Brian5671 Posted September 11, 2019 Share Posted September 11, 2019 Hot day here but temps will fall to the high 50's here by tomorrow at this time...WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 11, 2019 Share Posted September 11, 2019 Fantastic post season beach day in CI today. A SW light wind saved it from being called hot, because the more slanted sun never quit. Getting back to the Hurricane Window some mets keep mentioning, it was this run of the 0Z GFS from Sept. 09 that has been the scariest so far, at 336hrs: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2019090900&fh=336 Current run is a paltry version of this: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2019091112&fh=276 Let's have some fun with this before it gets serious around here. Post the scariest runs you've found! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted September 11, 2019 Share Posted September 11, 2019 91 at LGA, Newark 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 11, 2019 Share Posted September 11, 2019 23 minutes ago, dWave said: 91 at LGA, Newark 90 central park lagging behind, I dont think JFK even got out of the low-mid 80s, but it was really humid and uncomfortable here, I had the a/c on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 11, 2019 Share Posted September 11, 2019 hit 91 today IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 11, 2019 Share Posted September 11, 2019 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: central park lagging behind, I dont think JFK even got out of the low-mid 80s, but it was really humid and uncomfortable here, I had the a/c on JFK is on track for the 6th earliest last 90 degree day. #1...6-9-04 #2...7-8-86 #3...7-15-92 #4...7-16-94 #5...7-20-13 #6...7-21-19....so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 11, 2019 Share Posted September 11, 2019 9 minutes ago, bluewave said: JFK is on track for the 6th earliest last 90 degree day. #1...6-9-04 #2...7-8-86 #3...7-15-92 #4...7-16-94 #5...7-20-13 #6...7-21-19....so far thanks, Chris, was 1983 their latest 90 and 100 degree days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 I saw 88 in Middletown CT but otherwise most of CT that I was in was more like 84/85. It felt warmer though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Hit 88° here today...1983 on this date was 99°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Parts of the region saw temperatures reach 90° or above. Through today, 90° or above days are as follows for select locations: Allentown: 21 Atlanta: 74 Baltimore: 52 Boston: 14 Charleston, SC: 71 Harrisburg: 30 Hartford: 26 Islip: 8 New York City-JFK: 6 New York City-LGA: 24 New York City-NYC: 14 Newark: 25 Norfolk: 47 Philadelphia: 33 Providence:12 Raleigh: 65 Richmond: 60 Savannah: 96 Sterling: 47 Washington, DC: 54 Overall, readings will then remain above to much above normal afterward for an extended period of time with some short intervals of cooler readings, one of which will likely be Friday and Saturday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around September 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.52°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.10°C. Neutral-warm ENSO conditions are in place in Region 3.4 with neutral-cool conditions in place in Region 1+2. There remains uncertainty about the ENSO evolution later this fall. The outcome could have significant winter season implications. The CFSv2 has recently shifted toward a warm-neutral/borderline weak El Niño signal for the winter. The SOI was -11.70 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +0.506. Since 1950, there have been five prior cases when the AO averaged -0.500 or below in both July and August: 1950, 1958, 1960, 1968, and 2015. The average temperature for September was 69.1° (69.8° after adjusting for ongoing warming) and 58.9° (59.6° adjusted) for September through November in New York City. The 1981-2010 baseline normal figures are 68.0° and 57.5° respectively. The majority of cases saw a warmer than normal September and all cases featured a warmer than normal fall. Therefore, a warmer than normal September and fall appear likely. The potential for autumn 2019 to rank among the 30 warmest cases on record remains on the table. The latest EPS weeklies are hinting that an extended period of above to much above normal readings could prevail after mid-September. It remains plausible that September 2019 could have a mean temperature of 70.0° or above in New York City. On September 10, the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 1.508 (RMM). The September 9-adjusted amplitude was 1.633. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, the implied probability of New York City having a warmer than normal September is approximately 65%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 9/11 TEB: 93 EWR: 91 LGA: 91 New Bnswk: 90 PHL: 90 BLM: 90 TTN: 89 NYC: 88 ACY: 88 JFK: 84 ISP: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 90 for the high here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Hard to believe this is a little over 30 hours from now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 12, 2019 Author Share Posted September 12, 2019 High for the day was 93 here. Current temp 79/DP 72/RH 77% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Interesting...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 51 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Interesting...... 2 storms up the east coast lol Euro isnt alone here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Next 8 days are averaging 70degs., or about 2degs. AN (used 62 for low T today) Month to date is -0.2[71.1]. Should be near +1.0[70.7] by the 20th. 75.9 * here at 6am, but going nowhere today but down apparently! 77.0* at 7am. 77.3* at 8am. 80.7* by 11am. 82.4* by Noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Was a warm humid night. Now 77 dew 72. Midnight high temp of 82. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 2 hours ago, Dan76 said: Interesting...... I was starting to wonder when we'd get a fantasy run that shoots a cane up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 20 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I was starting to wonder when we'd get a fantasy run that shoots a cane up here. Eps is also on board for the east coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 The Atlantic tropics may stay active right into October with such a favorable MJO VP signature. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 "Back to back, and belly to belly" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 75/74 here this morning, rain missed me to the north and the south, that’s been the theme lately. I wouldn’t mind if we received a full blown hurricane, I’m so bored. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Cfa said: 75/74 here this morning, rain missed me to the north and the south, that’s been the theme lately. Looks like most of the rain for tonight will be centered further SW towards Philly and Southern NJ per the NAM and HRRR. The 06z RGEM was further NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 24 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Looks like most of the rain for tonight will be centered further SW towards Philly and Southern NJ per the NAM and HRRR. The 06z RGEM was further NE. Makes sense, the cold front will be south of our area by then and we'll have decent NE winds ushering cooler air-models have areas N and E of NYC slipping to near 60 by 6-7pm tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 3 hours ago, Dan76 said: Interesting...... Well that's a nightmare scenario for pushing water into the NY Bight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Toasty morning. 75/72 and full sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 12 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Well that's a nightmare scenario for pushing water into the NY Bight. Hauling it on the way up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 More model porn 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 15 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Hauling it on the way up 11mph is hauling? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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