WinterWolf Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Hit 44 this morning. House is chilly but sun starting to do its work. Nice feel with the cool temps in the morning this time of year...then the sun feels nice when it starts to warm the chill away. Great time of year for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: On the way to Richmond for the week. What a freaking torch there City absolutely stinks as soon as you approach on 95 it hits you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 Another windshield scraper this morning, with ash leaves drifting down. That species is more than 1/3 of the trees near the house and they're about 75% bare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 30, 2019 Author Share Posted September 30, 2019 Slow warm up so far, 48/35 out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 52 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: City absolutely stinks as soon as you approach on 95 it hits you. huh? why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Euro has the chance of the first synoptic snow of the season across the NNE mtns, especially the mtns of NW Maine. Low levels may be borderline, but E-NE flow banked against the high terrain may help cool it a tad. Elsewhere, a fascinating temp gradient exists between, say, BOS to DC. Euro has +22C at 850 in the Mid Atlantic. That's just amazing to see. It looks like we'll be in the 40s and 50s with rain Thursday and Friday. Interior likely below 50 one or both days. Looks like last night's 18z GFS sniffed it out first. What a beast of a model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 Torch forecasts this week are an Epic fail 70 Tuesday 55 by Wednesday P.m for N of Pike jist an epic epic diatater of a forecast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Looks like last night's 18z GFS sniffed it out first. What a beast of a model. LOL, I think guidance now and then had the threat..at least when I looked at the thermals. It still could be mostly a cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 Also, it wasn't an all out blitz...maybe something like RA-->SN near the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Also, it wasn't an all out blitz...maybe something like RA-->SN near the end. It looks like something where the precip shield changes over to some 1 to 3 mile -SN for the final few hours above 1,500ft up near Rangley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 20 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It looks like something where the precip shield changes over to some 1 to 3 mile -SN for the final few hours above 1,500ft up near Rangley. Yeah I could see that. And then we watch for the tables too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: City absolutely stinks as soon as you approach on 95 it hits you. I don't remember that, but can't be worse than New Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 22 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: I don't remember that, but can't be worse than New Jersey They finally closed the composting factory, hopefully it smells better than all the times I have been there. Google is your friend if you doubt me, as is usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: They finally closed the composting factory, hopefully it smells better than all the times I have been there. Google is your friend if you doubt me, as is usual Where did I doubt it? Lol must be the weed talking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 54F and OVC Nice bust today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 30, 2019 Author Share Posted September 30, 2019 P&C is 60°F for a high here today and we're 52°F right now so there's a chance we may make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 High of 57.0°. Chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: High of 57.0°. Chilly. Nice. Got to 62 here. 59/44 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 1, 2019 Share Posted October 1, 2019 55/30 yesterday, coolest daily max and mean of the month, pulling the final average to 2.7° BN. 2nd coolest of 22 Septembers and average max was coolest while average min was 5th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 1, 2019 Share Posted October 1, 2019 On 9/28/2019 at 4:20 PM, forkyfork said: you weren't sent the password for unlocking the board? damn I'm always left out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 1, 2019 Share Posted October 1, 2019 On 9/29/2019 at 3:56 PM, OceanStWx said: GTFO with Kuchera Basically at all NWS offices the forecasters will create grids for temps, PoP, QPF, snow ratio. From that you get Wx grids, and from that you can determine where snow you be output in a snow grid. You can also choose how you want to display it temporally. A one hour grid will produce a more realistic snow fall than a 3 or 6 hour grid that has parameters averaged over that time. It is up to the forecaster whether they want to hand draw grids, pick a model of the day, or use some form of a blend. Personally I use a blended approach, and then tweak for things like local effects or forecast position of banding. We have grids every hour with thousands of grid points, so we rarely are editing just one gridpoint. Rather we try and lock down the base grids and everything sort of fall out from there (i.e. if your temp, dewpoint, PoP, QPF, snow ratio are good, then your Wx and snowfall should be good too). We could automate a lot of that, but you would lose local knowledge and QC. Like we don't want to blend GFS 2 m temps in a damming scenario, but the computer doesn't know that. Thank you for that insight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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