CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 No hype, but first half of October is looking darn warm. Very Nina look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No hype, but first half of October is looking darn warm. Very Nina look. how'd that torch-look in August play out? dp of 39*. best water the grass 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 Torch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 18, 2019 Author Share Posted September 18, 2019 Don't care if its warm in October, Lets get cold in November for hunting season, Meanwhile, 58/37 outside with a cool NW breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 40 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: how'd that torch-look in August play out? dp of 39*. best water the grass Delayed but not denied. Some grumbling of hammer dropping late October, but long range is voodoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Delayed but not denied. Some grumbling of hammer dropping late October, but long range 10 days is voodoo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: GEFS are your friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 4 hours ago, forkyfork said: the cool downs lose their intensity after humberto recurves away More pretty colors 2 weeks later than the last post he made from NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Delayed but not denied. Some grumbling of hammer dropping late October, but long range is voodoo. may be the last time the -PDO/-AO/-EPO arc has much say at our latitude ...these next 10 years... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 besides this weekend, when else do we torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 if by torch we mean AN weather, then OK, it should be AN from Saturday into October, but still 75-80 is great weather.. with lows in upper 50/low 60's .. COC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 14 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: besides this weekend, when else do we torch? 12/25 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 4 hours ago, forkyfork said: the cool downs lose their intensity after humberto recurves away I've noticed a defined tendency on either side of the anomaly dial for that... The latter mid/extended range pattern biases normalize - that's not unheard of as modeling shenanigans go. But this lost heat, or scaled back cooling, as they have been coming into nearer terms, has been particularly coherent all summer, actually. I distinction I can only wonder if will continue observable as we head into fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: When you look at some of the temp records around here, the 1960s through early-mid 1980s are pretty unrepresentative of the century as a whole. They had some of the lowest variance year to year and were very cold. Farmington's average annual temps by decade show that clearly. Of note, observations moved to their current site in September of 1966. Before then they were in warmer locales near town center. Even though Farmington is a small town, the pavement ratio is quite high in its center. Just throwing things at the wall... I'd guess that readings from the 1/1/1893 start through summer 1966 were boosted 1-2°, so pretend 180s thru 1950s were maybe 1.5° cooler than the numbers below, and the 60s 1° (only 2/3 of decade in-town.) 1890s 43.67 1990s 42.40 1910s 42.88 1920s 43.17 1930s 44.78 1940s 44.14 1950s 43.88 1960s 41.68 Edit: 1960-66 avg temp 42.07; 1967-69 temp 40.76. PWM avg 60-66: 44.48; 67-69: 45.14 I'd say change of location was Farmington factor. 1970s 40.58 1980s 41.01 1990s 42.13 2000s 43.00 2010s 43.72 to date The 30s-50s mild spell shows up nicely. Western Maine had an epidemic of birch dieback (mainly in yellow birch) during the 40s, and some have laid that to the warmer temps weakening the trees and making them susceptible to bronze birch borer, the insect that actually killed them. Trading the 1980s for the 2010s will make major differences in the 30-year norms. In addition to the temps, here are precip and snowfall: Precip 1980s 44.37 2010s 49.33 Snow 1980s 79.80 2010s 99.15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: 12/25 probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Torch! You need new bait. No one is biting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 11 minutes ago, kdxken said: You need new bait. No one is biting. Just stating what it is. Nothing more nothing less. It’s coming and it’s a long one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 13 minutes ago, kdxken said: You need new bait. No one is biting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 Warm and dry for awhile. Zzzzzzzzz. Autumn is on vacation after Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 High of 60 here. Days and days before that happens again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 Montpelier ASOS down to a dew of 30F. Dry air mass and not a cloud in the sky... Radiators mount up tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 On 9/8/2019 at 10:50 AM, Ginx snewx said: Euro op. Euro Ens Not quite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 10 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Montpelier ASOS down to a dew of 30F. Dry air mass and not a cloud in the sky... Radiators mount up tonight. Depends on the winds. Still a pretty good breeze blowing out there, so we're already wasting prime time which is usually from just before sunset to about 9 when you expect the quickest drop off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: High of 60 here. Days and days before that happens again? Eh...something will sneak in after the next 7-10 days...at least up here. There's some chamber wx in the extended, but of course COC (depending on one's definition) is starting to become AN. You've had some chilly highs lately. I had 60.3F and you think I'm an icebox. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 Wind is dead here. 2mph peak over the last hour. Down to 53.6F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 55 at mi casa. What a beautiful evening to walk the pup. No skeeters either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: Wind is dead here. 2mph peak over the last hour. Down to 53.6F Calm in Stowe too. Car said 54F pulling in at home a couple min ago. Looks like MVL lost 5F in 6 minutes as the shadows crept over the ASOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 First frost advisory of the season here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 Down to 54f already. Probably only bottom out around 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 54.5/43 (my dew seems a bit high?) Not expecting any frost up here on the hill. Gardens get to live another week at least. Some rain would be nice at some point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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