ChescoWx Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 7 hours ago, RedSky said: GFS has morphed into just that. Hello winter 2019 you were the worst. Near average snow last season - if you want the worst let's go to the wayback season of 1972-73 when nada - not 1" of snow fell...that was the worst if you are a snow lover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 3 hours ago, ChescoPaWxman said: Near average snow last season - if you want the worst let's go to the wayback season of 1972-73 when nada - not 1" of snow fell...that was the worst if you are a snow lover I think worst in my lifetime was the 97-98 super nino. Only 2.5 inches. Now that is a ratter. I think get around average snowfall this year. I'm thinking active storm pattern but we break lucky once or twice. Throw in a couple front end events and most of us will hit average pretty easily with these big juiced up systems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 Yeah, I didn't like how it looked yesterday despite it showing the snow. Hate to say it but this new solution on the GFS looks much more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 I don't think last year was normal snowfall in GloCo. In fact, I never even shoveled if I recall correctly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 5 hours ago, ChescoPaWxman said: Near average snow last season - if you want the worst let's go to the wayback season of 1972-73 when nada - not 1" of snow fell...that was the worst if you are a snow lover Just saying 8-9" imby in an extra long winter for the region that was drawn out Nov-Mar was clearly my worst. Oh and multiple major arctic outbreaks thrown in too. Locally it was an over flowing septic tank of a winter. It was the most frozen mud one will ever see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 GFS says game on lol I think the coastal hugger or even possibly inland is the favored solution atm. I don't see it being as weak as depicted on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 Dr. No strikes again. Cuts up SE PA so we get nada. I'm leaning that way as well. Think the GFS is OTL. Still with how progressive the flow is and the pieces in play not even sampled yet don't think anything is set in stone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 8, 2019 Author Share Posted November 8, 2019 Current temp is 32 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 This AM was just our 2nd below freezing reading of the winter season at 31.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 22 hours ago, hurricane1091 said: I don't think last year was normal snowfall in GloCo. In fact, I never even shoveled if I recall correctly. We didn't have any big storms. The largest I measured was 3.9 inches, but the season total here in Washington Township was 19.5 inches. So, fairly average really. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Ended up with 0.15" rain yesterday with a high of 59 & low of 38. And this morning I bottomed out at 32 (31.8) and haven't moved much since as it's currently 38 and partly cloudy with a bunch of puffy cumulus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 9, 2019 Author Share Posted November 9, 2019 Current temp down to 33 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 18z GEFS has BN 2m temps thru the entire 384 hr run for the area. At 500mb it also has a respectable look with the WAR/N Atl ridge repeatedly feeding the -AO and NAO region. Aleutian low persists with subsequent ridging along the West coast. All we can ask for at this time as things progress thru late fall. The progression and tendencies of the main teleconnections which affect our apparent weather during the winter month appear favorable for now anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 9, 2019 Author Share Posted November 9, 2019 Current temp is 27 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 Current temp is 18F in Warminster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 9, 2019 Author Share Posted November 9, 2019 Current temp is 22 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delaware Valley Weather Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 16 was the low here in Exton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 Made it to 21 here, currently 25F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 Our low this morning of 20.6 broke the old Western Chester County record of 22.0 set back in 1993. The all-time County record was just missed which is the 19.0 from 1976. We also set a new record low max yesterday of just 39.8 besting the old mark of 41.9 from 2007. Of note today is the last day in Chester County that does not have recorded snowfall until April 2nd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 I think many here would take this and run with it for Tuesday. An inch or 2 followed by frigid cold to keep it around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 Bottomed out at 22 (21.7) here this morning. Currently 35, partly sunny (with quite a bit of cirrus) and dps in the teens, so it's pretty chilly for this time of year... although with little or no wind, it's not too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 8 hours ago, Newman said: I think many here would take this and run with it for Tuesday. An inch or 2 followed by frigid cold to keep it around. 18z NAM continues the theme...maybe a hair more precip hanging back along the wave as the CAA funnels thru. Dont like these setups irt hoping for accumulations ie fropa with a weak wave along it waiting for the cold air to change rain over. Looks like a continuation from last winter on the NAM with a C-2" type....leaning heavily towards the lesser amounts right now. First flakes/white rain looking likely for many in PA/Northern DE anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 I saw that a few RERs were issued this morning - ILG (tied record low of 24), MPO (record low of 11, previous 13), & TTN (smashed record low with a 19, previous 24). It did manage to make it up to 40 here today and is currently 35 & partly cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Is there a reason low temperatures frequently bust low this fall it's unusual, after crushing it last night getting down to 20F it's already at 32F with a previous forecast of 30F overnight. Btw Trenton broke a record low last night by 5F! That is almost unheard of in this age of warm. Next week an even colder airmass is on the way. This is the kind of too early anomalous cold i was fretting about. On track i see for the coldest first half of November since 1976, following last years record PV cold mid month. I hate to say it but Isotherm is going to nail the winter forecast lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 10, 2019 Author Share Posted November 10, 2019 Current temp is 33 after an overnight low of 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delaware Valley Weather Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Just finished mowing. Hopefully that’s it until spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Liking where the ensembles are taking us towards the end of the month. These are not bad looks at all AND we seem to be seeing some repetition and trends irt the Aleutian Low, the constant beating down/pushback and any SE Ridge, split pattern off the West Coast with no true PAC firehose theme, and of course the AO continues to be in the negative. The 18 GFS op is interesting towards the end also with a true -NAO....but that's an op in fantasyland, but these teleconnections and tendencies could be a heck of alot worse: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Just to add, the SPV continues to take a beating with stresses on both the Atl and Pac sides. With that said, the TPV showing no signs of consolidating long range and continues to show displacement and fragmented look with 1 center in Siberia, one over N Hudson Bay, and a lobe extending over N Europe. Not expecting wall to wall winter weather and threats but all of these trends are certainly beginning to put me at ease irt any dud winter coming. Guess we see if these looks hold and continue repeating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Didn't like the setup and not surprised how it is ending up. I'm not exactly ready for snow yet either honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 1 minute ago, hurricane1091 said: Didn't like the setup and not surprised how it is ending up. I'm not exactly ready for snow yet either honestly. Glenn, have you released your winter outlook yet? If not, when should we look for it? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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