Rtd208 Posted October 17, 2019 Author Share Posted October 17, 2019 Rain looks about done here. Picked up 1.74" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Winds howling pretty good in North Wales right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Tree's are fully leafed i feel a great disturbance in the grid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Light's flickering soon the generators buzz like locusts of summer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 17, 2019 Author Share Posted October 17, 2019 Rainfall total of 1.75" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Finished at 1.5" of rain. Nice little storm, winds are roaring this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Record daily rain for Chester County of 1.66" besting the old mark set way back in 1914 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delaware Valley Weather Posted October 18, 2019 Share Posted October 18, 2019 42 already. Feeling good about a frost tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 Have frost here and just hit the low of 35.1F for this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delaware Valley Weather Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 31 was the low here in Exton. 32 currently with a heavy frost on most surfaces. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 19, 2019 Author Share Posted October 19, 2019 The overnight low got down to 37 here. Current temp 46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 1st 30's of the year here in NW Chesco and 1st 30's since April 29th. Many lower spots below 600 ft saw some frost and freezing lows this AM. Still no frost or freeze in East Nantmeal. Today's highs across the high spots of Western Chester County ranged from 57.1 in Elverson to 60.8 at KMQS Coatesville. Here in East Nantmeal we only made it to 58.7 - a couple degrees below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 20, 2019 Author Share Posted October 20, 2019 Temp actually dropping steadily here. Current temp 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 I ended up with a low of 36 here early yesterday morning and had noticed the Frost Advisory had been expanded right to the city line some time later Friday night or early Saturday morning. It did rebound to a high of 61 though. This morning the low was a bit warmer at 46 and it's currently 53 and overcast with some sprinkles. The dews had been in the upper 30s and low 40s yesterday so it's slowly moistening up and moving to the mid-upper 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 Today's rainy reality for all here and the forecast one and two days ago, what if it had been snow. Especially how the NAM "backed down" on amounts last night. Gone be a long winter if this is any prelude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 20, 2019 Author Share Posted October 20, 2019 Steady light to moderate rain falling here. Picked up 0.23" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 4 hours ago, RedSky said: Today's rainy reality for all here and the forecast one and two days ago, what if it had been snow. Especially how the NAM "backed down" on amounts last night. Gone be a long winter if this is any prelude. Go back on TT and watch models since midweek runs. Almost all had nary a drop of moisture affecting SE PA. Specifically, the GFS kept ticking NW almost every run since at least 0z last Thurs. I think that sort of trend would have many here jumping for joy in mid January if that track and trends occurred. As far as the NAM seems status quo to me....same stuff different storm. Ramps up totals 36 hours out...then backs down as you said just prior matching most other guidance. It may be a long winter but probably not for the reason you mentioned unless you ride the NAM religiously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted October 20, 2019 Share Posted October 20, 2019 Today's high of only 51.9 here in the Western Philly burbs is the 2nd coldest max temp in the philly burbs for this date since 1894...only eclipsed by the 49.0 max daily temp on this date in 1996! We also recorded 0.69" of rain so far today #PAwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 21, 2019 Author Share Posted October 21, 2019 Picked up 0.70" of rain for the day yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted October 22, 2019 Share Posted October 22, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 22, 2019 Share Posted October 22, 2019 Appears on all ensemble means the general teleconnection theme over the next 10+ days is -PNA with EPO ridge displaced West towards Gulf of Alaska. -NAO appears but remains transient and/or weakens relatively quickly. WAR continues to appear but rather than feeding and reinforcing an NAO ridge it splits much like last winter and feeds a flattish SE Ridge. Split flow remains over the Eastern Pacific with one stream displaced into AK and Western Canada and the other undercutting said ridging and riding thru SW US and old Mexico. Nothing too exciting and certainly not an indication of the coming winter pattern. Merely posting what the ens means are trying to show in general. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 23, 2019 Author Share Posted October 23, 2019 Picked up 0.53" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted October 23, 2019 Share Posted October 23, 2019 Was surprised that I picked up a higher amount of rain from the front yesterday (0.89" w/high of 63 & low of 56) than from the Nestor remnants on Sunday (0.59" w/high 55 & low of 46). Had some fog this morning interestingly enough and bottomed out at 52 earlier this morning. Currently 55 and mostly sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted October 24, 2019 Share Posted October 24, 2019 Some patchy frost in the low spots of the County below 600 ft ASL...AM low here so far is the current 40.0. Here above the frost zone we have still not frost or freeze. Our growing season now stands at 205 days here in Chester County. This is now the 12th longest season on record. Looks like we will have a shot at a freeze by months end. It appears the all time record of 233 days set back in 2005 is safe...assuming we record a freeze prior to November 22nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 25, 2019 Author Share Posted October 25, 2019 I will tell you what, the days might be warm with temps ranging from the low to upper 60's but the nights have been cooling off nicely to the low to mid 40's here. Current temp 44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 26, 2019 Share Posted October 26, 2019 Upgraded GFS just loves spitting out fantasy snowfall. This is the 3rd or 4th fantasy storm it has shown over the past few weeks and it isnt even Halloween yet. Going to make for an interesting inaugural season this winter lol: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 26, 2019 Share Posted October 26, 2019 When the GFS OP shows a workable setup (that would still need to work out perfectly), but the GEFS show a completely opposite setup, it should be fairly easy to decide which would be more likely especially given recent pattern trends and climatology: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted October 26, 2019 Share Posted October 26, 2019 29 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: When the GFS OP shows a workable setup (that would still need to work out perfectly), but the GEFS show a completely opposite setup, it should be fairly easy to decide which would be more likely especially given recent pattern trends and climatology: But then if you look at the years that the climatology data covers (1981 - 2010), it's literally missing the last almost 10 years, where some significant temperature extremes have occurred - notably warm temps even in the last 5 years. I blame you for this but I generated some temp anomaly maps for data from 2010 - 2018 (the latest they have so far) - (top is "annual" and bottom is "cold season Nov - Apr") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted October 26, 2019 Share Posted October 26, 2019 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Upgraded GFS just loves spitting out fantasy snowfall. This is the 3rd or 4th fantasy storm it has shown over the past few weeks and it isnt even Halloween yet. Going to make for an interesting inaugural season this winter 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Upgraded GFS just loves spitting out fantasy snowfall. This is the 3rd or 4th fantasy storm it has shown over the past few weeks and it isnt even Halloween yet. Going to make for an interesting inaugural season this winter lol: Looks a lot like this past March, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted October 26, 2019 Share Posted October 26, 2019 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: When the GFS OP shows a workable setup (that would still need to work out perfectly), but the GEFS show a completely opposite setup, it should be fairly easy to decide which would be more likely especially given recent pattern trends and climatology: I think the gefs are still based off of the old GFS model, if so we'll probably see more of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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