gravitylover Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 16 hours ago, NJwx85 said: The GFS develops the next wave coming off Africa. Takes a very similar track to Dorian. Ends up getting captured and rocketed up the coast lol 50 miles west and that's a disaster for LI. 1938 redux? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 Fantasy at this point, but you never know...at some point 1938 or something like it will happen again.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 Nothing will ever top Sandy, 1 in 250 year storm 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 10 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Nothing will ever top Sandy, 1 in 250 year storm Don’t say that 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 12z NAM forecast soundings for later have another day this week with tornado potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 27 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Nothing will ever top Sandy, 1 in 250 year storm You never know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: Nothing will ever top Sandy, 1 in 250 year storm More like 1 in 750. In fact we're far more likely to see a LI express than a Sandy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: More like 1 in 750. In fact we're far more likely to see a LI express than a Sandy. True, but 38 was far far far worse for areas east of the Nassau Suffolk border. Cat 3 winds and a tremendous surge that can only be estimated between 15-20’. Then there’s 1635 which is the king of north east hurricanes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 20 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: True, but 38 was far far far worse for areas east of the Nassau Suffolk border. Cat 3 winds and a tremendous surge that can only be estimated between 15-20’. Then there’s 1635 which is the king of north east hurricanes Yeah based on sediment samples 1635 could've been a low end cat 4 apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 22 minutes ago, Hoth said: Yeah based on sediment samples 1635 could've been a low end cat 4 apparently. any track maps of that one? Would be curious to see where it originated from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: any track maps of that one? Would be curious to see where it originated from Details are pretty sketchy given the time period, but it brushed OBX before landfalling somewhere around RI with a nearly 20 foot surge. It is believed to have been a Cape Verde system, from what I understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 Severe thunderstorm watch for the entire area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 Don't think we need a separate thread for local impacts from Dorian but a lot of the latest guidance brings some direct impacts into the area, especially for Eastern sections. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 4, 2019 Author Share Posted September 4, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 Dews in the mid 70’s are back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, Cfa said: Dews in the mid 70’s are back. 73 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 12z HMON pummels Long Island and the Jersey shore on Friday into Saturday with heavy rain and 40-50mph winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 26 minutes ago, psv88 said: 73 here 80/74 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 48 minutes ago, Cfa said: Dews in the mid 70’s are back. 84/73 HI 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 53 minutes ago, Cfa said: Dews in the mid 70’s are back. add another to JFK's 75+. currently 81/75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 Euro has a massive bomb way offshore. Imagine if it was near our area ? The storm just missed the phase on the Euro. Really close to a hurricane up here. Thanks to the positive NAO, that will not be happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: 12z HMON pummels Long Island and the Jersey shore on Friday into Saturday with heavy rain and 40-50mph winds. I wouldn’t Call that “pummeling”. we get that in run of the mill nor’easters out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: I wouldn’t Call that “pummeling”. we get that in run of the mill nor’easters out here Verbatim it would be a good shellacking. Especially since a lot of the guidance deepens the storm again once past OBX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 4, 2019 Author Share Posted September 4, 2019 Current temp 89/DP 72/RH 57% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 24 minutes ago, psv88 said: I wouldn’t Call that “pummeling”. we get that in run of the mill nor’easters out here 937 low offshore on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 Nice thunderstorm here by prospect park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 Thunder and lightning here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 Mostly just slid to my north...No rain at station, 0.15" a few miles ne of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted September 4, 2019 Share Posted September 4, 2019 ANZ338-042030- /O.CON.KOKX.MA.W.0122.000000T0000Z-190904T2030Z/ 410 PM EDT Wed Sep 4 2019 ...A SPECIAL MARINE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EDT... For the following areas... New York Harbor... At 409 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing waterspouts was located over Upper New York Harbor, moving east at 25 knots. HAZARD...Waterspouts and wind gusts in excess of 50 knots. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Waterspouts can easily overturn boats and create locally hazardous seas. Boats could suffer significant structural damage in high winds. Small craft could capsize in suddenly higher waves. The severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly open waters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now