tamarack Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 Down to 34-35 this morning. Yesterday's 61/36 was 10° BN and pulls the month down nearly to -6. Still waiting for the month's first 70+. Maybe tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 A little BN, but not bad. Beach weather tomorrow then will get a lot of us AN next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 Models doing everything in their power to bully +PNAP though. The signal was warmer over the last two day's of run/blends/means compare to the runs from overnight - I just have seen this all summer, and it is still going on in the models where they struggle away to build a ridges over four days of trend, only to implode them at least excuse in one or two cycles seemingly "inventing" reasons to topple ridges/erode/ablate them, and well, even though they haven't verified in the dailies'/details particularly well, we have been dodging the real beefy heat. It's a hard subject to debate though, because it's textured. We've been above normal It really comes down to saying, 'we could have been much more so relative to failed patterns of mid/exteded ranges' - it's all about that relativity. We're cool relative to the patterns at times, but verifying above normal for the stretch. interesting. Anyway, as we are nearing the equinox and deepening our wade into the transition season, I feel ...well, wonder, if the AO's persistent negative phase state ( and other vestigial signatures for that via observation of higher speed flows from jet suppression ) we've witnessed all summer, might carry over into autumn for some earlier cool snaps. But then it gets blurry with that relativity again. Because, the -AO ( if so ) could merely off-set and brings closer to neutral. It's the expanded Hadley cell that is scienced and documented associated with GW - it's not just me and my protestations, either. This is known and refereed in the ambit of general research. I thought I was the only one noticing this .. but was to find out I was actually late-ish to that party really ( ...but don't feel too badly ... most in society/media never got the invite to begin with ). By subtle measures of DAM depth in the atmosphere, the heights are bloated around the tropical and subtropical "girdle" of the planet. This "presses" N into mid latitudes and what is really almost too subtle to see in summer, becomes a bit more coherently noticeable in winters; and that is steeper mean gradients when the boreal heights fall off and the total geometry of the atmosphere gets sloped unusually so between the mid latitudes and PV latitudes. That's why we've set so many land-speed flight records in the recent decade(s), among many other evidences. But these aren't just interesting observations [ probably/likely ] related to GW. They may be effecting the pattern management/verification of the models, and I also believe it becomes somewhat problematic for assessing storm characterization by deterministic areas of the weather sciences - because a goodly bit of that is based on storm natures that were different 50 years ago/climate in general. It's digressing - I just was going to correct a statement and ended up adding to this post too much. Sorry. But, I'll tale off with, any seasonal outlook that doesn't begin or at least even hint that this above factors in, may be less worthy ( imho ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 1 hour ago, alex said: Official low here of 31.6 Wow, congrats! 9/10 is not at all early for your first subfreezing low there, correct? I recall you getting frost/freeze in June, July, and August in past years. You radiate really well. 49.1° F low here. It clouded up overnight, so not much drop. I can't radiate, but I've had lots of 40s at night and the leaves are definitely starting to turn. Low diurnal temperatures and CAD dominate here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 4 hours ago, dendrite said: Estcourt Station 29° 4 hours ago, dendrite said: 32° at Errol as well. 4 hours ago, alex said: A better picture now that the sun is out Torch!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 Upper 80s tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Upper 80s tomorrow? Looks toasty. Maybe even low 80s up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 10, 2019 Author Share Posted September 10, 2019 Low 80's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 NNE problem clouds as usual. We beach here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 the euro began to correct back toward a torch later next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 You know the season has changed (astronomically speaking) when your first-period forecast is for 'tonight' and it's only 3:00pm.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 ye-heh ... now that summer's back is solidly broken ..here comes the the Euro. Buuut, like I said earlier - can't be trusted. one school is ... it sets in the face of all the summer's back is broken spin doctoring that deludes us closer to the snow coke snort season, so we DEFinitely can't believe a warm pattern now. but... more pragmatically, it's done this all year... and I'll be surprised if that look is there this time tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 It will be warm next week IMO. Most ensembles show this. That trough out west should puke up a nice heat ridge moving east. Question is, will it be dirty with HP overhead from remnant lower heights to the northeast or will a piece of it break off? Probably both to some extent. Just don't know how much on either side. #stillinstalled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 5 hours ago, wxmanmitch said: Wow, congrats! 