dryslot Posted September 29, 2019 Author Share Posted September 29, 2019 Looks like CT/RI got wiped off the map on that Sat image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 Cold rain comin’ later this week. Ray’s nostalgic fire place smoke will certainly be in the air. The first real synoptic rain event since June it seems. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 3 hours ago, Modfan said: Hurricane Gloria? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 Well it's time to hang it up. A few short months of dark, dreary wx and that sun angle comes climbing back again so we look on the bright side. The drab, dark, rainy Oct./Nov. months tend to go quickly and hopefully we coast right through those awful months. Beyond that, deeper into winter, let's all hope it's another gradient winter where the ski resorts are pummeled with 10 ft. Depths, yet there is literally a few inches of snow the majority of SNE...and we rock a few bare ground 80's in Morch. Let's hope for this type of perfect winter. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 1 hour ago, Dr. Dews said: Well it's time to hang it up. A few short months of dark, dreary wx and that sun angle comes climbing back again so we look on the bright side. The drab, dark, rainy Oct./Nov. months tend to go quickly and hopefully we coast right through those awful months. Beyond that, deeper into winter, let's all hope it's another gradient winter where the ski resorts are pummeled with 10 ft. Depths, yet there is literally a few inches of snow the majority of SNE...and we rock a few bare ground 80's in Morch. Let's hope for this type of perfect winter. What a gradient that was. Epic amount of winter rain systems. 15? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 14 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: What a gradient that was. Epic amount of winter rain systems. 15? It felt like we had more rain last winter than this summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 18 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: What a gradient that was. Epic amount of winter rain systems. 15? Ugh, don't remind me. What a dud last winter was. Even the cathartic 12"+ thump couldn't come close to redeeming it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 Early this morning was actually the first time this season the northern summits of the Greens got down into the 30s. 36F for a min at MMNV1 (previous low temps were 40F on 9/13 and 9/18). No fake cold at the summits, 30s with 30-45mph winds and wind chills in the low to mid 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 Today is full on autumn as you draw it up. We've got full sunshine here in town and despite the sun, it's only 53F. It looks a lot warmer out with that sun out there... but 40s and 50s in sunshine at noon is legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 Rut roh, John H map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 Beautiful here. Sunny and cracking 70 shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Beautiful here. Sunny and cracking 70 shortly. Yeah it could be 10-15F warmer and it would be a bit more COC. It is a tad on the cool side despite the sun...sun doesn’t have that warmth it did a couple months ago. Like you want to go out in shorts and a t-shirt and then step outside and it’s like nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 3 hours ago, moneypitmike said: What's the deal with that uber-cool area (near Oneonta??) That purple dot is our house lol. i can’t explain it but we definitely had a chilly summer. Friends came up to visit from the NY suburbs and were appalled by how cold it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 18 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah it could be 10-15F warmer and it would be a bit more COC. It is a tad on the cool side despite the sun...sun doesn’t have that warmth it did a couple months ago. Like you want to go out in shorts and a t-shirt and then step outside and it’s like nope. That will be us later this week. Temp is actually down a notch to 69 now, but with no wind it feels really nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 3 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: Well it's time to hang it up. A few short months of dark, dreary wx and that sun angle comes climbing back again so we look on the bright side. The drab, dark, rainy Oct./Nov. months tend to go quickly and hopefully we coast right through those awful months. Beyond that, deeper into winter, let's all hope it's another gradient winter where the ski resorts are pummeled with 10 ft. Depths, yet there is literally a few inches of snow the majority of SNE...and we rock a few bare ground 80's in Morch. Let's hope for this type of perfect winter. Can we get a 'troll' emoticon? What a COC today is. 70/49 with a nice breeze. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 This weather! 65/48 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 61.6/39 Too cold for the nape despite full sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Yeah it could be 10-15F warmer and it would be a bit more COC. It is a tad on the cool side despite the sun...sun doesn’t have that warmth it did a couple months ago. Like you want to go out in shorts and a t-shirt and then step outside and it’s like nope. Ah 77, no shoes no problem. Windows,sliders wide open, breeze blowing, low dews, watching 2 football games, ribs on the grill with corn on the cob. Cukes, tomatoes, green beans, basil, oregano salad all picked this morning. Pats and Giants ,Raiders Football on rotate, dogs, chillaxin, last throes of summer. We take 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Ah 77, no shoes no problem. Windows,sliders, watching 2 football games, ribs on the grill with corn on the cob. Cukes, tomatoes, green beans, basil, oregano salad all picked this morning. Pats and Giants ,Raiders Football on rotate, dogs, chillaxin, last throes of summer. We take Pics of the food? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pics of the food? Halftime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ah 77, no shoes no problem. Windows,sliders wide open, breeze blowing, low dews, watching 2 football games, ribs on the grill with corn on the cob. Cukes, tomatoes, green beans, basil, oregano salad all picked this morning. Pats and Giants ,Raiders Football on rotate, dogs, chillaxin, last throes of summer. We take Your dog watching what dogs the Bills really are.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 Temp tickled back down. 69/44. We bask in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 Rainy Chicago morning morphed into humid and cloudy afternoon. Coming east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Rainy Chicago morning morphed into humid and cloudy afternoon. Coming east? Just a brief mild-up Tuesday night/Wed. morning. Then back to the regularly scheduled fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 56 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ah 77, no shoes no problem. Windows,sliders wide open, breeze blowing, low dews, watching 2 football games, ribs on the grill with corn on the cob. Cukes, tomatoes, green beans, basil, oregano salad all picked this morning. Pats and Giants ,Raiders Football on rotate, dogs, chillaxin, last throes of summer. We take Damn on my way to your house haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 Picnic tables have been deployed in winter formation at 875mb. Maybe we can ice them up or cover them in pellets/graupel later this week. 43-44F up here on the cheap thermometer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 On 9/27/2019 at 8:20 AM, snowman21 said: Mostly automated the same way point and click is. NWS can obviously tweak specific grid points, but a computer does most of the work. On 9/27/2019 at 8:26 AM, weatherwiz said: I've always been extremely curious about how this works. Perhaps @OceanStWx has gone into great depth about this before, but when it comes to these snow map, if they are all computer generated with human tweaks, how exactly are they derived? Is it a blend of numerous forecast models, an in-house model, one particular model? And what algorithms are used in them...or are they just derived from the model snowfall algorithms (like 10:1 ratio or Kucheria). But then with the human tweaking...across this region that can't be particularly easy, especially if you have little experience/knowledge of the terrain and geographical influences. GTFO with Kuchera Basically at all NWS offices the forecasters will create grids for temps, PoP, QPF, snow ratio. From that you get Wx grids, and from that you can determine where snow you be output in a snow grid. You can also choose how you want to display it temporally. A one hour grid will produce a more realistic snow fall than a 3 or 6 hour grid that has parameters averaged over that time. It is up to the forecaster whether they want to hand draw grids, pick a model of the day, or use some form of a blend. Personally I use a blended approach, and then tweak for things like local effects or forecast position of banding. We have grids every hour with thousands of grid points, so we rarely are editing just one gridpoint. Rather we try and lock down the base grids and everything sort of fall out from there (i.e. if your temp, dewpoint, PoP, QPF, snow ratio are good, then your Wx and snowfall should be good too). We could automate a lot of that, but you would lose local knowledge and QC. Like we don't want to blend GFS 2 m temps in a damming scenario, but the computer doesn't know that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Your dog watching what dogs the Bills really are.... Um Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pics of the food? Sorry I forgot lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Damn on my way to your house haha. Anytime bro. Gorgeous day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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