RedSky Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Growing evidence of a mild December after an initial chilly start with a strong +AO. Nothing like wasting cold in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 2 hours ago, RedSky said: Growing evidence of a mild December after an initial chilly start with a strong +AO. Nothing like wasting cold in November. Not quite seeing what you are.... I like a normal December temp wise....after a cold 1st 10 days of the month with an overall above average snow month....before a snowy January. Best month to "waste" cold is November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 1.41" of precipitation over last 3 days. Wet snow this AM did not accumulate (just a light coating) as the heaviest bands were west of East Nantmeal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 1 hour ago, greenskeeper said: always a glass half empty guy....year after year...at least you are consistent Glass half empty and someone took a drink from it and left their partial sunk at the bottom Tried positive last year and it went two bagger ugly. Isotherm, Hurricane and Weather World see a mild December let's see how it shakes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Yes it's the 384 GFS subject to change in two hours but this would be the worst look for winter ever, tennis anyone lol * Important caveat though guidance was horribly, terribly wrong for November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 15 hours ago, RedSky said: Growing evidence of a mild December after an initial chilly start with a strong +AO. Nothing like wasting cold in November. At least 3 trackable events, possibly 4 thru the first week or so of December and some people are already way down the line writing December off and looking to January lol? Some things never change I guess. Peak climo isnt here yet so anything before say the 3rd week of Dec is a bonus. With that said I'm not 'expecting' snow with any of these threats....just saying there are possibilities worth tracking. Definitely not a shutout look moving forward. Maybe a relax/reload of the current pattern as has been well-advertised, but the background state of this coming winter is already showing itself. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Three or four trackable events when event one is a week away and uncertain, come on man we need pics of that hot tub time machine lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 28 minutes ago, RedSky said: Three or four trackable events when event one is a week away and uncertain, come on man we need pics of that hot tub time machine lol So when do we track? Under 36 hours? Cut us a break Red. Anyway, getting skeptical of this ++ao that is forecast to have staying power. All ens break it down quickly and most now have a strong cpf established first 10 days of December. I'm thinking the ao spike is the PV reflection as it is splitting at the trop level.and migrating across the N Pole to Hudson bay and farther south. Once it splits and crosses that region should see the ao go negative again. Will likely fluctuate thru winter but we are seeing good signs in the right HL spots over and over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Weeklies just tossed out the idea of a warm december fwiw and instead try to reestablish HL blocking and CPF. This December is going to be different. @RedSky let me know when you're ready to enter the time machine. $10k no refunds and no coming back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Weeklies just tossed out the idea of a warm december fwiw and instead try to reestablish HL blocking and CPF. This December is going to be different. @RedSky let me know when you're ready to enter the time machine. $10k no refunds and no coming back 50 years in the future, no wait AI cleansed the planet of humans make it 10,000 B.C. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Nice temp inversion around Western Chester County this morning with Low spots well below freezing including Marsh Creek down below 400 feet at 28.0 and PTW at 30.9 - while here in East Nantmeal at 685 ft we bask at 38.4. Would be interesting to find out how many less freezing days we have here up the mountain incline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 19 minutes ago, ChescoPaWxman said: Nice temp inversion around Western Chester County this morning with Low spots well below freezing including Marsh Creek down below 400 feet at 28.0 and PTW at 30.9 - while here in East Nantmeal at 685 ft we bask at 38.4. Would be interesting to find out how many less freezing days we have here up the mountain incline You're basking more than me. I'm currently at 35 near the 400ft asl range. Some of the lower elevation sensors around Springfield & Cheltenham townships are at or barely above freezing and the ones in those same areas near the tops of all these hills are running warmer - in the 38/39 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 28, 2019 Author Share Posted November 28, 2019 Happy Thanksgiving to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 On 10/11/2019 at 9:54 AM, JTA66 said: +NAO SE ridge Lack of Miller A's Any frozen will have to come from a "thread the needle" system Seems as safe a winter outlook as any. Halfway through met winter, so far so good (unfortunately). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 If anything, step outside. Very gusty winds, temps dropping and the view of a low sun angle. Feels and looks like winter w/o snow...yeah, that sucks but overall not horrible if you like winter. Better than a blow torch w/birds chirping.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Feels like March 15 outside....mild for mid Jan and very windy. Hoping for an early sustained spring this year. My plants and bulbs need a normal season where their fresh growth isnt crushed by concrete snow in late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: If anything, step outside. Very gusty winds, temps dropping and the view of a low sun angle. Feels and looks like winter w/o snow...yeah, that sucks but overall not horrible if you like winter. Better than a blow torch w/birds chirping.... Ha just saw this. I thought spring you say winter. Where's my snow and frigid temps!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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