RedSky Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 Weather World Paul Knight winter forecast is mild wet December, cold snowy January, and milder wet icy February. Sounds like 2011 outside of icy February and he likes it milder at holiday time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 3 hours ago, RedSky said: Just a few days off with the snow and near the same level of record cold air mass only difference is the core cold struck the mid west and south harder this time and has a more NE trajectory as it exits. Any mathematicians in the house what are the odds of this in back to back Novembers love to know. Probably lower than the odds of back to back winters of azz...pepperidge farm remembers. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Some record low Western Chester County PA records are threatened this evening and tomorrow. Record low high elevation record is 24.0 (1995) all-time record is 15.0 (1912). for today - might beat the 1995 record by midnight - currently at 25.7. Tomorrow's record elevation low record is 20.0 (1996) and all-time low is 17 (1920). Low max record 37 (1995) & 35 (1911) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 5 hours ago, KamuSnow said: Probably lower than the odds of back to back winters of azz...pepperidge farm remembers. I member the mint Milano's 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 This just in- it's cold as the actual fook outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 13, 2019 Author Share Posted November 13, 2019 Current temp is 24 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 13, 2019 Author Share Posted November 13, 2019 Current temp down to 22 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 13, 2019 Author Share Posted November 13, 2019 Temp now down to 21 here. Impressive for November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Currently at 22 with single digit dps (currently @ 7 here), and still a bit more than an hour before sunrise. That's some arctic air! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geeter1 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Bottomed out at 18F here this morning. Brisk and beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Coldest temp this season here in Western Chester County also a new record Low for the 3rd time in the last 5 days here in the Philly burbs of Western Chester County. The 23.1 before midnight last night broke the old mark of 24 in 1995 and this morning's 19.1 breaks the record of 20 from 1996. Also the earliest low below 20 since 11/6/91. Impressive early season cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 8 hours ago, RedSky said: I member the mint Milano's I'm a member as well. Made it to 22F here earlier, currently 23F. Brrrr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 19F low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 29F in Pensacola Florida just two weeks after Halloween Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Couple record and tied record lows this morning (from AFD Climate section) - Quote && .CLIMATE... Low temperature records were set for yesterday (11/12) and also for today (11/13). Six RER`s were sent earlier this morning for cold lows today. It`s possible that more may be set tonight since it will remain bitterly cold through Thursday. Here are the record low temperatures for today and Thursday: Climate SiteNov 13 ------------ ------ Allentown18 in 1996 (tied this morning) Atlantic City22 in 2001, 1996, and 1995 (new record = 21) Atl. City Marina 24 in 1920 Georgetown21 in 1996 Mount Pocono12 in 1911 (tied this morning) Philadelphia24 in 1996 (new record this morning = 23) Reading21 in 1976 (new record this morning = 19) Trenton 23 in 1920, 1911 (new record this morning = 21) Wilmington18 in 1911 Climate SiteNov 14 ------------ ------ Allentown17 in 1986 Atlantic City15 in 1986 Atl. City Marina 23 in 1874 Georgetown22 in 1986, 1950 Mount Pocono 5 in 1905 Philadelphia19 in 1986 Reading16 in 1986 Trenton 20 in 1905 Wilmington 20 in 1986, 1911 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 A very impressive November cold outbreak! Today's high of just 32.0 exactly makes this the 2nd earliest sub freezing day in the Chester County PA 126 years of local records dating back to 1894. The previous earliest sub 32 day was the 30 degree high back on November 11. 1987. Additionally this morning's low of 19.1 broke the old elevation record (1983-Present) of 20.0 set in 1996. This also marked our 3rd record low in the last 5 days. Looking ahead another cold shot this weekend and no real warmups to above normal that may last through the end of November. We have a good chance to record our 1st below normal month since last November 2018. That month we ended up averaging out at 3.1 degrees below normal - through today we are at 3.8 degrees below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 EPS, GEFS, and GEPS all unanimously advertise a similar day 10 500mb pattern with BN temp regime and the late November "warmup" delayed yet again. Low heights near Aleutians, higher heights in the NAO region and NW coast/W Canada, BN heights Northeast US. Slowly gaining confidence that this is going to be a recurring theme this season. Still a few weeks early though confidence is growing that as we enter December we are going to be tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 ^ No matter what happens it will still be 70F for the Holidays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 After a high that barely cracked freezing yesterday (33), I bottomed out at 23 this morning, a degree "warmer" than yesterday morning's low of 22. Currently 29 and overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Clouds kept the temperature up this morning. Like the only cold fail this fall. 21F low. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Rather active pattern moving forward the next 10 days with several impulses riding the NS and some active disturbances in the stj. Climo says still a little early to get overly optimistic but all the players are entering the field that we would want to see at this time moving towards late November. A few coastal systems and a few reinforcing shots of cold air (think clippers) next week to 10+ days. If this was 3 weeks later and this potential background state can hold, some happy people gonna be posting in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Paul Knight indicated a cold first week of December then mild the rest of the month, which is my worst fear. There are indicators of colder than normal weather late this month entering December. If we end up "using" all the cold air and then it retreats to the other side of the globe for a full month of actual winter this dude is going to be peeved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Paul Knight indicated a cold first week of December then mild the rest of the month, which is my worst fear. There are indicators of colder than normal weather late this month entering December. If we end up "using" all the cold air and then it retreats to the other side of the globe for a full month of actual winter this dude is going to be peeved. If you look at the PV both at the trop and strat levels signs indicate the majority of the cold is actually going to be deep into Siberia and on the opposite side of the N Hemi. With that said, if we somehow continue to have the BN cold show it's hand with the PV where it is forecast to propogate, I dont think we will be worrying about it too much as there are signs now (really far out there but something getting sniffed out?) that CPF may establish in December allowing for the Siberian cold to follow behind. I'm sure it wont be wall-to-wall BN temps all winter....we will undoubtedly see the reloads and relaxing at times. But the signals are looking promising for more cold and less 'mild' this winter. We can only hope the looks continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 2 hours ago, RedSky said: Paul Knight indicated a cold first week of December then mild the rest of the month, which is my worst fear. There are indicators of colder than normal weather late this month entering December. If we end up "using" all the cold air and then it retreats to the other side of the globe for a full month of actual winter this dude is going to be peeved. I've been around a long time and that guy is one of if not the best that I'm aware of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 15, 2019 Share Posted November 15, 2019 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: I've been around a long time and that guy is one of if not the best that I'm aware of. Yes and around a long time before he retired a couple years ago. But he returns for guest appearances on Weather World I have watched them so long JB was a student met in the 80's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 15, 2019 Share Posted November 15, 2019 Cicily tonight at 11pm: (Still looks good at 50:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 15, 2019 Share Posted November 15, 2019 Man if we could get this look to stay all winter or something remotely close it would just be a matter of time. Anyone else see the 95-96 similarities in this flow? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 15, 2019 Share Posted November 15, 2019 Major anomalous snowstorm in France, probably didn't want to see that either it happened last year on Nov 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 15, 2019 Share Posted November 15, 2019 18z gfs has a nice storm next Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 15, 2019 Share Posted November 15, 2019 Cold continues to rule through the 10 day. Mild second half of November a big fail, might be a top 10 cold November when it's wrapped up just stunning really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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