9/10 is not at all early for your first subfreezing low there, correct? I recall you getting frost/freeze in June, July, and August in past years. You radiate really well. 49.1° F low here. It clouded up overnight, so not much drop. I can't radiate, but I've had lots of 40s at night and the leaves are definitely starting to turn. Low diurnal temperatures and CAD dominate here. His frosts would probably run about a week earlier than my location. Here are the dates (non-chronological) of my first frosts over the past 21 years: Sept. 1, 2, 5, 6, 9(2), 10, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19(2), 20, 21(2), 24, 25, 26, 30, Oct. 6 (in 2011. Sept had mornings of 33 and 34.) Mean and median both Sept 17, pending each additional year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 7 hours ago, dryslot said: 43.7°F, Another cold morning here. 7 hours ago, tamarack said: Down to 34-35 this morning. Yesterday's 61/36 was 10° BN and pulls the month down nearly to -6. Still waiting for the month's first 70+. Maybe tomorrow. 49f. Our hill may suck for growing grass, but at least we don't have to worry about any freezes for at least another 4-6 wks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 that's a sizzler later next week on the ec ens 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 9 hours ago, alex said: A better picture now that the sun is out Tim Kelley wants to use the.pic on NECN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 5 hours ago, dendrite said: Looks toasty. Maybe even low 80s up here. Might break 75F tomorrow up here. Too early to pay for heat so good to see some 65-75F afternoons in the forecast this next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 11 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: that's a sizzler later next week on the ec ens Op was warmer...probably still a few messy members in there in that d8-10 range. I think I'd lean on the warmer side though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: Might break 75F tomorrow up here. Too early to pay for heat so good to see some 65-75F afternoons in the forecast this next week. Yeah I was tempted to flick the heat on the other day, but just toughed it out and then uninstalled instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 10 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Might break 75F tomorrow up here. Too early to pay for heat so good to see some 65-75F afternoons in the forecast this next week. Too bad no sun or it’s probably 5-10 warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Too bad no sun or it’s probably 5-10 warmer. Story of our lives up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: 49f. Our hill may suck for growing grass, but at least we don't have to worry about any freezes for at least another 4-6 wks. Freezes don’t matter on your hill anyway since you can’t grow anything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Tim Kelley wants to use the.pic on NECN No issues here. He can give a shut out to Bretton Woods Rentals lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 8 hours ago, wxmanmitch said: Wow, congrats! 9/10 is not at all early for your first subfreezing low there, correct? I recall you getting frost/freeze in June, July, and August in past years. You radiate really well. 49.1° F low here. It clouded up overnight, so not much drop. I can't radiate, but I've had lots of 40s at night and the leaves are definitely starting to turn. Low diurnal temperatures and CAD dominate here. Yes We radiate like a mofo here, so this is not at all unusual. My kid goes to school in Whitefield and they're balmy compared to us lol, so pretty much on time. Earliest I've seen it was August 17 2 or 3 years ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, alex said: No issues here. He can give a shut out to Bretton Woods Rentals lol Will do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 Freezes don’t matter on your hill anyway since you can’t grow anything. True. Unless you're a glutton for punishment and are planning on reseeding.....again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 11 minutes ago, alex said: Yes We radiate like a mofo here, so this is not at all unusual. My kid goes to school in Whitefield and they're balmy compared to us lol, so pretty much on time. Earliest I've seen it was August 17 2 or 3 years ago. Yeah you definitely have an extreme rad site. You make MVL here next to me seem like a SNE site, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 21 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah you definitely have an extreme rad site. You make MVL here next to me seem like a SNE site, lol. Lol that's what North Conway feels like now. When I first started coming up I had a house in Bartlett and at that time it felt like Scandinavia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, alex said: Lol that's what North Conway feels like now. When I first started coming up I had a house in Bartlett and at that time it felt like Scandinavia Alex what was your approximate snow total for last year ...130-140ish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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