but still drifting WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Almost 14 hours straight of tracking dorian now. Safe to say I've beat my personal record of about 11 hours or so tracking Irene moving up the coast after I graduated high school. Good practice for our non-winter winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FatherNature Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 I heard Alabama is in the line of the hurricane, when does evacuations start there? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, FatherNature said: I heard Alabama is in the line of the hurricane, when does evacuations start there? Sept 25th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 The main thread is becoming an argument on Darwin's law and Darwinism. And this is the banter thread... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 12 minutes ago, FatherNature said: I heard Alabama is in the line of the hurricane, when does evacuations start there? When Clemson crosses the border. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FatherNature Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 1 minute ago, jburns said: When Clemson crosses the border. Oh I see what you did there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 2 hours ago, nj2va said: If you want a lesson on wishcasting go read the main thread. days and days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 1 hour ago, JakkelWx said: Cmon guys. Really? SW Wobble. Yes, SW wobble. You heard it right. SW wobble! We talkin' bout SW wobbles. How many SW wobbles will it take to will this thing to Australia? The Weebles model has been the best performer today. Lots of wobbles but it doesn't fall down. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying Bouncy House Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 I'm still new here, so I apologize for asking a dumb question. Is this where the nowcasting comments go? Seemingly folks are averse to those in the "main" thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 When Clemson crosses the border.Even as a Gamecock fan I have to applaud you for that oneSent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 I'm still new here, so I apologize for asking a dumb question. Is this where the nowcasting comments go? Seemingly folks are averse to those in the "main" thread.That is why this is banter for Dorian... Let er ripSent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying Bouncy House Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: That is why this is banter for Dorian... Let er rip Sent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk Thanks, good to know. I'll be sure to just post the NHC track next time I'm in the other thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying Bouncy House Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, Prospero said: Oh goodie. Do one for AOC!!!!!! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Oh goodie. Do one for AOC!!!!!!Like excessive cow farts have been known to cause wobbles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STxVortex Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Anybody know what the turning radius of a 280 mile wide, 70,000ft high, multi-billion ton, 185-220mph, spinning mass of water, water vapor [and some debris] might be? Anxious Floridians and EC'ers would like to know. Pls reply: Box DUG, Cheyenne Mountain, CO. Not your grandmum's Buick at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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